weathafella Posted December 22, 2011 Share Posted December 22, 2011 If we get to mid January with no change in the pattern in site, I'm going to pull for the all time futility record for Boston. I think it's 9 inches in 1936-37 and perhaps we can beat that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted December 22, 2011 Share Posted December 22, 2011 And don't take that in a bad way..that can be a good thing. I think it is most definitely a good thing as long as the nw trend stops. It means we have a shot at higher ratio snow and banding...all of which can make a qpf output of .5 turn into a 6-10 inch snow. I've notice btw that you have a good sense or instinct for up here...particularly set ups where the heavier qpf looks to be south of us, but where you throw out a "well but I think you are going to do well up there..." statement. Are you seeing mid level features and extrapolating out qpf from that? I think you did that in several recent storms, including Oct. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 22, 2011 Share Posted December 22, 2011 If we get to mid January with no change in the pattern in site, I'm going to pull for the all time futility record for Boston. I think it's 9 inches in 1936-37 and perhaps we can beat that. As soon as you make that decree you get 9.1" too - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 22, 2011 Share Posted December 22, 2011 I wonder if I am too bullish for ORH and north. I thought maybe 1-3 for Will and 3-5 for Dave through MPM. BOX says "moo" to your bull Ah, well Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 22, 2011 Share Posted December 22, 2011 Someone has been awfully quiet today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snow Bow Posted December 22, 2011 Share Posted December 22, 2011 I don't remember it ever having 0.50" up to us. Last night my maps showed it getting up to around AFN. It was probably a 20mi bump north. Even a bigger bump north with the H85 0C. Regardless we're both in good shape. I'd maybe even be worried with it beginning as a rain/snow mix from CON S and E. I'm beginning to worry to, and if I am you and Mahk are probably not too far off from worrying either. I think your what? 20-30 miles north of me? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted December 22, 2011 Share Posted December 22, 2011 A few OT tidbits.... 19 of initial 22 days of December above normal at BOS/ORH. Tomorrow should make it 20 and perhaps running the table into next week. Unbefuknbelievable... While some are beating the dead horse I agree. This is an unprecedented stretch most of us will never again see in our lifetimes. Enjoy it. Hey all... Been lurking with no posts since our Halloween snowstorm, and at the risk of sounding heretical, gotta say: I'm rooting for broke. Shoot the moon. Pitching a no-hitter. When will we ever be able to say we had more snow in October than all of winter. I'd rather enjoy balmy weather than a half-ass 2 inch slush. In a year of a Springfield F3, an earthquake, Irene, a Halloween snowstorm... how incredible would it be to see a 0.00" winter. We are in the 3rd inning of a no-hitter, and I say, let's go for it. (of course as soon as a I post this, we'll get a 1.3" winter) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 22, 2011 Share Posted December 22, 2011 Someone has been awfully quiet today. Smart move. It isn't healthy for him to be on today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 22, 2011 Share Posted December 22, 2011 As soon as you make that decree you get 9.1" too - Sort of happened in 2006-07. We were on track for the futility record but we pulled an 8 incher 3/18.....lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted December 22, 2011 Share Posted December 22, 2011 GFS may win this one again. But we tossed it at Kevin's request... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 22, 2011 Share Posted December 22, 2011 No one's posts are giving me any comfort. I guess there's not much to be had? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 22, 2011 Share Posted December 22, 2011 Smart move. It isn't healthy for him to be on today. Yeah no kidding. Looks decent for some skiing this weekend but an all out toaster bath here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 22, 2011 Share Posted December 22, 2011 Well xmas day will not be warm. In fact it may be near normal which is frigid for this year and a small chance the cold overperforms after this system goes by. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted December 22, 2011 Share Posted December 22, 2011 I like coming on this thread... It's just unfortunate that for me and the others over in central/northern NE to get snow, Kevin and the SNE weenies have to get screwed. In a really big storm we can all do well sometimes. Smart move. It isn't healthy for him to be on today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 22, 2011 Share Posted December 22, 2011 I'm beginning to worry to, and if I am you and Mahk are probably not too far off from worrying either. I think your what? 20-30 miles north of me? I think we'll all be OK. I'd probably be more concerned SE of MHT. It could be one of those deals where in Bow you start as 37F RASN for 15-20 mins and then over an hour it turns over to a wet 32-33F snowfall. I think I'll have a good 1-2F on CON so maybe I can keep my temp closer to 31-32F for the brunt of the duration. Gene, above 1100ft in Bridgewater, may make out like a bandit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted December 22, 2011 Share Posted December 22, 2011 No one's posts are giving me any comfort. I guess there's not much to be had? This has slowly become a disaster from s to n Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 22, 2011 Share Posted December 22, 2011 Sort of happened in 2006-07. We were on track for the futility record but we pulled an 8 incher 3/18.....lol Heck look at my sig for 06-07 going into Feb. Not a bad finish. