Clinch Leatherwood Posted December 21, 2011 Share Posted December 21, 2011 NAM coming towards the faster spread now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted December 21, 2011 Share Posted December 21, 2011 I just looked for myself...looks like the euro starts snowing at like 2am in the Berks...and at 4am as rain in BOS...ends at 8am from west to east, maybe mid-morning BOS with some lingering flurries/sn. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Boston-winter08 Posted December 21, 2011 Share Posted December 21, 2011 NAM's juiced up...definintely about 10-20 miles north of 12z, but that could be partly due to speed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted December 21, 2011 Share Posted December 21, 2011 I just looked for myself...looks like the euro starts snowing at like 2am in the Berks...and at 4am as rain in BOS...ends at 8am from west to east, maybe mid-morning BOS with some lingering flurries/sn. yeah i think most of this is done by mid to late morning...though maybe c/nne hold onto clouds and light snows/flurries. it really races through very quickly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 21, 2011 Author Share Posted December 21, 2011 18z NAM is really flat and suppressed again. Not buying it though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 21, 2011 Author Share Posted December 21, 2011 Man, the clown maps are gonna look awesome from CT over to SE MA on this NAM run, lol. Definitely cold again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 21, 2011 Share Posted December 21, 2011 18z NAM is really flat and suppressed again. Not buying it though. Yeah--it blows. 33.1/32 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 21, 2011 Share Posted December 21, 2011 Man, the clown maps are gonna look awesome from CT over to SE MA on this NAM run, lol. Definitely cold again. Kev's best run yet. Probably all snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted December 21, 2011 Share Posted December 21, 2011 Nam is cold, and south. I would deff take the nam solution as it leaves me on the northern end of the good precip and plenty cold. It would probably give me 3-4", just like the srefs. As long as the gfs is wrong though, I will have snow on the ground Friday, which is the goal. Even with the gfs, I might be able to get an inch or 2 on the grass. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 21, 2011 Share Posted December 21, 2011 Yeah--it blows. 33.1/32 Won't take a clown to figure out what the clown maps will look like up here, Nam is furthest southeast and the coldest of all the guidance Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted December 21, 2011 Share Posted December 21, 2011 Yeah--it blows. 33.1/32 You are such a weenie. It has .4 qpf IYBY as snow lol. Yes, it drops qpf off quickly to your north, but I think that you are in a good spot considering the furthest south model gives you 3-4", and the furthest north model probably does as well. I would be willing to switch places if you would like Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 21, 2011 Share Posted December 21, 2011 Won't take a clown to figure out what the clown maps will look like up here, Nam is furthest southeast and the coldest of all the guidance It's trying to go to town with the inv trof for NH/W ME. Pretty deep RH up to 700mb hanging back. At least it tries to give us a white Christmas despite the Friday snub. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted December 21, 2011 Share Posted December 21, 2011 toss every other model. NAM ftw. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 21, 2011 Share Posted December 21, 2011 In case anyone's interested..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 21, 2011 Share Posted December 21, 2011 In case anyone's interested..... Kevin works for HPC now? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 21, 2011 Share Posted December 21, 2011 You are such a weenie. It has .4 qpf IYBY as snow lol. Yes, it drops qpf off quickly to your north, but I think that you are in a good spot considering the furthest south model gives you 3-4", and the furthest north model probably does as well. I would be willing to switch places if you would like I'm not so sure about .4. Looks to me like I'm 8 miles south of the .1/.25 line as is the entirety of the area north of Rt. 2. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 21, 2011 Share Posted December 21, 2011 Wow, that is an impressive warm boundary in the area today! 57F in SE zones and 35F N or RT 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted December 21, 2011 Share Posted December 21, 2011 I'm not so sure about .4. Looks to me like I'm 8 miles south of the .1/.25 line as is the entirety of the area north of Rt. 2. On twisterdata it looks like between .3 and .4, regardless though, I think you're in good shape for 3-4". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 21, 2011 Share Posted December 21, 2011 Not sure of the members that make up the 15z SREF's but the 15z ETA is S as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted December 21, 2011 Share Posted December 21, 2011 18z NAM snow map is a bullseye over tolland. LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 21, 2011 Share Posted December 21, 2011 Kev's best run yet. Probably all snow. LOL..I think it's too cold..but I also think 98% of what falls here is snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 21, 2011 Share Posted December 21, 2011 Not sure of the members that make up the 15z SREF's but the 15z ETA is S as well. It was generally ETA/NMM members south and ARW/RSM members north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 21, 2011 Share Posted December 21, 2011 18z NAM snow map is a bullseye over tolland. LOL OK..I'll admit it..I hacked in Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 21, 2011 Share Posted December 21, 2011 Have we lost the on/off light snows with the s/w that some models were showing for Xmas Eve? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 21, 2011 Share Posted December 21, 2011 It's trying to go to town with the inv trof for NH/W ME. Pretty deep RH up to 700mb hanging back. At least it tries to give us a white Christmas despite the Friday snub. Was just about to make the comment and i read your post, That i will have to wait for the hangback moisture to get my 1"........lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 21, 2011 Share Posted December 21, 2011 In case anyone's interested..... That map looks like a fat squirrel Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted December 21, 2011 Share Posted December 21, 2011 Wow, that is an impressive warm boundary in the area today! 57F in SE zones and 35F N or RT 2 Ct Valley chillin' from Springfield N. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted December 21, 2011 Share Posted December 21, 2011 How man feet is MRG going to get? NAM I think is coming towards the others on speed...suspect the GFS bends towards the NAM somewhat on the cold? Weird but I guess the NAM is still 36-42+ which is the trouble zone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted December 21, 2011 Share Posted December 21, 2011 How man feet is MRG going to get? NAM I think is coming towards the others on speed...suspect the GFS bends towards the NAM somewhat on the cold? Weird but I guess the NAM is still 36-42+ which is the trouble zone. this would be a huge blow to every model outside of the NAM / hi-res wrf/nmm stuff. i just don't see it happening. would love for it to be real, but i just can't buy it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted December 21, 2011 Share Posted December 21, 2011 i'm just going to ride the mm5. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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