mahk_webstah Posted December 27, 2011 Share Posted December 27, 2011 On 12/27/2011 at 8:08 PM, Dryslot said: That would be no surprise.. Lol....I try to hold back with those comments, better coming from a straight guy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted December 27, 2011 Share Posted December 27, 2011 Nam likes the wagons north season long theme, whether its correct or not who knows but would not suprise me in the least that is just plain ugly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 27, 2011 Share Posted December 27, 2011 On 12/27/2011 at 9:30 PM, litchfieldlibations said: Nam likes the wagons north season long theme, whether its correct or not who knows but would not suprise me in the least that is just plain ugly. Wow--I just saw that. I am way out of the loop on things. I've not really been able to focus on anything since Christmas Eve. Have all our little light snow possibilities over the next several days gone down the crapper? My quick perusal of the threads is now seeming to be focusing on January 3rd. I hope I'm wrong on that assessment. Meanwhile, a cold light rain. 32.6/31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 27, 2011 Share Posted December 27, 2011 Strange way of handling the 0C line Doing the cha cha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted December 27, 2011 Share Posted December 27, 2011 On 12/27/2011 at 9:48 PM, HubbDave said: Strange way of handling the 0C line Doing the cha cha Plenty of warm air advection ahead of the sw, bl looks cooked but again its the nam. Intersting to see where this goes over the next few days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 27, 2011 Share Posted December 27, 2011 On 12/27/2011 at 9:51 PM, litchfieldlibations said: Plenty of warm air advection ahead of the sw, bl looks cooked but again its the nam. Intersting to see where this goes over the next few days. I can guess...although this is different than the last few "events" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 27, 2011 Share Posted December 27, 2011 With no blocking and it remains progressive it may not get that far south, The problem is there is multiple waves in the flow so it won't be sorted out for another day or 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted December 27, 2011 Share Posted December 27, 2011 On 12/27/2011 at 9:55 PM, HubbDave said: I can guess...although this is different than the last few "events" Well its all NS (i think) so if the sw does not pass south of li i would think many in sne are screwed, the se ridge is a biatch and water temps are pretty toasty Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 27, 2011 Share Posted December 27, 2011 Most GFS ensemble members at 18z give at least the interior measurable snow...and a few the coast as well. Still a lot of uncertainty though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 27, 2011 Share Posted December 27, 2011 MattNoyesNECN Matt Noyes I'm assembling explainer of potential Friday night/Saturday storm. It's a watcher. Lots of energy, WILL produce storm, question is how fast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted December 27, 2011 Share Posted December 27, 2011 On 12/27/2011 at 11:42 PM, ORH_wxman said: Most GFS ensemble members at 18z give at least the interior measurable snow...and a few the coast as well. Still a lot of uncertainty though. Good news, hopefully at almost 2k in the berks myself and the kids will finally see some snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 27, 2011 Share Posted December 27, 2011 On 12/27/2011 at 11:42 PM, ORH_wxman said: Most GFS ensemble members at 18z give at least the interior measurable snow...and a few the coast as well. Still a lot of uncertainty though. Really feeling decent about this thing. Let's just grab 1-3 or 2-4 or whatever. Hopefully it continues to look good as we get close. You'd think by 12z tomorrow we'd have a pretty good idea what will happen Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 28, 2011 Share Posted December 28, 2011 On 12/27/2011 at 11:49 PM, CT Blizz said: Really feeling decent about this thing. Let's just grab 1-3 or 2-4 or whatever. Hopefully it continues to look good as we get close. You'd think by 12z tomorrow we'd have a pretty good idea what will happen As long as Ray doesn't get 5" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted December 28, 2011 Author Share Posted December 28, 2011 On 12/27/2011 at 11:42 PM, CT Blizz said: MattNoyesNECN Matt Noyes I'm assembling explainer of potential Friday night/Saturday storm. It's a watcher. Lots of energy, WILL produce storm, question is how fast I'm glad he's on board. I started following him last season and I thought he was very good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 28, 2011 Share Posted December 28, 2011 On 12/28/2011 at 12:35 AM, ski MRG said: I'm glad he's on board. I started following him last season and I thought he was very good. He is great during big events with his livestream Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted December 28, 2011 Share Posted December 28, 2011 Do the 21z srefs show anything for Saturday? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 28, 2011 Share Posted December 28, 2011 On 12/28/2011 at 1:37 AM, weatherMA said: Do the 21z srefs show anything for Saturday? They aren't out yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted December 28, 2011 Share Posted December 28, 2011 On 12/28/2011 at 1:39 AM, ORH_wxman said: They aren't out yet. True. I'm going out for a bit and being the weenie that I am I wanted to know anything about the threat that I could before I left lol...even though we will probably just get showers. I'll be back for the 00z euro at the very latest...until then I will be praying that it shows the same thing as 12z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Boston-winter08 Posted December 28, 2011 Share Posted December 28, 2011 On 12/28/2011 at 1:37 AM, weatherMA said: Do the 21z srefs show anything for Saturday? not really out to the relevant range, but the first wave is north with decent qpf (.25") from the MA/NH border north...probably a mix for SNE on the first wave Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 28, 2011 Share Posted December 28, 2011 SREFs came south a touch and cooled. Its likely that several of them show some snow. 850 0C line still gets into CT and SE MA...CNE looks pretty good on them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 28, 2011 Share Posted December 28, 2011 Looks like the low tracked thru maine on the srefs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
toronto blizzard Posted December 28, 2011 Share Posted December 28, 2011 Do they look good for souther Ontario? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 28, 2011 Share Posted December 28, 2011 On 12/28/2011 at 2:00 AM, toronto blizzard said: Do they look good for souther Ontario? You're a sleeper for WOTY 2012. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 28, 2011 Share Posted December 28, 2011 On 12/28/2011 at 2:42 AM, 40/70 Benchmark said: You're a sleeper for WOTY 2012. lol, Yes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 28, 2011 Share Posted December 28, 2011 NAM still a bit obnoxious with the s/w...it hasn't been showing much today in terms of snow. It actually amplifies it so much it tries to get a coastal going at the end, but its a bit too late. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted December 28, 2011 Author Share Posted December 28, 2011 On 12/28/2011 at 2:55 AM, ORH_wxman said: NAM still a bit obnoxious with the s/w...it hasn't been showing much today in terms of snow. It actually amplifies it so much it tries to get a coastal going at the end, but its a bit too late. Isn't this way outside the NAM's useful range? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted December 28, 2011 Share Posted December 28, 2011 On 12/28/2011 at 2:55 AM, ORH_wxman said: NAM still a bit obnoxious with the s/w...it hasn't been showing much today in terms of snow. It actually amplifies it so much it tries to get a coastal going at the end, but its a bit too late. 850s and the BL was pretty torched for almost all of sne, pretty unimpressive really. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 28, 2011 Share Posted December 28, 2011 On 12/28/2011 at 2:57 AM, ski MRG said: Isn't this way outside the NAM's useful range? Yeah pretty much and its been absolutely atrocious lately in this pattern. Euro and GFS and their ensembles definitely look better on this potential...but there's still plenty of uncertainty. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 28, 2011 Share Posted December 28, 2011 GFS looks like 1-2"...mainly for interior I'd imagine looking at the setup, but its creeping a little further south so if it does that enough, it will keep the winds favorable for the CP a bit more. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted December 28, 2011 Share Posted December 28, 2011 gfs looks to torch us on new years day Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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