Jump to content
  • Member Statistics

    17,589
    Total Members
    7,904
    Most Online
    LopezElliana
    Newest Member
    LopezElliana
    Joined

Boxing Day Miracle 2011 - Models Hinting at potential


Logan11

Recommended Posts

  • Replies 1.1k
  • Created
  • Last Reply

I know! I hate THERE threads. Glad I don't live THEIR.

:o

Ha ha

Folks - the 12z Euro shows its inherent shakiness as a model at D5 and beyond. That said ... I disagree with the GFS thermal fields and think the Euro has a better handle on the thickness gradient likely to result from moderately strong CAA preceding, having a source origin from off positive anomaly cryosphere. If the CAA wasn't there I may think otherwise, but the GFS doesn't make a lot of intuitive sense synoptically. Considering that in its own depictions it has a 1035-like MB polar high transiting N of Maine 24 hours prior, with its native grid it may be eroding/displacing polar air out of the region prematurely.

That's my take for now...

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Ha ha

Folks - the 12z Euro shows it's inherent shakiness as a model at D5 and beyond. That said ... I disagree with the GFS thermal fields and think the Euro has a better handle on the thickness gradient likely to result from moderately strong CAA preceding, having a source origin from off positive anomaly cryosphere. If the CAA wasn't there I may think otherwise, but the GFS doesn't make a lot of intuitive sense synoptically. Considering that in its own depictions it has a 1035-like MB polar high transiting N of Maine 24 hours prior, with it's native grid it may be eroding/displacing polar air out of the region prematurely.

That's my take for now...

Confluence FTW?

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Archived

This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.

  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    • No registered users viewing this page.

×
×
  • Create New...