Ginx snewx Posted December 22, 2011 Share Posted December 22, 2011 Steve, I have about 20 inches of potential since Halloween but zilch of reality. Yea but when HM talks I get horny, it is what it is Jer. I think I get snow even if its a little tomorrow OTG. Good enough and I also think this week might surprise you . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 22, 2011 Share Posted December 22, 2011 Perhaps we can hope that tomorrow can deliver for us what the day before thanksgiving system did 60 miles north.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 22, 2011 Share Posted December 22, 2011 No, did not see it. Outsiders don't like our logos, though (see: Circle of Trust. ) Wish we could get a region-wide ass-kickin' noreaster in here so that everybody could enjoy. Since when do any of us care what outsiders really think. At some point the Dom will be opened. Suckage winters usually have at least one good Noreaster. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted December 22, 2011 Share Posted December 22, 2011 Something that really strikes me from BOX is that their AFD really doesn't even suggest that things could be more significant. Seems they are balls-to-the-wall on this being a mostly rain event. It would be one thing if they sided with this forecast and presented ideas as to why it may bust, but they don't. Do others read their stuff differently? Yeah and the point and click has you with an inch or so and me with a coating. Underwhelming. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 22, 2011 Share Posted December 22, 2011 Looking good for 2 or 3" here. Looks like somewhere between Will and Socks gets the big prize. hmmmmmm.... who could that be? Subdude, JJASHB looking good Hoping for the magical 2 hour delay for Friday (best gift possible...) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 22, 2011 Share Posted December 22, 2011 Yea but when HM talks I get horny, it is what it is Jer. I think I get snow even if its a little tomorrow OTG. Good enough and I also think his week might surprise you . I hope you're right. Taking next week off....after the tumultuous months leading up to the bat mitzvah and a hellaceous work schedule seemingly always....need to chill. Would be nice to have the dog and I run through snow covered woods. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 22, 2011 Share Posted December 22, 2011 I hope you're right. Taking next week off....after the tumultuous months leading up to the bat mitzvah and a hellaceous work schedule seemingly always....need to chill. Would be nice to have the dog and I run through snow covered woods. nice enjoy the time and so glad the Bar Mitzah went well, you are a good man Jerry. I really hope your walks are white and and invigorating. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 22, 2011 Share Posted December 22, 2011 Yea but when HM talks I get horny, it is what it is Jer. I think I get snow even if its a little tomorrow OTG. Good enough and I also think this week might surprise you . Yeah and the point and click has you with an inch or so and me with a coating. Underwhelming. Even at MP3. BOX sees this as a total non-event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 22, 2011 Share Posted December 22, 2011 Even at MP3. BOX sees this as a total non-event. Will against BOX, who do you think Wins? I know where my money goes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 22, 2011 Share Posted December 22, 2011 nice enjoy the time and so glad the Bar Mitzah went well, you are a good man Jerry. I really hope your walks are white and and invigorating. Thanks Steve. We should have a gtg....li have a lot of left over booze...lol... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 22, 2011 Share Posted December 22, 2011 Will against BOX, who do you think Wins? I know where my money goes. He'll get his. Will and I talked. Will and esp Dave and into GC should do well I think. We both feel that way and I feel pretty good about that, unless models have a big catastrophe. My only concern is for Kevin. Will potentially has a concern if this moves north a bit, but Dave and GC look good...right into NNE. Will is probably in the 2-3" range...or so. Maybe a bit more of SREFs work out. I think if that mid level frontogenesis band moves in..it could be more. That's part of the reason I like the highlands of the rt 2 corridor and into GC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 22, 2011 Share Posted December 22, 2011 Will against BOX, who do you think Wins? I know where my money goes. Agreed. That there's no speculation in the afd is baffling to me. Eager to hear about sref. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted December 22, 2011 Share Posted December 22, 2011 Will against BOX, who do you think Wins? I know where my money goes. Even a half inch would be welcome at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 22, 2011 Share Posted December 22, 2011 Agreed. That there's no speculation in the afd is baffling to me. Eager to hear about sref. You worry to much kevin, Oh, Mike...........lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 22, 2011 Share Posted December 22, 2011 SREFs north again. Bring Kevin in jeopardy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 22, 2011 Share Posted December 22, 2011 You worry to much kevin, Oh, Mike...........lol Lol. Worried? No. But I am finding it very odd that there's this 'cut-and-dry' attitude there which is such a departure from the discussion here (from the knoweldgeable folks, not the people like me who don't have a clue). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 22, 2011 Share Posted December 22, 2011 SREFs north again. Bring Kevin in jeopardy. Scott==what site are you pulling these from? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 22, 2011 Share Posted December 22, 2011 Lol. Worried? No. But I am finding it very odd that there's this 'cut-and-dry' attitude there which is such a departure from the discussion here (from the knoweldgeable folks, not the people like me who don't have a clue). What do you find cut and dry? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 22, 2011 Share Posted December 22, 2011 Scott==what site are you pulling these from? http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/NCOMAGWEB/appcontroller?prevPage=Model&MainPage=indexℑ=&page=Param&cycle=12%2F22%2F2011+09UTC&rname=UPPER+AIR+MEANSPRD&pname=850_temp&pdesc=&model=SREF&area=NAMER&cat=MODEL+GUIDANCE&fcast=&areaDesc=North+America+-+US+Canada+and+northern+Mexico&prevArea=NAMER&currKey=model&returnToModel=&imageSize=M Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 22, 2011 Share Posted December 22, 2011 What do you find cut and dry? I don't get it either and I thought I'm being pessimistic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 22, 2011 Share Posted December 22, 2011 http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/NCOMAGWEB/appcontroller?prevPage=Model&MainPage=indexℑ=&page=Param&cycle=12%2F22%2F2011+09UTC&rname=UPPER+AIR+MEANSPRD&pname=850_temp&pdesc=&model=SREF&area=NAMER&cat=MODEL+GUIDANCE&fcast=&areaDesc=North+America+-+US+Canada+and+northern+Mexico&prevArea=NAMER&currKey=model&returnToModel=&imageSize=M Seem to bringing back the mood snows Friday night nd Saturday? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 22, 2011 Share Posted December 22, 2011 I don't get it either and I thought I'm being pessimistic. I thought maybe i am missing something Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 22, 2011 Share Posted December 22, 2011 Seem to bringing back the mood snows Friday night nd Saturday? Lets hope so Jerry. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 22, 2011 Share Posted December 22, 2011 Seem to bringing back the mood snows Friday night nd Saturday? Lets hope so Jerry. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 22, 2011 Share Posted December 22, 2011 What do you find cut and dry? Primarily that in the AFD (and reflected loudly in their forecasts) that there's is no reference to accumulation. Or potential adjustments in accumulation based on different scenarios. Normally, they provide insights to situations that may cause increase/decrease amounts. None of that in there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 22, 2011 Share Posted December 22, 2011 Something screwy with thw site? I can't get into the thread on my computer but i csn on my phone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted December 22, 2011 Share Posted December 22, 2011 Something screwy with thw site? I can't get into the thread on my computer but i csn on my phone. Same here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted December 22, 2011 Share Posted December 22, 2011 What a 180 by the NAM. Awful Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 22, 2011 Share Posted December 22, 2011 What a 180 by the NAM. Awful Wet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattlacroix4 Posted December 22, 2011 Share Posted December 22, 2011 Push north on the NAM, juicier now too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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