CoastalWx Posted December 22, 2011 Share Posted December 22, 2011 I would think there would be bullish, middle of the road, and bearish. NWS is squarely on the bear. Minimal accums in GC/northern ORH. Zero in CT. I'm not saying they're going to wind up being wrong, but it's a completely different take than what's happening in this thread. 43.3/38 Well in CT, it might be not much of an event at all, but I think nrn ORH county will get a decent amount. I don't like seeing the GFS remain stubborn though, but I think areas near RT 2 should do well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 22, 2011 Share Posted December 22, 2011 The fact that the NAM, Sref's and now the Euro ens came south and cold make me feel pretty good. The euro ens in the last 24 hours tend to be pretty good at picking up trends Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 22, 2011 Share Posted December 22, 2011 I don't know what to think for my area. I'm nervous and worried and scared. Walking the line can sometimes be very good and sometimes very bad. Hold thoughts until 12z guidance. Like I said yesterday...just keep things in perspective. You could get 3" or a coating..lol. I have this pit for you...but hopefully its unwarranted. I'm just looking at stuff now. Euro/SREFs are pretty good north of I-90. SREFs might suggest 1-2" for you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 22, 2011 Share Posted December 22, 2011 Well in CT, it might be not much of an event at all, but I think nrn ORH county will get a decent amount. I don't like seeing the GFS remain stubborn though, but I think areas near RT 2 should do well. I'm taking tomorrow off as a "use it or lose it" vacation day. Since Rt. 2 opened last week (finally, after the Irene damage), I'm thinking I might go for a hike in the Mohawk State Forest. I'm expecting that to be through a winter wonderland. Otherwise, I'll stay home and sulk. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 22, 2011 Share Posted December 22, 2011 WBZ and WCVB with low totals Makes sense Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 22, 2011 Share Posted December 22, 2011 Hold thoughts until 12z guidance. Like I said yesterday...just keep things in perspective. You could get 3" or a coating..lol. I have this pit for you...but hopefully its unwarranted. I'm just looking at stuff now. Euro/SREFs are pretty good north of I-90. SREFs might suggest 1-2" for you. Sounds like I';m not getting anything. Guess I'd better prepare for a brown holiday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 22, 2011 Share Posted December 22, 2011 Sounds like I';m not getting anything. Guess I'd better prepare for a brown holiday. LOL, I didn't say that. I'm hoping you can pull an inch or two..but it's close to a disaster for you...that's all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 22, 2011 Share Posted December 22, 2011 WBZ and WCVB with low totals Makes sense Enjoy tomorrow morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 22, 2011 Share Posted December 22, 2011 Euro came a tick south and sped up a bit. It's still getting a half inch of liquid up to Socks. Kevin looks safe. LOL..do I slide in safe with an inside the park HR or am I thrown out at the plate? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 22, 2011 Share Posted December 22, 2011 There is a ton of convection across the deep south. We'll have to watch that, because it could cause the ridge out east to build a bit and have the low tick north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 22, 2011 Share Posted December 22, 2011 Sounds like I';m not getting anything. Guess I'd better prepare for a brown holiday. Not if you listen to NWS. But, you can't take them literally. Seriously, I think you'll pull off an inch or two. Meanhile, nice early morning. Whipping wind, Sliver moon ducking behind fast-moving clouds. Possible snow. If it wasn't 42.5 degrees, I might think it was late December...... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 22, 2011 Share Posted December 22, 2011 That was a nice tstorm last night BTW. Winds were ripping as that thing came thru. Decent lightning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 22, 2011 Share Posted December 22, 2011 Sounds like I';m not getting anything. Guess I'd better prepare for a brown holiday. Don't tell the kids about Santa. No need to rui their Christmas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 22, 2011 Share Posted December 22, 2011 The slightly south tick is definitely good for people like Kevin in N CT and also the suburbs of BOS because it allows them to get into a bit better cold air drainage in the BL even if they were still cold enough on previous runs in the mid-levels (like Ray's area). After going back and reading some of these posts from you and Dendrite..I all of a sudden feel much better Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 22, 2011 Share Posted December 22, 2011 Preparing to feed messenger..