weatherMA Posted December 21, 2011 Share Posted December 21, 2011 Bouchard has been as erratic as Kevin. Every 6 hours it's like an alien took over his body and a new forecasts results. lol...what did he do at 11... toss the storm and say its going out to sea? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted December 21, 2011 Author Share Posted December 21, 2011 Euro = Globetrotters GFS = Washington Generals .... Yeah this will be a good battle. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 21, 2011 Share Posted December 21, 2011 GFS makes a late effort to get a coastal up here on the 27th although it's a rainy scraper for SE MA. The GFS is all over the place run to run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 21, 2011 Share Posted December 21, 2011 GGEM loses the storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowNH Posted December 21, 2011 Share Posted December 21, 2011 GGEM loses the storm. So it goes from most amped to lose storm... Hmmm which model do we usually go with here??? The fricken Luke Donald model Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 21, 2011 Share Posted December 21, 2011 00z GEFS mean still has nada. The Euro is on its own right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 21, 2011 Share Posted December 21, 2011 Wow...the Euro is losing this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 21, 2011 Share Posted December 21, 2011 Flat and OTS without any flakes in the northeast. Pull out the toasters. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
joey2002 Posted December 21, 2011 Share Posted December 21, 2011 Wow... 5 good runs in a row... and now it just lost the storm!? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted December 21, 2011 Share Posted December 21, 2011 Lol the models have been laughable...the cutoff lows really are tough on the guidance. One has to wonder how much confidence we can have in anything at +5 days given the trends over the last 24 hours regarding the storm on Friday. Things are changing pretty rapidly in a short period of time on guidance. At least we have something to watch (by we I mean you guys, not in NJ unless there are people watching for 38 F and rain). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 21, 2011 Share Posted December 21, 2011 Lol the models have been laughable...the cutoff lows really are tough on the guidance. One has to wonder how much confidence we can have in anything at +5 days given the trends over the last 24 hours regarding the storm on Friday. Things are changing pretty rapidly in a short period of time on guidance. At least we have something to watch (by we I mean you guys, not in NJ unless there are people watching for 38 F and rain). If Kevin doesn't get some accums on Friday it may get ugly around here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 21, 2011 Share Posted December 21, 2011 I just saw the Euro...this threat is quickly going down the tubes although the ensembles still had a low over the benchmark albeit not well defined. I think the southern stream just gets sheared out too much to do anything. That northern stream ahead of it has trended stronger too...the stuff that might try and produce a norlun on Xmas even for someone in MA/NH/ME Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted December 21, 2011 Author Share Posted December 21, 2011 A game attempt at a comeback on the 6Z GFS.... stay tuned I guess. I just saw the Euro...this threat is quickly going down the tubes although the ensembles still had a low over the benchmark albeit not well defined. I think the southern stream just gets sheared out too much to do anything. That northern stream ahead of it has trended stronger too...the stuff that might try and produce a norlun on Xmas even for someone in MA/NH/ME Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nutmegfriar Posted December 21, 2011 Share Posted December 21, 2011 Go back to your homes and families. There's nothing to see here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 21, 2011 Share Posted December 21, 2011 Anyone remember Boxing Day klast year? Euro lost it until Christmas Day Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 21, 2011 Share Posted December 21, 2011 Anyone remember Boxing Day klast year? Euro lost it until Christmas Day Blizzard24 has moved to Tolland Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted December 21, 2011 Author Share Posted December 21, 2011 I think it's too soon to write it off. Anyone remember Boxing Day klast year? Euro lost it until Christmas Day Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mikehobbyst Posted December 21, 2011 Share Posted December 21, 2011 I will remember this Boxing Day 2011 too, for the year this horrible wx pattern punched all the snow lovers in the face. If we could have torched 12/26, we could have called it Boxer Day, but it will be seasonable temps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 21, 2011 Share Posted December 21, 2011 Blizzard24 has moved to Tolland You're not getting it. Last year the Euro had the storm and then lost it for several days OTS and then suddenly the 12z run of the GFS and NAM both brought it back the day before and then the Euro followed suit. My guess is the same type of thing has happened here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 21, 2011 Share Posted December 21, 2011 I think it's too soon to write it off. It's soon enough to deflatel a lot of baloons. But, the 06z GFS seems to ressurect the idea on the heels of the EC's losing it. With regard to Thursday night, BOX is really downplaying the qpf for northern MA. Seems they expect much of that to get dried out by the high to the north. Meanhile, wonder if I might get a little ice this morning. Still below freezing--29.7/21 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 21, 2011 Share Posted December 21, 2011 I see the overnight models did not trend well for Xmas day, So we may just end up with the friday storm and some lingering lt snows into saturday, We will see how things go over the next day or 2, I will give it until 12z thurs on the xmas storm.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 21, 2011 Share Posted December 21, 2011 LOL..6z GFS actually now has the storm.. Unreal Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted December 21, 2011 Share Posted December 21, 2011 I see the overnight models did not trend well for Xmas day, So we may just end up with the friday storm and some lingering lt snows into saturday, We will see how things go over the next day or 2, I will give it until 12z thurs on the xmas storm.. Keeping my eye on that inverted trough for Saturday. Could be some sneaky snow for some. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 21, 2011 Share Posted December 21, 2011 Keeping my eye on that inverted trough for Saturday. Could be some sneaky snow for some. Yup, Will have to wait to see if and where it actually sets up.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 21, 2011 Share Posted December 21, 2011 LOL..6z GFS actually now has the storm.. Unreal Still not a sniff on the 06z ensembles though. Euro ensembles still did have a semblance of low pressure on the BM at 120h, so I guess its not totally dead, but it definitely looks much less likely than just 12 hours ago...which probably wasn't that likely even then. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 21, 2011 Share Posted December 21, 2011 Wow, the southern stream got totally destroyed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 21, 2011 Share Posted December 21, 2011 I wonder if we shoot now rooting for that nrn stream energy to dive further south? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted December 21, 2011 Share Posted December 21, 2011 You're not getting it. Last year the Euro had the storm and then lost it for several days OTS and then suddenly the 12z run of the GFS and NAM both brought it back the day before and then the Euro followed suit. My guess is the same type of thing has happened here. Wasn't there also an issue with faulty data input for the models with that storm? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 21, 2011 Share Posted December 21, 2011 I wonder if we shoot now root for that nrn stream energy to dive further south? I know what I would like to shoot,consistency the next generation upgrade? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 21, 2011 Share Posted December 21, 2011 I know what I would like to shoot,consistency the next generation upgrade? Well there were a ton of moving parts and when the GFS and GEFS have nothing, that is a red flag. We'll see of they bring it back in the next couple of days, but I wouldn't get too invested in it right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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