CoastalWx Posted December 21, 2011 Share Posted December 21, 2011 No way..how did you know? Edit, I just moused over the description. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 21, 2011 Share Posted December 21, 2011 Edit, I just moused over the description. I don't see the LI contours though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 21, 2011 Share Posted December 21, 2011 No way..how did you know? The 850-500 mb mean relative humidity charts show lifted index(contours, 2 interval) and integrated relative humidity from 850 to 500 mb (color fill, 10% interval). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted December 21, 2011 Share Posted December 21, 2011 I feel like upon my return Jerry will have a wallet full of cash waiting to be spent on dinner. My snowman has totally melted but on the bright side my lawn looks great. Euro/NAM would be close. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 21, 2011 Share Posted December 21, 2011 Steve, what's that batch of darker blue on the Pit? Something must be off. 32.9/31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 21, 2011 Share Posted December 21, 2011 Steve, what's that batch of darker blue on the Pit? Something must be off. 32.9/31 Why do you post your temp and dewpoint in every single post? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 21, 2011 Share Posted December 21, 2011 Why do you post your temp and dewpoint in every single post? Why do you wash your car every week? 33.0/32 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 21, 2011 Share Posted December 21, 2011 Edit, I just moused over the description. I'd confirm it against other H85 RH plots first. They have some nice data on WU, but could do a better job with the scaling and descriptions. Their 2m temp maps are a little strange sometimes as the line contours don't always match up with the shaded ones. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted December 21, 2011 Share Posted December 21, 2011 So far being on the mild lake is just a negative for BUF this winter...one modest LES event two weeks ago excepted. Looks good for my cousins at 2300 ft. in Allegany County. I don't think the lake is a problem here...just a marginal bl...need to get into some decent lift to accumulate. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted December 21, 2011 Share Posted December 21, 2011 Why do you wash your car every week? 33.0/32 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 21, 2011 Share Posted December 21, 2011 Why do you post your temp and dewpoint in every single post? That way no matter what he writes, the post is always "on topic." Its fail proof way not to get your posts deleted by Mods, haha. Meso-scale models look good for you Blizz... grass covered for X-mas! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmanmitch Posted December 21, 2011 Share Posted December 21, 2011 I'm liking what I see for a solid WWA event for the higher terrain of W and C MA. Barring a dramatic shift N or S, I'm thinking a 3-5" deal above 1K, and possibly a 6" lollipop near 2K in the northern Berks. The valleys below 1K will probably have BL issues early on, which should limit accumulations to 1-3". IMO, I'm more concerned that this thing winds up being too warm in the mid-levels for areas south of the Pike than a more suppressed solution that keeps the QPF further south a la 12Z NAM. I also like S VT and S NH for this event, N CT not so much with the exception of maybe Norfolk or Salisbury. Currently torching out there with a decent S wind. Up to 47.1°. If MPM is still near freezing, this is a classic example of the west slope torching and the east slope experiencing cold air trapping. This is major reason why snow pack retention is so much better just to my E in winters where it actually snows enough for a solid snow pack. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 21, 2011 Share Posted December 21, 2011 Currently torching out there with a decent S wind. Up to 47.1°. If MPM is still near freezing, this is a classic example of the west slope torching and the east slope experiencing cold air trapping. This is major reason why snow pack retention is so much better just to my E in winters where it actually snows enough for a solid snow pack. Same exact thing up here... its 32F here on the east side of Mount Mansfield in Stowe while Underhill on the west side (only a few miles away as the crow flies but otherside of the ridge) is 42F. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 21, 2011 Share Posted December 21, 2011 That way no matter what he writes, the post is always "on topic." Its fail proof way not to get your posts deleted by Mods, haha. Meso-scale models look good for you Blizz... grass covered for X-mas! Let's hope so. NAM/Srefs/Ukie/RGEM and even the Euro all give me some snow..I'd rather have that combo on my side than the GFS..we';ll see how it plays out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 21, 2011 Author Share Posted December 21, 2011 15z SREFs took a big bump back north which isn't a surprise considering how suppressed they were at 09z. They still keep Kevin safe though for the time being, but we'll have to wait and see how the 00z suite comes in...SREFs could be behind the curve here as has been mentioned a few times. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted December 21, 2011 Share Posted December 21, 2011 15z SREFs took a big bump back north which isn't a surprise considering how suppressed they were at 09z. They still keep Kevin safe though for the time being, but we'll have to wait and see how the 00z suite comes in...SREFs could be behind the curve here as has been mentioned a few times. Nice. I didn't like the 09 SREFs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 21, 2011 Share Posted December 21, 2011 I'm liking what I see for a solid WWA event for the higher terrain of W and C MA. Barring a dramatic shift N or S, I'm thinking a 3-5" deal above 1K, and possibly a 6" lollipop near 2K in the northern Berks. The valleys below 1K will probably have BL issues early on, which should limit accumulations to 1-3". IMO, I'm more concerned that this thing winds up being too warm in the mid-levels for areas south of the Pike than a more suppressed solution that keeps the QPF further south a la 12Z NAM. I also like S VT and S NH for this event, N CT not so much with the exception of maybe Norfolk or Salisbury. Currently torching out there with a decent S wind. Up to 47.1°. If MPM is still near freezing, this is a classic example of the west slope torching and the east slope experiencing cold air trapping. This is major reason why snow pack retention is so much better just to my E in winters where it actually snows enough for a solid snow pack. He still is. Sitting at 32.8/31. I keep expecting it to spike, but still waiting. Nice to see my snow icon on. Maybe it's advanced warning for tomorrow night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted December 21, 2011 Share Posted December 21, 2011 Raining good, socked in with fog and 39 out here now. That 6 inch sweet spot could be near here tomorrow night (except the NAM which gives under 1"), but we shall see..... I'm liking what I see for a solid WWA event for the higher terrain of W and C MA. Barring a dramatic shift N or S, I'm thinking a 3-5" deal above 1K, and possibly a 6" lollipop near 2K in the northern Berks. The valleys below 1K will probably have BL issues early on, which should limit accumulations to 1-3". IMO, I'm more concerned that this thing winds up being too warm in the mid-levels for areas south of the Pike than a more suppressed solution that keeps the QPF further south a la 12Z NAM. I also like S VT and S NH for this event, N CT not so much with the exception of maybe Norfolk or Salisbury. Currently torching out there with a decent S wind. Up to 47.1°. If MPM is still near freezing, this is a classic example of the west slope torching and the east slope experiencing cold air trapping. This is major reason why snow pack retention is so much better just to my E in winters where it actually snows enough for a solid snow pack. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 21, 2011 Share Posted December 21, 2011 EC ens look a little cooler/S of the op at 48hr...especially at 2m. Nothing really drastic aloft though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 21, 2011 Share Posted December 21, 2011 15z SREFs took a big bump back north which isn't a surprise considering how suppressed they were at 09z. They still keep Kevin safe though for the time being, but we'll have to wait and see how the 00z suite comes in...SREFs could be behind the curve here as has been mentioned a few times. Nice. I didn't like the 09 SREFs. Just hope it doesn't continue trekking north like the system earlier this month with wide-spread rain before quick change at the end. 32.7/32, heavy fog just below my hill. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 21, 2011 Share Posted December 21, 2011 EC ens look a little cooler/S of the op at 48hr...especially at 2m. Cue Kevin. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 21, 2011 Share Posted December 21, 2011 Nice. I didn't like the 09 SREFs. Ha ha lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted December 21, 2011 Share Posted December 21, 2011 What's the timing on the EC? The gfs looked pretty fast with the bulk of the storm from 6z to 10z and basically out of the area by 12z...I was hoping it would slow down a little so I could actually be awake for some of the snow lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 21, 2011 Share Posted December 21, 2011 Nice. I didn't like the 09 SREFs. Kevin did though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted December 21, 2011 Share Posted December 21, 2011 NAM starts out even furth east/se than the 12z run in the early panels Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 21, 2011 Author Share Posted December 21, 2011 SREF probs are north obviously from 09z after the shift north...the 1" probs have gotten really high over a good portion of SNE...whether this is relevant yet is still a bit iffy to me. The EC ensembles being pretty much just like 00z definitely give a little bit more confidence on avoiding a huge jump north Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 21, 2011 Share Posted December 21, 2011 What's the timing on the EC? The gfs looked pretty fast with the bulk of the storm from 6z to 10z and basically out of the area by 12z...I was hoping it would slow down a little so I could actually be awake for some of the snow lol. Most of the snow falls during the day on Friday after starting pre dawn Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 21, 2011 Share Posted December 21, 2011 Just hope it doesn't continue trekking north like the system earlier this month with wide-spread rain before quick change at the end. 32.7/32, heavy fog just below my hill. I doub't it gets that far north, That storm, The low tracked just to my SE... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted December 21, 2011 Share Posted December 21, 2011 15z srefs...40% probs of 4" imby and Kevin...I hope you're right but I think its fast then that... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 21, 2011 Share Posted December 21, 2011 I'm keeping my snowblower parked in my shed. juju and all... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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