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January 2012 General Discussion/Obs


KokomoWX

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  On 1/7/2012 at 4:49 AM, snowstormcanuck said:

Gradient pattern on the 0z GFS, which is consonant with a -PNA/neutral AO teleconnectors. Where it sets up is anybody's guess. I think what I have more confidence in is that it'll get wetter once we lose this split-flow we've been in.

That pattern is usually more hostile the farther south/east you go.

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  On 1/7/2012 at 5:37 AM, daddylonglegs said:

00z GFS is not good... still shows the "cold" shots...but it turns very mild again in the extended range..i noticed the 18z showed somewhat the same thing with crazy warm 850 temps...

Not sure boys...looks like Jan finishes very +++...in regards to temps.

Models are going to struggle with this change until the Pac Jet says jump and the system next week explodes over who knows. Basically give em time..its coming

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NWS La Crosse says mild again:

  Quote

THE TEMPERATURES BEHIND THE ARCTIC FRONT WILL BE INTI ALLY BELOW

NORMAL AND THEN WARM UP CLOSER TO NORMAL AS THE AIR MASS GRADUALLY

MODERATES. UNLIKE THE NEW YEARS FRONT...THIS COLD AIR MAY PERSIST

FOR SEVERAL INTO MID JANUARY. AS THE TROPICAL FORCING MOVES INTO

THE INDIAN OCEAN FROM THE AFRICAN CONTINENT...EXPECT TO ONCE AGAIN

SEE THE POLAR JET RETREAT BACK INTO SOUTHERN CANADA BRINGING A

RETURN TO THE UNSEASONABLE FOR THE LATTER PART OF JANUARY.

Stick a fork in January...on to Feb...

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  On 1/6/2012 at 2:14 PM, weatherbo said:

Took this a few min ago. All the snow here will vanish today, but this caught my eye. What an odd Winter so far.

Yours is prettier. Here's the one I found the day after Christmas.

post-830-0-42038100-1325939663.jpg

  On 1/6/2012 at 3:20 PM, Alek said:

Going straight from warm and wet to bitter cold and dry would be a bummer to say the least.

Yeah, I mentioned that in the storm thread yesterday morning. It's still looking like we go from torch to winter with no storm to show for it in these parts. Very disappointing in an already disappointing winter.

  On 1/6/2012 at 2:06 PM, Chicago WX said:

lol, I found it in one of the old storm threads from last winter...I believe Jim/Kokomo WX posted it. I figured it would be a good rallying avatar for winter. :D

lol Good try. I think Jim posted a picture of himself meeting her last year. He probably has it blown up and hanging in his man cave.

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  On 1/7/2012 at 9:58 PM, SpartyOn said:

I bet we do. I would say its 99% possible a significant snowstorm will hit the region before April.

Plus if April of last year showed us anything it's that we can get a month of pure craziness. Look at how many storm systems came through during that 28 day timespan. Now I would not be shocked if something similar takes place once the Pac Jet gets going. That cold air will not be bottled up for 4 months

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  On 1/7/2012 at 10:04 PM, nwohweather said:

Plus if April of last year showed us anything it's that we can get a month of pure craziness. Look at how many storm systems came through during that 28 day timespan. Now I would not be shocked if something similar takes place once the Pac Jet gets going. That cold air will not be bottled up for 4 months

PAC Jet FTW

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  On 1/7/2012 at 10:37 PM, Angrysummons said:

Yeah, I am on the best chance of substained wintery weather mid-January-early February camp as well.

This should be in the pattern thread...but what are your thought on why Feb will torch? We get some decent / good blocking this chill could stick around for a long time. Blocks are key.

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