daddylonglegs Posted January 15, 2012 Share Posted January 15, 2012 GFS showing a few inches of stinky snow next Friday when the warm air moves back. Then a big melt next weekend, with some stinky warm air. After that it looks mild. Sure looks like the cold gets locked into ALaska for awhile. Cold in Anchorage, warm in Minneapolis or so the saying goes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LizardMafia Posted January 15, 2012 Share Posted January 15, 2012 Drop to 4 IMBY this morning. Could this of been the coldest temp for the winter season IMBY? I guess we'll find out over the next few weeks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted January 15, 2012 Share Posted January 15, 2012 Make the best of the torch and get some suntanning and ice fishing in next weekend. Jan of 08 in the 110" winter had record high days and many other warm ones.. Hope this feb and march are a lot like 08 and we still have 50" more snow to come Step one in kicking NY ass this weekend accomplished http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2012/01/15/laura-kaeppeler-miss-america_n_1207088.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted January 15, 2012 Share Posted January 15, 2012 Just a January thaw guys, no big deal. Hopefully the blocking finally comes right with all that cold air in Canada and Roger Smith is right. 1. I'm STILL waiting on that superbomb... 2. Yeah, but it's a January thaw in an already warm January/relatively snowless January, which is a disaster around here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted January 15, 2012 Share Posted January 15, 2012 Oh, and the EURO is pretty much alone in its handling of the clipper Friday and Saturday. Every other model torches us in the warm sector. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 15, 2012 Share Posted January 15, 2012 5º at LAF, edging out "yesterday's" (before midnight) 6º as the coldest of the season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted January 15, 2012 Share Posted January 15, 2012 Oh, and the EURO is pretty much alone in its handling of the clipper Friday and Saturday. Every other model torches us in the warm sector. That's not a clipper. It's a wave in the southern stream. Unless you're talking about the Thursday system? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 15, 2012 Share Posted January 15, 2012 23/6 (-11 departure) from yesterday at LAF is the coldest day since last February, on the 10th, which had a 20/-10 (-21 departure). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 15, 2012 Share Posted January 15, 2012 From the main forum, new AWOS METAR site in Indiana. MGC - Michigan City IN Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted January 15, 2012 Share Posted January 15, 2012 That's not a clipper. It's a wave in the southern stream. Unless you're talking about the Thursday system? Nope, we're talking about the same system. The GFS/GGEM keep things more northern stream dominant, and thus blasts the warm air northward and keeps the bulk of the dynamics north of us... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpartyOn Posted January 15, 2012 Share Posted January 15, 2012 The potential of a severe weather outbreak makes me giddy! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RobertSul Posted January 15, 2012 Share Posted January 15, 2012 A severe weather outbreak somewhere in the central states, or around here in Michigan?? The potential of a severe weather outbreak makes me giddy! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted January 15, 2012 Share Posted January 15, 2012 Nope, we're talking about the same system. The GFS/GGEM keep things more northern stream dominant, and thus blasts the warm air northward and keeps the bulk of the dynamics north of us... Well, at least there are a number of GFS ensemble members that look more like the EURO. Typically, I find, the models are too quick to dislodge shallow arctic airmasses. There's in my mind at least a reasonable chance that storm provides a front end thump (for this winter, thump = 1-3/2-4") Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 15, 2012 Share Posted January 15, 2012 850 mb anomalies are approaching 20C next Sunday in parts of IL on the Euro. A rough way to figure out how far above normal it could be is to multiply this by 1.8. Now obviously there are factors that can mitigate such as preexisting snowcover or particularly poor mixing but this is really impressive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropical Posted January 15, 2012 Share Posted January 15, 2012 60s coming next weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 15, 2012 Share Posted January 15, 2012 From the main forum, new AWOS METAR site in Indiana. MGC - Michigan City IN Excellent. Will come in handy during LES. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted January 15, 2012 Share Posted January 15, 2012 60s coming next weekend. wish we could get that in april and may.. better enjoy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nic Posted January 15, 2012 Share Posted January 15, 2012 Now up to a grand total of 4 inches of snow for the month, normal is 9.5. Maybe I can get 5.5 inches the rest of the month? Its a longshot. lol. Maybe with the help of the unfrozen lakes it will kick off some surprise snowshowers wendsday like 2 days ago, then a clipper. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 15, 2012 Share Posted January 15, 2012 It's pretty crazy to see the GFS 2m temps showing 60F here next Sunday since they tend to run cool in these setups. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted January 15, 2012 Share Posted January 15, 2012 Temps overachieving today (unlike me in HS). Up to 37 with lots of dripping outside. Still about 3" of white stuff on the ground. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted January 15, 2012 Share Posted January 15, 2012 Lucky guy. I can't even recall the last time I've had a true fluff-fall. I was literally ground zero for this LES band. Very nice after getting the shaft from several of the December snowfalls. I had 2", nearby Riverview reported 1.3", DTW had 1.0"....the rest of the area more or less had 0.5" or less. As I type now the fluff has settled greatly of course, but it made for a beautiful winter morning today, I went to the park to just enjoy the fresh snow and nature (got some winter nature pics Im going to post in photog forum ). This is what the puffy fluff looked like last night Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted January 15, 2012 Share Posted January 15, 2012 Temps overachieving today (unlike me in HS). Up to 37 with lots of dripping outside. Still about 3" of white stuff on the ground. Yeah, the nws forecast called for low 30s, but we're in the upper 30s. The back edge of the snow cover is rapidly retreating east and north as bare ground areas are in the 40s to near 50 degrees. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
an uncanny otter Posted January 15, 2012 Share Posted January 15, 2012 Not looking forward to tomorrow at all. Our 5" snowpack is going to turn into an inch of slush and mud with the rain and warm temps. I'm hoping our snow melts quickly and isn't prolonged. It's like ripping off a band-aid. This is the longest consecutive stretch of days with snow depth of more than 1" we've had all winter. All 3 of them. With big, fluffy snowflakes falling outside and everything coated in a layer of white, I'm trying to enjoy it as much as I can, because you never know when you'll see it again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted January 15, 2012 Share Posted January 15, 2012 Plow dudes must be freaking out by now. FWIW this time last year we had about 19 inches date. Today/yesterday is the first time this season I have seen plow piles in some parking lots here in Wyandotte. This coming after they had to plow, what, about 15+ times last winter? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Madmaxweather Posted January 15, 2012 Share Posted January 15, 2012 Pretty confident records will be set next Sunday-Monday across the midwest and Ohio Valley... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
an uncanny otter Posted January 15, 2012 Share Posted January 15, 2012 http://www.weatheroffice.gc.ca/radar/index_e.html?id=WSO That little blob of 10 dbz near Chatham has been parked over my house for the past hour. Gorgeous dendrites are falling. It looks like a Thomas Kinkade painting outside. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted January 15, 2012 Share Posted January 15, 2012 http://www.weatherof...x_e.html?id=WSO That little blob of 10 dbz near Chatham has been parked over my house for the past hour. Gorgeous dendrites are falling. It looks like a Thomas Kinkade painting outside. wow, not too often do you see S/SSE flow LES off Lk Erie. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
turtlehurricane Posted January 15, 2012 Share Posted January 15, 2012 Up to a relatively warm 31 °F. Not much in the way of melt out there. Could break through the freezing mark tomorrow, barely. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted January 16, 2012 Share Posted January 16, 2012 0z GFS now has the wave for next weekend, although too far south and too warm verbatim. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted January 16, 2012 Share Posted January 16, 2012 Sunday, January 15th: Hi: 33F Lo: 9F Overall Sky Conditions: Partly Cloudy Max Wind Gust: 15MPH Rainfall: 0.00" Snowfall: 0.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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