Bostonseminole Posted December 22, 2011 Share Posted December 22, 2011 NAM looks juicier, not that much warmer @ 850 or @925 at least at 33hrs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 22, 2011 Share Posted December 22, 2011 Sizable bump north though, but yeah...still south of other guidance. I think we're honing in on a consensus though. Euro....ftw Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted December 22, 2011 Share Posted December 22, 2011 Nightmare forecast would be in between Scott and me. Northwest of Will up towards Dave and back west to Pete and Mike I'd feel decent for a 2-4, 2-5 call. For me and east to Scott...and down to CT...its a tough call. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 22, 2011 Share Posted December 22, 2011 But getting warmer. Jesus, Scott....we get it, the trend may not be done. Not much time, though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted December 22, 2011 Share Posted December 22, 2011 But getting warmer. and its far from done yet. congrats powder freak when all is said and done Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 22, 2011 Author Share Posted December 22, 2011 That sucked...I lost power for like an hour...the whole neighborhood. Looks like NAM is finally coming a bit north but still plenty south of other guidance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snow Bow Posted December 22, 2011 Share Posted December 22, 2011 It's close to a lock for >3" from Will and north to you. I love when I read a post like this. I'll be more than happy with an inch. Gotta enjoy it now because who know the next time we'll see >0.0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 22, 2011 Share Posted December 22, 2011 I was noticing that. But--I think Kevin would still be pleased to an extent. In spite of slower, still looks like it's in/out once it gets here. It's the NAM...colder than other guidance. I actually kind of like the SREF depiction right now in terms of the snow probs at least in SNE. I think Will said it as well, but I like the GFS look with a hedge to euro thermal field for now. Of course it could change with the rest of the 00z guidance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 22, 2011 Share Posted December 22, 2011 Lol at the squall line entering NJ, thunder later? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 22, 2011 Share Posted December 22, 2011 How bad are the EURO and GFS....is it all rain to the NH border or what... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 22, 2011 Author Share Posted December 22, 2011 Nightmare forecast would be in between Scott and me. Northwest of Will up towards Dave and back west to Pete and Mike I'd feel decent for a 2-4, 2-5 call. For me and east to Scott...and down to CT...its a tough call. Yeah I think the toughest forecast is the suburbs of BOS and then down to NW RI and N CT...that zone kind of south of the pike there. I think N ORH county out to GC and Monads are a lock for at least a few inches of snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted December 22, 2011 Share Posted December 22, 2011 and its far from done yet. congrats powder freak when all is said and done Dude the storm is tomorrow night...Pete is the jackpot and is getting double if not triple the amount you gave him earlier tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted December 22, 2011 Share Posted December 22, 2011 Jesus, Scott....we get it, the trend may not be done. Not much time, though. Be happy you'll get your favorite type of event, rain changing to snow. It's snowing like a bastard even down here by 39 I think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 22, 2011 Share Posted December 22, 2011 Lol at the squall line entering NJ, thunder later? Phil and others (you? Scooter?) mentioned this the other day Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 22, 2011 Share Posted December 22, 2011 Lol at the squall line entering NJ, thunder later? South coast was unstable on models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted December 22, 2011 Share Posted December 22, 2011 Yeah I think the toughest forecast is the suburbs of BOS and then down to NW RI and N CT...that zone kind of south of the pike there. I think N ORH county out to GC and Monads are a lock for at least a few inches of snow. Yeah...I think a coating to 4" about covers it for me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted December 22, 2011 Share Posted December 22, 2011 Dude the storm is tomorrow night...Pete is the jackpot and is getting double if not triple the amount you gave him earlier tonight. What does my friend Pete's snowfall have to do with anything? I am talking about northern ct and the Boston suburbs?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 22, 2011 Share Posted December 22, 2011 Be happy you'll get your favorite type of event, rain changing to snow. It's snowing like a bastard even down here by 39 I think. Joe, it's not going to turn into a NNE special....enough of that crap. Scott, I just want an inch for xmas....not unreasonable and very possible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 22, 2011 Share Posted December 22, 2011 How bad are the EURO and GFS....is it all rain to the NH border or what... Euro was colder as usual. Track wise it was a bit south of the GFS, but the GFS is likely too warm in the thermal profile. It's a tough call for you, but maybe an inch...poss two if it breaks right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 22, 2011 Share Posted December 22, 2011 What does my friend Pete's snowfall have to do with anything? I am talking about northern ct and the Boston suburbs?? Gonna be close for them I would surmise. Unless you are over Mt. Tolland in el Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 22, 2011 Share Posted December 22, 2011 Euro was colder as usual. Track wise it was a bit south of the GFS, but the GFS is likely too warm in the thermal profile. It's a tough call for you, but maybe an inch...poss two if it breaks right. Ok....I figured 1" was a good over\under, here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted December 22, 2011 Share Posted December 22, 2011 What does my friend Pete's snowfall have to do with anything? I am talking about northern ct and the Boston suburbs?? You told Pete he was getting 1.5" and would be close to the mix/rain line...good luck with that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 22, 2011 Share Posted December 22, 2011 Still south but better seeing i had cat box material until this run.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 22, 2011 Share Posted December 22, 2011 Joe, it's not going to turn into a NNE special....enough of that crap. Scott, I just want an inch for xmas....not unreasonable and very possible. Don't worry. If I get 5" in Dec won't be shaving you You get 1-2" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 22, 2011 Share Posted December 22, 2011 These last 7 weeks have been brutal...there is no sense of adding to the misery guys. We all understand what can happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 22, 2011 Share Posted December 22, 2011 If there were reasonable ratios, the NAM might suggest a low warning criteria event for some. Liking the trend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted December 22, 2011 Share Posted December 22, 2011 The NAM has been slowly edging north since the 12Z run.... Now .3 to ALB, .15 at 18z, < .1 at 12Z. ECMWF has .7 here which is overdone I'm sure. Yeah I think the toughest forecast is the suburbs of BOS and then down to NW RI and N CT...that zone kind of south of the pike there. I think N ORH county out to GC and Monads are a lock for at least a few inches of snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 22, 2011 Share Posted December 22, 2011 Ok....I figured 1" was a good over\under, here. Just a guess...you are in a tricky spot. Some of the SREFs like 3-4" for you, and you have lat to help out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted December 22, 2011 Share Posted December 22, 2011 Joe, it's not going to turn into a NNE special....enough of that crap. Scott, I just want an inch for xmas....not unreasonable and very possible. I am not sure how we don't get 2-3" out of this..based on the NAM/Euro.. hopefully GFS cools down a bit and we are good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted December 22, 2011 Share Posted December 22, 2011 Euro was colder as usual. Track wise it was a bit south of the GFS, but the GFS is likely too warm in the thermal profile. It's a tough call for you, but maybe an inch...poss two if it breaks right. NAM would rip over SE areas for 1-2 hours. We all know how well those have worked out this winter.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.