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted December 22, 2011 Share Posted December 22, 2011 Don't like the BOX disconnect. 3-6" in ALB's zone 6 miles to the West and 1-2" here. I'm banking on Will's rosier outlook for GC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 22, 2011 Share Posted December 22, 2011 Don't like the BOX disconnect. 3-6" in ALB's zone 6 miles to the West and 1-2" here. I'm banking on Will's rosier outlook for GC. 4.9"for you ain't too shabby Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted December 22, 2011 Share Posted December 22, 2011 Not if you listen to NWS. But, you can't take them literally. Seriously, I think you'll pull an inch or two. Meanhile, nice early morning. Whipping wind, Sliver moon ducking behind fast-moving clouds. Possible snow. If it wasn't 42.5 degrees, I might think it was late December...... I'm sure he's packin' more than that. Why would you kick a guy when he's down? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 22, 2011 Share Posted December 22, 2011 Don't like the BOX disconnect. 3-6" in ALB's zone 6 miles to the West and 1-2" here. I'm banking on Will's rosier outlook for GC. You're gonna do well. Congrats. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 22, 2011 Share Posted December 22, 2011 After going back and reading some of these posts from you and Dendrite..I all of a sudden feel much better What will you consider a win/fail??? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 22, 2011 Share Posted December 22, 2011 FWIW..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 22, 2011 Share Posted December 22, 2011 So in summary the overnite runs..the Euro was a bit south and a tick colder as were it's ensembles ..GFS ticked colder Nam ticked slightly warmer but still favors southern section of sne..not sure what 6z NAM did srefs came north a bit Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted December 22, 2011 Share Posted December 22, 2011 4.9"for you ain't too shabby Where did you see that? I looked for a snowfall map but didn't see one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 22, 2011 Share Posted December 22, 2011 I'm liking a mid level frontogenesis band that fingers out ahead of the low near and north of I-90 right now. That will be out ahead of the main omega thump that moves in, an hour or two later. One of the reasons areas near Rt 2 may do well and down through Pete. I'm afraid I may be cooked and the fears of losing the snow Saturday seem to be coming true. Hopefully ne winds will give some snow to the south shore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 22, 2011 Share Posted December 22, 2011 What will you consider a win/fail??? I'd be happy with 1-3 which based on all guidance seems fairly reasonable ..but not a lock by any means, I do feel better after seeing that I was safe on the Euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 22, 2011 Share Posted December 22, 2011 I'd be happy with 1-3 which based on all guidance seems fairly reasonable ..but not a lock by any means, I do feel better after seeing that I was safe on the Euro I thought you were barely safe on the euro. The 850 line just eeks to your south, but I think you want that a little further south. I honestly think you are on the line, but hiopefully you get some snow..I think you will, but I would not go higher than an inch or two right now. JMHO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 22, 2011 Share Posted December 22, 2011 NECN: Overnight Thursday... Thickening clouds with rain and snow developing from west to east around midnight. Lows in the 20s north, around 30 central, 30s south. Light and variable wind. Friday... Rain and snow early, then lingering sprinkles/flurries and partial clearing late. A couple of inches in northern, central & the hilly terrain of southern New England. Highs 35°-45° from north to south. North wind 2-10 mph. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 22, 2011 Share Posted December 22, 2011 I thought you were barely safe on the euro. The 850 line just eeks to your south, but I think you want that a little further south. I honestly think you are on the line, but hiopefully you get some snow..I think you will, but I would not go higher than an inch or two right now. JMHO. Yeah I agree. Caution is the way to play my area. I 'll just hope for the best and plan on another MLK which Will would love. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 22, 2011 Share Posted December 22, 2011 6z nam about the same as 00z or warmer? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted December 22, 2011 Share Posted December 22, 2011 Boston tv mets unimpressed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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