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Professional Lurker Posted December 22, 2011 Share Posted December 22, 2011 No one's posts are giving me any comfort. I guess there's not much to be had? I know, right? ...are we cooked? ...was BOX right all along? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 22, 2011 Share Posted December 22, 2011 This has slowly become a disaster from s to n I usually have to wait for the event to be in progress before you bring me down. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 22, 2011 Share Posted December 22, 2011 Heck look at my sig for 06-07 going into Feb. Not a bad finish. Yes for you. SNE especially the cp was not so fortunate until the late season hit which I nearly missed. I was flying in from overseas and I believe our flight was the last one into BOS before they shut down. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted December 22, 2011 Share Posted December 22, 2011 43/35 here now ...trying to advect somewhat drier air in.... Yes for you. SNE especially the cp was not so fortunate until the late season hit which I nearly missed. I was flying in from overseas and I believe our flight was the last one into BOS before they shut down. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 22, 2011 Share Posted December 22, 2011 43/35 here now ...trying to advect somewhat drier air in.... What are you expecting for yourself at this point, Rick? I think you should be well situated? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 22, 2011 Share Posted December 22, 2011 I was starting to melt down but now I realize this is such a bizarre anti last winter that it's interesting to study it. Plenty of movies and parties over the next week so fun will be had. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowNH Posted December 22, 2011 Share Posted December 22, 2011 I don't understand why everyone is so shocked about this storm/winter. What was everyone saying before the winter started? GRADIENT WINTER. Where that would set up, we didn't know and now I think we just found out with the past couple of storms. Between MHT and CON! BTW... just for craps and giggles, is MHT torched out with this storm? If thats the case thank god I'm not home. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 22, 2011 Share Posted December 22, 2011 Yes--time for the overt MBY question. Is GC toast? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 22, 2011 Share Posted December 22, 2011 I like coming on this thread... It's just unfortunate that for me and the others over in central/northern NE to get snow, Kevin and the SNE weenies have to get screwed. In a really big storm we can all do well sometimes. It's tough. Snow is like crack for many of us...we just can't get enough of the white stuff. We could get a 20" snowstorm and then 12hrs later we're looking for the next one. We're in a big enough region with varying orographic terrain and coastline that there's going to be big winners and big losers every time. Jan 12 of this year was about as close to a regionwide slam dunk as you can get. In a perfect weather world we'd all get big snows and white Christmases. It's best to be humble when you "win" and keep your head up when you "lose". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted December 22, 2011 Share Posted December 22, 2011 Least Seasonal Snowfalls for KBOS: 8.2 1936-1937 10.3 1972-1973 12.7 1979-1980 14.9 1994-1995 15.5 1988-1989 17.0 1931-1932 18.1 1985-1986 19.1 1990-1991 Anyone have stats for when/what happened 1936-1937? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted December 22, 2011 Share Posted December 22, 2011 What are you expecting for yourself at this point, Rick? I think you should be well situated? i would rather be in C NH for this one. i wonder how the mid levels treat rick out in knox...pingers perhaps Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ericnh Posted December 22, 2011 Share Posted December 22, 2011 I think we'll all be OK. I'd probably be more concerned SE of MHT. It could be one of those deals where in Bow you start as 37F RASN for 15-20 mins and then over an hour it turns over to a wet 32-33F snowfall. I think I'll have a good 1-2F on CON so maybe I can keep my temp closer to 31-32F for the brunt of the duration. Gene, above 1100ft in Bridgewater, may make out like a bandit. How do ypu think I will do in MHT? wmur has it raining here Friday morning! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 22, 2011 Share Posted December 22, 2011 I think it is most definitely a good thing as long as the nw trend stops. It means we have a shot at higher ratio snow and banding...all of which can make a qpf output of .5 turn into a 6-10 inch snow. I've notice btw that you have a good sense or instinct for up here...particularly set ups where the heavier qpf looks to be south of us, but where you throw out a "well but I think you are going to do well up there..." statement. Are you seeing mid level features and extrapolating out qpf from that? I think you did that in several recent storms, including Oct. Thanks Mark. It's just from experience...usually when you have an area of decent mid level frontogenesis and deformation..you'll have an extra area of lift. Sometimes you can have a two max snowfall area. Will mentioned an area near the mix zone which is true. Proximity to stronger lift and other processes can cause this. The other is obviously with the mid level features. It doesn't mean you'll have more than someone near the stronger lift, but it usually means you are in a favored area..even if QPF isn't impressive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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