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December 23rd light snow potential


ORH_wxman

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Ryan's boss Bob MAxon on channel 30 has 1-2 inches for hills above 800 feet in CT

Congrats--I think that could well play out. NWS doesn't want to do more than that up here, though.

Local channels here mention zilch about snow.

Edit: Channel 22:

  • A coating to 2" expected along the Pioneer Valley, from Greenfield to Springfield.
  • 2-5" possible in the Hilltowns and Berkshires.

Channel 40:

Tonight: Increasing clouds with rain developing late. Rain could mix with and change to wet snow before ending early AM. Accumulations: Coating -2″ in the hills, just a coating possible in the valleys. Lows: 30-34. Winds: Light.

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Euro ensembles went south a bit too...dendrite is ready to kill people.

But Kevin is looking better. But still living on the edge....jackpot seems to be from ORH county to GC...MPM might start throwing his woodpile around because Pete is looking better for QPF than him.

Well yeah.....but don't these frontogenesis bands tend to set up a little more north than modeled sometimes? I'm not too worried up here, but maybe I should be.

Also HPC snow maps seem to be maxing SNH up to almost CNH

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I'm giving this marginal event for BOS all the help it can get. I'm eating my grapefruit out of the snow dish my daughter made for me about 5 years ago. I only use this when there's a possibility...and never in the summer..lol

I'll wait until 12z comes out to really throw the towel in, but I think we are screwed..except maybe a measly coating or half inch. This is the worst stretch of winter I can ever remember. Just end this month now.

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I'll wait until 12z comes out to really throw the towel in, but I think we are screwed..except maybe a measly coating or half inch. This is the worst stretch of winter I can ever remember. Just end this month now.

I wish I brought my external hard drive with all the goodies on it, because you, sir, are sucking on tailpipes right now.

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I'll wait until 12z comes out to really throw the towel in, but I think we are screwed..except maybe a measly coating or half inch. This is the worst stretch of winter I can ever remember. Just end this month now.

The thing is, even in a regular crappy year we'd do ok with this setup. Not with this years elephant it seems....

Maybe some hope in January sometime.....

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Something that really strikes me from BOX is that their AFD really doesn't even suggest that things could be more significant. Seems they are balls-to-the-wall on this being a mostly rain event. It would be one thing if they sided with this forecast and presented ideas as to why it may bust, but they don't.

Do others read their stuff differently?

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The thing is, even in a regular crappy year we'd do ok with this setup. Not with this years elephant it seems....

Maybe some hope in January sometime.....

Winter have themes. This one is fail. It's at the point now where it needs to prove the fail theme wrong. At least GC and over to Will and up into NNE will get a nice White Christmas it seems.

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I think it starts off pretty crappy. Zonal flow again into PAC and +AO teleconnects to fail in New England.

he was talking about 1/8/11 as the AO going NEG and also mentioned it would not be as boring as everyone made it out to be. Also said the NE would not torch like the midsection and believes a nice wave break (Miller B B) might work.

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the signs appeared yesterday, glad you did not bring that toaster home.

Maybe later in January, but I don't think we are done with disaster quite yet. We are going to need major SW to help dislodge the PV or one hell of a mtn torque event. This isn't one of those things where one event will dislodge it. It will take significant beatings into the PV from either above or below to weaken it.

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Maybe later in January, but I don't think we are done with disaster quite yet. We are going to need major SW to help dislodge the PV or one hell of a mtn torque event. This isn't one of those things where one event will dislodge it. It will take significant beatings into the PV from either above or below to weaken it.

Well it will not happen overnight and this upcoming week has potential, one week at a time.

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he was talking about 1/8/11 as the AO going NEG and also mentioned it would not be as boring as everyone made it out to be. Also said the NE would not torch like the midsection and believes a nice wave break (Miller B B) might work.

Well it is January so of course you can sneak some events in. Nobody is saying we won't have chances, but the overall pattern imo looks bad heading into mid month.

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