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Boxing Day Miracle 2011 - Models Hinting at potential


Logan11

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So GGEM/EURO/GFS all with a nice solid 1-4 inch snowfall on Friday. I'll take it and run

they are all pretty skimpy with qpf...so 4 might be a bit much there verbatim.

it's also a bit warm in the BL too so maybe some concerns there as well. the euro surface temps (though they may be too warm given the HP to the north) are into the 40s in a decent chunk of SNE on friday.

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The Euro is really hanging that energy way back into the SW. Maybe this will end up a bigger deal for system 3 like the 6z GEFS sorta indicated?

How many times have we seen these "3 Short Waves Setup" over the past couple of years? What usually happens:

The first wave(12/23) always gets fizzled out, the second wave (12-24/25) is progged to become the most amplified about 6-7 days out, and then finally all energy shifts into the 3rd wave and we get a huge storm leaving the first wave fizzled out and the second wave like a minor appetizer to the 3rd storm.

As climo thought.. Boxing day redux?

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