cyclone77 Posted January 11, 2012 Share Posted January 11, 2012 Quite the temp drop this evening, down from our high of 56 earlier to 31 currently. Looks like one more 50 degree day tomorrow. The next day will be completely different with snow, strong winds, and temps in the 20s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted January 11, 2012 Share Posted January 11, 2012 Tuesday, January 10th: Hi: 52F Lo: 25F Overall Sky Conditions: Clear Max Wind Gust: 12MPH Rainfall: 0.00" Snowfall: 0.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
turtlehurricane Posted January 11, 2012 Share Posted January 11, 2012 The cyclone over Louisiana right now is the pattern change in action: http://weather.schematical.com/?p=352 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted January 11, 2012 Share Posted January 11, 2012 The cyclone over Louisiana right now is the pattern change in action: http://weather.schematical.com/?p=352 That storm really can't be linked to a pattern change. It's a cutoff low ejected eastward. The s/w is on the low end of the synoptic scale even. The pattern change is in the strong ridging developing from the Aleutians northward to the pole in the next few days. Overall, we're seeing an amplification of the flow as the polar field gets disturbed, which has assisted in the transient spike in +PNA ridging out west, and thus related to the deep trough that plunges into the Midwest tomorrow. The southern stream storm ejected east with the transient ridging in the west, as would happen anyway in the spectra of synoptic waves. On the whole, I wouldn't call it the pattern change in action. The trough digging into the Midwest has some roots to the pattern change with the general amplification of the flow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
turtlehurricane Posted January 11, 2012 Share Posted January 11, 2012 That storm really can't be linked to a pattern change. It's a cutoff low ejected eastward. The s/w is on the low end of the synoptic scale even. The pattern change is in the strong ridging developing from the Aleutians northward to the pole in the next few days. Overall, we're seeing an amplification of the flow as the polar field gets disturbed, which has assisted in the transient spike in +PNA ridging out west, and thus related to the deep trough that plunges into the Midwest tomorrow. The southern stream storm ejected east with the transient ridging in the west, as would happen anyway in the spectra of synoptic waves. On the whole, I wouldn't call it the pattern change in action. The trough digging into the Midwest has some roots to the pattern change with the general amplification of the flow. It's not on the low end, it spreads across the entire Gulf of Mexico and alot of the eastern US. It's a big part of the trough that was stuck over the west coast. To clarify a bit, it's not the entire pattern change, but getting the trough to move east was a crucial first step. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 11, 2012 Share Posted January 11, 2012 0z GFS has a clipper following the cutter, for Saturday/early Sunday. And then some kind of jacked up system for next week. At least it looks more active. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 11, 2012 Share Posted January 11, 2012 Nah, lets have the same ole zonal flow, couldn't get enough of it with its lame slushy snows, pouring rains and generally blandness. GFS has you covered in the extended. Congrats. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BeastFromTheEast Posted January 11, 2012 Share Posted January 11, 2012 Decent looking clipper Sunday.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 11, 2012 Share Posted January 11, 2012 54 bank clock Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted January 11, 2012 Share Posted January 11, 2012 Temp today has soared into the low 50s yet again, and I think it's a new record for the date. This makes three straight 50 degree days and five of the first eleven days of January... pretty amazing. A couple days ago the forecast for today was mid 30s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted January 11, 2012 Share Posted January 11, 2012 I think this season will be a record breaker for a Nina here at YYZ. Previous low seasonal snowfall total during a -ENSO was 32.6" back in 1999-00. I think we'll finish up the season in the 25-30" range. I'm still reasonably confident we won't compete with 2009-10 for the overall futility record. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted January 11, 2012 Share Posted January 11, 2012 48°/sunny. Winds are starting to turn off the lake. Probably hit our high today. Last time the beginning of January was this warm here was probably 2008. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted January 11, 2012 Share Posted January 11, 2012 A nice balmy 70 degrees at my nearest weather site Milwaukee Timmerman. Nothing like some solar heating (or faulty thermometers) . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpartyOn Posted January 11, 2012 Share Posted January 11, 2012 Nah, lets have the same ole zonal flow, couldn't get enough of it with its lame slushy snows, pouring rains and generally blandness. I love zonal flow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mnweather Posted January 11, 2012 Share Posted January 11, 2012 48°/sunny. Winds are starting to turn off the lake. Probably hit our high today. Last time the beginning of January was this warm here was probably 2008. I have to wonder if you are gonna deal with rain near Lake Michigan tomorrow. This system did that up here. I hope you fair well with how this goes down. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 11, 2012 Share Posted January 11, 2012 I have to wonder if you are gonna deal with rain near Lake Michigan tomorrow. This system did that up here. I hope you fair well with how this goes down. No way...lake isn't all that warm anymore and more importantly the incoming airmass is cold and winds will be turning offshore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mnweather Posted January 11, 2012 Share Posted January 11, 2012 No way...lake isn't all that warm anymore and more importantly the incoming airmass is cold and winds will be turning offshore. Whats the lake temp down there? I have 39 for a lake temp and I had rain for the whole system. Snow inland which was never predicted. Like I say I hope they don't have that issue. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 11, 2012 Share Posted January 11, 2012 Whats the lake temp down there? I have 39 for a lake temp and I had rain for the whole system. Snow inland which was never predicted. Like I say I hope they don't have that issue. Nearshore water temps off Illinois are around 36...probably a little warmer out toward mid lake. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 11, 2012 Share Posted January 11, 2012 Nearshore water temps off Illinois are around 36...probably a little warmer out toward mid lake. winds will be NW anyways so who cares. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mnweather Posted January 11, 2012 Share Posted January 11, 2012 winds will be NW anyways so who cares. yeah, they said the same thing up here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 11, 2012 Share Posted January 11, 2012 yeah, they said the same thing up here. The low would have to shift substantially south for the winds to not end up being offshore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mnweather Posted January 11, 2012 Share Posted January 11, 2012 The low would have to shift substantially south for the winds to not end up being offshore. They'll probably end up with snow anyways so not a huge worry. I guess we'll see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted January 11, 2012 Share Posted January 11, 2012 MLI tied the record high today at 56. Old record was from 1880. This makes the 2nd new or tied record high in the last week. Hit 54 here. Was interesting all day seeing the high clouds on the southeastern horizon while we were under full sun. Later in the afternoon the clouds from the other system started showing up on the western horizon. Kind of cool knowing all this was merging into one huge storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 After reaching the mid 50s earlier, temps have already dropped back to 35. Temps upstream in central Iowa are already in the teens. Tomorrow will be amazingly different, with temps in the low 20s, snow, and strong winds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 Whats the lake temp down there? I have 39 for a lake temp and I had rain for the whole system. Snow inland which was never predicted. Like I say I hope they don't have that issue. Check out water temperatures here. A bit mild in the middle of the lake, but the sides are pretty cold. --- High 48° today, lake breeze prevented a 50° here. Cooling off nicely tonight, few high clouds drifting in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 Wednesday, January 11th: Hi: 55F Lo: 26F Overall Sky Conditions: Partly Cloudy Max Wind Gust: 6MPH Rainfall: 0.00" Snowfall: 0.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 GFS looks like it's going to try and form a wave on the arctic front next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BeastFromTheEast Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 GFS looks like it's going to try and form a wave on the arctic front next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 GFS looks like it's going to try and form a wave on the arctic front next week. And then brings down big time cold around here right after that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 A little preview of one of the things I'm working on for monthly data for the ol' home weather station. So far have been well above average for the first 11 days of Jan... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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