moneypitmike Posted December 21, 2011 Share Posted December 21, 2011 LOL, I'm fine. It just doesn't feel like Christmas at all. I can't get into the mood..the only good thing is getting together with family and friends. It would be nice if my last real flakes weren't on 10/29. We're hoping you get a nice weenie suprise on Friday to cheer you up and get you in the Christmas spirit! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 21, 2011 Share Posted December 21, 2011 Yes, but who the fook really cares. Sorry but if I want cheap utility bills I move to Martinque. i love me some winter. I wish i would have already pis sed thru 10 tanks , Geez, What do you think i don't care for snow? I ride it until its gone in march, Just that is has sucked so bad thats the only good fortune to this whole deal Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 21, 2011 Share Posted December 21, 2011 We're hoping you get a nice weenie suprise on Friday to cheer you up and get you in the Christmas spirit! I think you are in a good spot. I wouldn't worry about QPF my friend. Enjoy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted December 21, 2011 Share Posted December 21, 2011 Well, being at about 500ft I will take anything I can get at this point. 10 feet next to the harbor is even better Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted December 21, 2011 Share Posted December 21, 2011 I think you are in a good spot. I wouldn't worry about QPF my friend. Enjoy. This is such a sad post. It has a painful dejected tone. Sorry Scooter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted December 21, 2011 Share Posted December 21, 2011 This is such a sad post. It has a painful dejected tone. Sorry Scooter. Meh, not really, Scott will likely see 24 hrs of mood flakes on xmas eve, and no matter what as Brian said earlier its all melted and gone next week as the torch takes hold. It is what it is. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 21, 2011 Share Posted December 21, 2011 I think you are in a good spot. I wouldn't worry about QPF my friend. Enjoy. This part of GC is just 100 miles west of the city--come pay a visit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Modfan Posted December 21, 2011 Share Posted December 21, 2011 10 feet next to the harbor is even better Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmanmitch Posted December 21, 2011 Share Posted December 21, 2011 For those in far western regions Not sure how ALY came up with that map. It looks too funky to be real in the northern Berks especially with regard to that sudden latitudinal cutoff just south of Mt. Greylock. Doesn't really make sense to me given that I think mid-levels will be cold enough in this neck of the woods. I'd expect a nice 3-5" event above 1K in the Berks, Cats, and southern Greens with some 6" lollis near 2K. I think far NW CT gets a 2-4" type deal. CT and Hudson Valleys above 42° N will probably be a 1-3" as BL temps could be an issue. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 21, 2011 Share Posted December 21, 2011 I wish i would have already pis sed thru 10 tanks , Geez, What do you think i don't care for snow? I ride it until its gone in march, Just that is has sucked so bad thats the only good fortune to this whole deal March? This past April VVV Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 21, 2011 Share Posted December 21, 2011 March? This past April VVV Not over here its junk by then and unrideable in this area, Up to Jackman, Definitly, Usually trying to find a place to swing clubs in april.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted December 21, 2011 Share Posted December 21, 2011 Not sure how ALY came up with that map. It looks too funky to be real in the northern Berks especially with regard to that sudden latitudinal cutoff just south of Mt. Greylock. Doesn't really make sense to me given that I think mid-levels will be cold enough in this neck of the woods. I'd expect a nice 3-5" event above 1K in the Berks, Cats, and southern Greens with some 6" lollis near 2K. I think far NW CT gets a 2-4" type deal. CT and Hudson Valleys above 42° N will probably be a 1-3" as BL temps could be an issue. Nice Mitch. I tarped units of architectural steel this afternoon as I think 2k will make out well. Easier to pull pieces if they aren't frozen together, Wild seeing the east/west temp differential this afternoon. This Glen is a nice refrigerator.lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 21, 2011 Share Posted December 21, 2011 Cold air has held its ground here today 34.5F, Point and click has 80% chance 1-2" thurs night into friday morning Thursday Night: Snow, mainly after 3am. Low around 29. Light north wind. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New snow accumulation of 1 to 2 inches possible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 21, 2011 Share Posted December 21, 2011 LOL, I'm fine. It just doesn't feel like Christmas at all. I can't get into the mood..the only good thing is getting together with family and friends. It would be nice if my last real flakes weren't on 10/29. I was just thinking of the Oct storm and I bet parts of SNE are still above average season to date for snowfall... also the weenie fear that snows in October mean a sh@tty start to the winter season is getting highlighted this season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted December 21, 2011 Share Posted December 21, 2011 BOX hugging the warm gfs and saying less then 1" for me... Thursday Night: Rain and snow, mainly after 3am. Low around 32. West wind between 4 and 7 mph becoming calm. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New snow accumulation of less than a half inch possible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 22, 2011 Share Posted December 22, 2011 BOX hugging the warm gfs and saying less then 1" for me... Thursday Night: Rain and snow, mainly after 3am. Low around 32. West wind between 4 and 7 mph becoming calm. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New snow accumulation of less than a half inch possible. A little better here... Thursday Night: Rain and snow likely, becoming all snow after 4am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 30. West wind around 6 mph becoming calm. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New snow accumulation of 1 to 2 inches possible. Friday: Snow likely, mainly before 9am. Cloudy, with a high near 37. North wind between 3 and 6 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted December 22, 2011 Share Posted December 22, 2011 Cold air has held its ground here today 34.5F, Point and click has 80% chance 1-2" thurs night into friday morning Here too as we have not broken 35 but we'll see what tomorrow night brings despite the winter chill in the air currently. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 22, 2011 Share Posted December 22, 2011 Here too as we have not broken 35 but we'll see what tomorrow night brings despite the winter chill in the air currently. I've got my windows open... 50F Sick gradient out there (ps... my windows are not open...) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 22, 2011 Share Posted December 22, 2011 Here too as we have not broken 35 but we'll see what tomorrow night brings despite the winter chill in the air currently. Warm front has stayed just south around portsmouth, Once the cold front comes thru, I think we will warm into low 40's during the day tomorow before the next cold front moves in along with the low moving up from the south tomorow night.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 22, 2011 Share Posted December 22, 2011 Top nina analog on the CIPS site is 1/11/09. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 22, 2011 Share Posted December 22, 2011 GYX evening AFD.. .LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/... FAST-MOVING BUT SOMEWHAT JUICY SHORT WAVE TROUGH WILL MOVE ACROSS THE REGION THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY MORNING. LIKED THE GFS/GFS ENSEMBLE/ECMWF/GGEM CONSENSUS WITH REGARD TO FORCING AND QPF. THE NAM AND OVERALL SREF CONSENSUS SEEMED TOO FAR SOUTH. THEREFORE...WE HAVE FORECAST CAT POPS FOR MUCH OF THE CWA STARTING LATE THURSDAY EVENING...AND ENDING FOR THE MOST PART FRIDAY MORNING. HIGHEST POPS ACROSS SOUTHERNMOST ZONES...AND LOWEST IN THE FAR NORTH WHERE ONLY LIKELY HAVE BEEN FORECAST. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted December 22, 2011 Share Posted December 22, 2011 GYX evening AFD.. .LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/... FAST-MOVING BUT SOMEWHAT JUICY SHORT WAVE TROUGH WILL MOVE ACROSS THE REGION THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY MORNING. LIKED THE GFS/GFS ENSEMBLE/ECMWF/GGEM CONSENSUS WITH REGARD TO FORCING AND QPF. THE NAM AND OVERALL SREF CONSENSUS SEEMED TOO FAR SOUTH. THEREFORE...WE HAVE FORECAST CAT POPS FOR MUCH OF THE CWA STARTING LATE THURSDAY EVENING...AND ENDING FOR THE MOST PART FRIDAY MORNING. HIGHEST POPS ACROSS SOUTHERNMOST ZONES...AND LOWEST IN THE FAR NORTH WHERE ONLY LIKELY HAVE BEEN FORECAST. gfs has been rock solid. A+ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 22, 2011 Share Posted December 22, 2011 gfs has been rock solid. A+ I hope its spot on, It will be a 1st, I will get 4" out of it, But i doub't it, I will take my 1-2" and be happy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted December 22, 2011 Share Posted December 22, 2011 gfs has been rock solid. A+ What blows about this pattern is we can't establish a bias pattern in the models. We know overall Kevin loves the GFS...but in seriousness...consensus opinion is probably best but we cannot discount the cold models yet. 0z may tdo that for us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted December 22, 2011 Share Posted December 22, 2011 Warm front has stayed just south around portsmouth, Once the cold front comes thru, I think we will warm into low 40's during the day tomorow before the next cold front moves in along with the low moving up from the south tomorow night.. Agreed although the valley locations may be the last to go up. I went out in the woods and embraced the cold drizzle with the dog earlier and honestly it felt better than 50F even if it wasn't snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted December 22, 2011 Share Posted December 22, 2011 I hope its spot on, It will be a 1st, I will get 4" out of it, But i doub't it, I will take my 1-2" and be happy Wait, lol, are you saying the GFS has only been correct once in its existance.?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 22, 2011 Share Posted December 22, 2011 gfs has been rock solid. A+ Rock solid wrong. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted December 22, 2011 Share Posted December 22, 2011 I've got my windows open... 50F Sick gradient out there (ps... my windows are not open...) I tend to hold the cold better than MPM due to his high exposure but it's rare that I'm >10F colder than you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted December 22, 2011 Share Posted December 22, 2011 Rock solid wrong. Hows that Euro xmas snowstorm working for you? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted December 22, 2011 Share Posted December 22, 2011 Hows that Euro xmas snowstorm working for you? It's going to come back on the 12z runs tomorrow...didn't you hear? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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