mahk_webstah Posted December 22, 2011 Share Posted December 22, 2011 For the QPF weenies...my maps have 0.25" around BUF-SLK-MSS-CYSC-EPO. 0.50" is between GFL/ALB to RUT-here-PSM. Of course these tend to conflict with the WSI maps I've seen from Will. question....why is this being described as stronger and juicier and a "slam" when the qpf has not gone up? we were looking at .5 yesterday up here. Is it that the system is stronger and there will be more banding and so therefore some higher totals? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted December 22, 2011 Share Posted December 22, 2011 While some are beating the dead horse I agree. This is an unprecedented stretch most of us will never again see in our lifetimes. Enjoy it. In 2010, Farmington, Maine was above normal every day Feb. 8 thru March 25. Average departure for those 46 days was +12.37. THAT's a once-in-a-lifetime stretch (I sincerely hope!) Also hoping I'm not too far north to get in on this event. (GYX has us getting 2".) Still haven't had any measurable snow this Dec. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted December 22, 2011 Share Posted December 22, 2011 For the QPF weenies...my maps have 0.25" around BUF-SLK-MSS-CYSC-EPO. 0.50" is between GFL/ALB to RUT-here-PSM. Of course these tend to conflict with the WSI maps I've seen from Will. Looks good for me and Brian up here. 44.7/35F looks like I have reached my high of the day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 22, 2011 Share Posted December 22, 2011 It will fail for Sunday night too. Of course it will. See ya on MLK weenie Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted December 22, 2011 Share Posted December 22, 2011 It will fail for Sunday night too. You should take some time away from the board, maybe do a wellness check on Kev and Will. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 22, 2011 Share Posted December 22, 2011 Fuk it. I'm going someplace warm. This is worthless... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted December 22, 2011 Share Posted December 22, 2011 They are SNE-centric in their comments. Yeah here also no historic stretch the last five years, but certainly good winters. But it was a great period for the Megalopolis. In 2010, Farmington, Maine was above normal every day Feb. 8 thru March 25. Average departure for those 46 days was +12.37. THAT's a once-in-a-lifetime stretch (I sincerely hope!) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted December 22, 2011 Share Posted December 22, 2011 Fuk it. I'm going someplace warm. This is worthless... outside? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted December 22, 2011 Share Posted December 22, 2011 Fuk it. I'm going someplace warm. This is worthless... Cambridge? Plymouth? It's near 60 here, come on down we'll head to the beach and wait for the snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 22, 2011 Share Posted December 22, 2011 This will be a great hit for the mtns of VT and NH. Someone will get >6" easily..maybe 8". Maine too. Brian, you are on the srn edge of the good deformation, but should still do well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted December 22, 2011 Share Posted December 22, 2011 This is pretty far west, will be interesting to watch the confluence shred it out ene from here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted December 22, 2011 Share Posted December 22, 2011 Kevin should pack the family in the car and go to one of the half empty northern VT or NH ski resorts for the weekend maybe. For the sake of his sanity. You should take some time away from the board, maybe do a wellness check on Kev and Will. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted December 22, 2011 Share Posted December 22, 2011 wow this nw trend is amazing, but I think somewhat expected, ride the season long theme, and looking at radar and temps right now its fairly easy to see, its not like we have cold air crashing heights as a system bombs out over sne. hope the boys in mass can get something out of this ya you had a good call . looking at the meso site myself (at 1230) pm showed 850's running 4-5 C higher than most 12z guidance had for (what was) close enough to the 18z period. some times that doesn't mean alot...but with hardly any blocking and NW trends not rely being denied (cept the storm before t-giving) the 12z euro is no suprise to me. i have thought s greens to nh the whole time. ) grinch euro says F SNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 22, 2011 Share Posted December 22, 2011 I wonder if I am too bullish for ORH and north. I thought maybe 1-3 for Will and 3-5 for Dave through MPM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 22, 2011 Share Posted December 22, 2011 question....why is this being described as stronger and juicier and a "slam" when the qpf has not gone up? we were looking at .5 yesterday up here. Is it that the system is stronger and there will be more banding and so therefore some higher totals? I don't remember it ever having 0.50" up to us. Last night my maps showed it getting up to around AFN. It was probably a 20mi bump north. Even a bigger bump north with the H85 0C. Regardless we're both in good shape. I'd maybe even be worried with it beginning as a rain/snow mix from CON S and E. