ORH_wxman Posted December 21, 2011 Author Share Posted December 21, 2011 LOL..Scooter says Ouch and Will says good Its good up this way but it might be an MLK 2010 disaster for you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 21, 2011 Share Posted December 21, 2011 Wagon's north It holds back a lot of moisture over most of NNE into NW Mass @ hr 60 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted December 21, 2011 Share Posted December 21, 2011 Jackpot here again? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 21, 2011 Share Posted December 21, 2011 Its good up this way but it might be an MLK 2010 disaster for you. LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 21, 2011 Share Posted December 21, 2011 0.50" up to RUT-CON by 54hr. Looks OK north of the Pike. Solid advisory level. EC/GFS/GENS/GGEM vs. NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted December 21, 2011 Share Posted December 21, 2011 Adam told me 2" for BUF...i'd take it at this point..not too far from being decent. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 21, 2011 Share Posted December 21, 2011 Why do so many people not want it to snow imby? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattlacroix4 Posted December 21, 2011 Share Posted December 21, 2011 North and looks better up here... Total QPF? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 21, 2011 Share Posted December 21, 2011 I hope we don't have mixing issues on tonight's runs. Shades of the last one! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 21, 2011 Share Posted December 21, 2011 Why do so many people not want it to snow imby? All people are saying, is that it isn't a clear cut deal for you. You will probably see snow, but it's close to being a disaster for you. That's all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 21, 2011 Share Posted December 21, 2011 Weenie ridge jackpot. Bring it on... I'm sending this to my school superintendent Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted December 21, 2011 Share Posted December 21, 2011 I'm not like that ...I want everyone to do well. But of course we all have self interest...... I dunno if there is anyone here that actually experiences Schadenfreude over others missing out on snow. Why do so many people not want it to snow imby? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 21, 2011 Author Share Posted December 21, 2011 Why do so many people not want it to snow imby? I hope you get a few inches for a white Christmas but I said the north trend was still an issue even after the NAM came in cold...we'll just have to watch and see. The Euro really wasn't that different than 00z...just a tick north, but you are in that position where a tick north can be costly when comparing to 00z run. It def picked up on the low level cold drainage better than GFS which isn't a surprise. We're still just under 48h out from it, so there's a lot of time for shifts to happen. Even on the Euro though you'd probably still get an inch or two...you might be snow, mix/rain, then back to snow at the end on this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 21, 2011 Share Posted December 21, 2011 The S/W on Saturday looked a little better on this run, but the outcome wasn't really shown. It's still good to see it trend a little sharper. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 21, 2011 Share Posted December 21, 2011 Why do so many people not want it to snow imby? I think it's just fun razzing. Of course, if you rain, some of us might get more snow. But that has nothing to do with it. 32.4/30 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 21, 2011 Share Posted December 21, 2011 Why do so many people not want it to snow imby? We are cruel (and jealous of last year for some of us) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted December 21, 2011 Share Posted December 21, 2011 I hope you get a foot everyone should be happy on Christmas!! Goodluck! Why do so many people not want it to snow imby? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted December 21, 2011 Share Posted December 21, 2011 we're in the same pattern that caused the last storm to shift north right until it started Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 21, 2011 Share Posted December 21, 2011 Why do so many people not want it to snow imby? I hope you get snow. I'd like to see this pan out to give as many people as possible 1"+ for the holiday. It's all going to torch away after Christmas so the more people who can see some semblance of a white Christmas the better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 21, 2011 Share Posted December 21, 2011 Jackpot here again? .50" qpf Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 21, 2011 Share Posted December 21, 2011 Why do so many people not want it to snow imby? Seriously. Everyone has been objective about what the models are showing. They are what they are. Wish-casting won't change what they show. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 21, 2011 Share Posted December 21, 2011 I hope you get a few inches for a white Christmas but I said the north trend was still an issue even after the NAM came in cold...we'll just have to watch and see. The Euro really wasn't that different than 00z...just a tick north, but you are in that position where a tick north can be costly when comparing to 00z run. It def picked up on the low level cold drainage better than GFS which isn't a surprise. We're still just under 48h out from it, so there's a lot of time for shifts to happen. Even on the Euro though you'd probably still get an inch or two...you might be snow, mix/rain, then back to snow at the end on this run. What does the Euro picking up on and trending the colder BL tell you though? For a model that usually has a warmer type 2m bias? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 21, 2011 Share Posted December 21, 2011 we're in the same pattern that caused the last storm to shift north right until it started Are you referring to the T-Day one? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted December 21, 2011 Share Posted December 21, 2011 Are you referring to the T-Day one? the one earlier this month Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted December 21, 2011 Share Posted December 21, 2011 Maybe it's time to remove the "Light Snow" from the topic..... Seems moderate for some people now...... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted December 21, 2011 Share Posted December 21, 2011 AWT? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 21, 2011 Share Posted December 21, 2011 What does the Euro picking up on and trending the colder BL tell you though? For a model that usually has a warmer type 2m bias? All models have a warmer bias in the 2M temps in the winter..esp with storms, but it has a slight warm bias in the mid levels. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 21, 2011 Share Posted December 21, 2011 What does the Euro picking up on and trending the colder BL tell you though? For a model that usually has a warmer type 2m bias? 2m this run didn't look a whole lot different from the 00z run to me. It's colder than the GFS though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 21, 2011 Share Posted December 21, 2011 AWT? LOL, he thinks I'm being a Debbie for his area, but it's the reason why I told him not to get excited yet. Hopefully it trends south, but equal chances it might tick north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 21, 2011 Share Posted December 21, 2011 2m this run didn't look a whole lot different from the 00z run to me. It's colder than the GFS though. The euro will def be colder than the GFS in this set up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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