Damage In Tolland Posted December 19, 2011 Share Posted December 19, 2011 CMC gives a light snow event Friday...maybe an inch or 2 then as Kevin mentioned, OTS. I think the Friday system is our best chance. I think we can feel pretty good about a general 1-3 or 4 inch event for Thursday nite/Friday. Should still have snow OTG on the 24th..so no matter what happens on the 25th..still a white holiday. Christmas or Hanukkah Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted December 19, 2011 Author Share Posted December 19, 2011 It's my "Bird in Hand" approach. In this pattern with so many timing issues, go for the first chance and then worry about the next. That said...I suspect I'm too far northwest for Friday and if that ever trends this far north it probably doesn't bode well for Sundays. CMC gives a light snow event Friday...maybe an inch or 2 then as Kevin mentioned, OTS. I think the Friday system is our best chance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowNH Posted December 19, 2011 Share Posted December 19, 2011 How many times have we seen these "3 Short Waves Setup" over the past couple of years? What usually happens: The first wave(12/23) always gets fizzled out, the second wave (12-24/25) is progged to become the most amplified about 6-7 days out, and then finally all energy shifts into the 3rd wave and we get a huge storm leaving the first wave fizzled out and the second wave like a minor appetizer to the 3rd storm. I like the third wave potential (12-26/27) a lot more than the second wave. The cold air that is present for that one is just a lot more intriguing to me than the second wave. That being said, without blocking I am more concerned about precip type with the 3rd storm rather than losing the storm OTS. Looking forward to tracking these over the next week. 56/46 partly cloudy and relaxing in SD! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 19, 2011 Share Posted December 19, 2011 Euro is running. The good doctor will probably be the arbiter in the end. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 19, 2011 Share Posted December 19, 2011 How many times have we seen these "3 Short Waves Setup" over the past couple of years? What usually happens: The first wave(12/23) always gets fizzled out, the second wave (12-24/25) is progged to become the most amplified about 6-7 days out, and then finally all energy shifts into the 3rd wave and we get a huge storm leaving the first wave fizzled out and the second wave like a minor appetizer to the 3rd storm. I like the third wave potential (12-26/27) a lot more than the second wave. The cold air that is present for that one is just a lot more intriguing to me than the second wave. That being said, without blocking I am more concerned about precip type with the 3rd storm rather than losing the storm OTS. 56/46 partly cloudy and relaxing in SD! So much for no posting from Cali. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 19, 2011 Share Posted December 19, 2011 It's my "Bird in Hand" approach. In this pattern with so many timing issues, go for the first chance and then worry about the next. That said...I suspect I'm too far northwest for Friday and if that ever trends this far north it probably doesn't bode well for Sundays. The EURO is probably about to take my gun-in-hand approach. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted December 19, 2011 Share Posted December 19, 2011 The EURO is probably about to take my gun-in-hand approach. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 19, 2011 Share Posted December 19, 2011 The EURO is probably about to take my gun-in-hand approach. And apparently, Kevin took the "weenie in hand" approach. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 19, 2011 Share Posted December 19, 2011 Careful, Bob is logged on Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 19, 2011 Share Posted December 19, 2011 And apparently, Kevin took the "weenie in hand" approach. Pray for me that this one doesn't rain....or else someone is going to find me under the tree, after spking my egg nog with draino. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 19, 2011 Share Posted December 19, 2011 Pray for me that this one doesn't rain....or else someone is going to find me under the tree, after spking my egg nog with draino. I can't stop laughing at that toaster pic of you....I just can't. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 19, 2011 Share Posted December 19, 2011 I can't stop laughing at that toaster pic of you....I just can't. Stand by for the EURO....I may make a cameo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted December 19, 2011 Share Posted December 19, 2011 before we head back to 60's for a week or 2 in early Jan Do you really think that's gonna happen? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted December 19, 2011 Author Share Posted December 19, 2011 In a world without blocking, you definitely want multiple medium sized s/w's rather than the one big enchilada, because it will cut more often than not..... How many times have we seen these "3 Short Waves Setup" over the past couple of years? What usually happens: The first wave(12/23) always gets fizzled out, the second wave (12-24/25) is progged to become the most amplified about 6-7 days out, and then finally all energy shifts into the 3rd wave and we get a huge storm leaving the first wave fizzled out and the second wave like a minor appetizer to the 3rd storm. I like the third wave potential (12-26/27) a lot more than the second wave. The cold air that is present for that one is just a lot more intriguing to me than the second wave. That being said, without blocking I am more concerned about precip type with the 3rd storm rather than losing the storm OTS. Looking forward to tracking these over the next week. 56/46 partly cloudy and relaxing in SD! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 19, 2011 Share Posted December 19, 2011 Do you really think that's gonna happen? Some mets are saying first half of Jan will be top 15 warmest ever Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 19, 2011 Share Posted December 19, 2011 Some mets are saying first half of Jan will be top 15 warmest ever CONUS wise...could be pretty mild. Sure hope not. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted December 19, 2011 Share Posted December 19, 2011 CONUS wise...could be pretty mild. Sure hope not. ugh..most likely we are going to have an awful spring. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted December 19, 2011 Share Posted December 19, 2011 euro has a nice xmas eve eve festive look...some light snows in some areas with chilly temps bleeding in Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Boston-winter08 Posted December 19, 2011 Share Posted December 19, 2011 euro has a nice xmas eve eve festive look...some light snows in some areas with chilly temps bleeding in how's the friday potential? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted December 19, 2011 Share Posted December 19, 2011 how's the friday potential? that is friday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 19, 2011 Share Posted December 19, 2011 how's the friday potential? LOL..that is Friday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 19, 2011 Share Posted December 19, 2011 that is friday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 19, 2011 Share Posted December 19, 2011 that is friday I wonder if that trends a little wetter as we get closer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 19, 2011 Share Posted December 19, 2011 Phil, how about the 23rd potential Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 19, 2011 Share Posted December 19, 2011 So GGEM/EURO/GFS all with a nice solid 1-4 inch snowfall on Friday. I'll take it and run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Boston-winter08 Posted December 19, 2011 Share Posted December 19, 2011 that is friday LOL..that is Friday missed one of the eve's Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 19, 2011 Share Posted December 19, 2011 So GGEM/EURO/GFS all with a nice solid 1-4 inch snowfall on Friday. I'll take it and run Like the NAM, you basically have to cut your totals in half or more. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 19, 2011 Share Posted December 19, 2011 Like the NAM, you basically have to cut your totals in half or more. Why? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 19, 2011 Share Posted December 19, 2011 Lots of lingering mid level RH and onshore flow through the 24th. I wonder if we'll see some ocnl -SN through that day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted December 19, 2011 Share Posted December 19, 2011 And they wonder why nobody post in there threads.. I know! I hate THERE threads. Glad I don't live THEIR. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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