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattlacroix4 Posted December 22, 2011 Share Posted December 22, 2011 This will be a great hit for the mtns of VT and NH. Someone will get >6" easily..maybe 8". Maine too. Brian, you are on the srn edge of the good deformation, but should still do well. Am I..in it? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted December 22, 2011 Share Posted December 22, 2011 I'm starting to agree with the ALB mets ..that the valley around there wont get much despite being at about MPM's latitude. Gonna be very tough to cool the BL... Eventually they probably flip to a sloppy inch or two like after 9Z. Still more hopeful here at 1K feet, but probably have to start as rain. I wonder if I am too bullish for ORH and north. I thought maybe 1-3 for Will and 3-5 for Dave through MPM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted December 22, 2011 Share Posted December 22, 2011 I wonder if I am too bullish for ORH and north. I thought maybe 1-3 for Will and 3-5 for Dave through MPM. I think it's going to be warmer than people think from the border south. That's my 2 cents. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 22, 2011 Share Posted December 22, 2011 This will be a great hit for the mtns of VT and NH. Someone will get >6" easily..maybe 8". Maine too. Brian, you are on the srn edge of the good deformation, but should still do well. Ryan is wetting his jeans just what he wanted for his VT trip. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 22, 2011 Share Posted December 22, 2011 GFS may win this one again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted December 22, 2011 Share Posted December 22, 2011 watch the mid levels screw everyone up thru CNE LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 22, 2011 Share Posted December 22, 2011 I think it's going to be warmer than people think from the border south. That's my 2 cents. Well I mentioned it this morning before the disaster ensued, but I did talk about the bad feelings I had. I still think the rt 2 area in the high terrain will do decently. ORH may have issues. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 22, 2011 Share Posted December 22, 2011 Am I..in it? Yeah you look good in this I think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattlacroix4 Posted December 22, 2011 Share Posted December 22, 2011 Yeah you look good in this I think. Thanks, I got my Christmas gift this year Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted December 22, 2011 Share Posted December 22, 2011 I don't remember it ever having 0.50" up to us. Last night my maps showed it getting up to around AFN. It was probably a 20mi bump north. Even a bigger bump north with the H85 0C. Regardless we're both in good shape. I'd maybe even be worried with it beginning as a rain/snow mix from CON S and E. I think Jeff said it was .5 yesterday to CON. It is the banding that has me excited. Looks like a juicy system and Scott says we are on the southern edge of deformation. Cool...I wasn't really expecting a storm, more like a couple of mood inches. With cold air feeding in I'd think we will do okay on the ratios, temps probably go to around 27 or 28 at the height of it. Kinda cool! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 22, 2011 Share Posted December 22, 2011 I think Jeff said it was .5 yesterday to CON. It is the banding that has me excited. Looks like a juicy system and Scott says we are on the southern edge of deformation. Cool...I wasn't really expecting a storm, more like a couple of mood inches. With cold air feeding in I'd think we will do okay on the ratios, temps probably go to around 27 or 28 at the height of it. Kinda cool! And don't take that in a bad way..that can be a good thing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted December 22, 2011 Share Posted December 22, 2011 I wonder how good the deformation will be around here...weak system...but column is very moist through a deep layer with weak omega. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted December 22, 2011 Share Posted December 22, 2011 I know..it's comical. I thought maybe I was to crabby...but I'm likely not crabby enough..lol. less than 1 inch of snow has fallen in southern quebec so far. you are not alone. when you look at the eastern 2/3 of the continent, only a small area of new england has been snowing in this pattern, and that is remarkable, those people who are seeing snow i hope they realize just how lucky they have been this year. i gave up on this winter about 2 weeks ago. the stats show that if we torch in fall, we have a **** winter. its the lack of cold air which is killing everyone that is at the heart of this problem. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 22, 2011 Share Posted December 22, 2011 This is shaping up for a big failure for the Euro. GFS always wins around Christmas. NAM/Euro appear to have spit the bit. Euro looks like it's ready to spread the nationwide torch to us in the early days of January. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 22, 2011 Share Posted December 22, 2011 That sux for many..even close to ORH. Good hit for nrn ORH county..into parts of GC and esp NH...CNE the winners I think. I'm beginning to freak out..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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