HoarfrostHubb Posted December 21, 2011 Share Posted December 21, 2011 They do this winter Yeah, the plow drivers this year must be hating life On a good note, still piles left from October 29 at Walmart in Gardner Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 21, 2011 Share Posted December 21, 2011 I decided to have any 12/23 discussion here: We are close enough to that threat now where it will probably give someone a few inches, so we can stop trying to discuss two events in the same thread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 21, 2011 Share Posted December 21, 2011 Thanks Will My head was spinning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 21, 2011 Share Posted December 21, 2011 euro 1 inch qpf and thats just one storm of the 2 or 3 Xmas storm verbatium on the 12z euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 21, 2011 Share Posted December 21, 2011 I decided to have any 12/23 discussion here: http://www.americanw...snow-potential/ We are close enough to that threat now where it will probably give someone a few inches, so we can stop trying to discuss two events in the same thread. Thanks Will My head was spinning. Yes, Thanks Will, Should relieve some of the confusion that some have Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted December 21, 2011 Author Share Posted December 21, 2011 The day before that under performing ana-frontal event two weeks ago, I was down at a Pilot truck stop near Schenectady and all it was swarming with local plow guys tanking up for that supposed 6" event in the greater CD.... I guess their tanks are still full. No plowable event yet around the lowlands of the ALB area. Yeah, the plow drivers this year must be hating life On a good note, still piles left from October 29 at Walmart in Gardner Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HeatMizer Posted December 21, 2011 Share Posted December 21, 2011 Do any of you guys have Joe Bstardi on tweetdeck.....Here are his last few tweets just a few minutes ago..don't shoot the messenger !!! European all aboard with Christmas day storm up east coast. My map idea from yesterday on this still holds! pic.twitter.com/5dqUtF1C GFS cant handle separate streams. Southern system will not weaken and trough digs into it and amplifies on east coast Christmas day This is the same error pattern as halloween storm and storm a couple of weeks ago that wound up even further west than I had Look for GFS to start its trend toward Euro and its ensembles. GFS also too far south and too cold with thur into fri storm ( see map) This idea ( euro) much closer to my idea than gfs which is notorious for missing phasing pic.twitter.com/xdxbUxY8 https://twitter.com/...1286146/photo/1 https://twitter.com/...9620480/photo/1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 21, 2011 Share Posted December 21, 2011 Wow, GFS still has no storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Alpha5 Posted December 21, 2011 Share Posted December 21, 2011 Wow, GFS still has no storm. This pattern seems to be giving the GFS nightmares...look at the spread in solutions here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted December 21, 2011 Author Share Posted December 21, 2011 I thought the 18Z op run brought it back a bit ..albeit out to sea. Wow, GFS still has no storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 21, 2011 Share Posted December 21, 2011 Wow, GFS still has no storm. Still only 1 GEFS member with it on ewall too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted December 21, 2011 Share Posted December 21, 2011 The varying GFS solutions and GEF members makes me think we had something around init time that is to be a moderate player but that was on the edge of the init. IE something may not have verified well at init. we will see tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted December 21, 2011 Author Share Posted December 21, 2011 I'd say the GFS is irrelevant re: the Christmas event until probably Friday evening.... clearly clueless now and the most we can expect is a slow gradual comeback on that model until finally maybe by 0Z Saturday it has a real clue. Our tax dollars at work. Look at the Thursday night event...the GFS started with that moisture staying well south of SNE...now it's got measurable to central NH. The varying GFS solutions and GEF members makes me think we had something around init time that is to be a moderate player but that was on the edge of the init. IE something may not have verified well at init. we will see tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 21, 2011 Share Posted December 21, 2011 Still only 1 GEFS member with it on ewall too. My guess..and virtually a WAG at this point, is that it may be a classic GFS thing not handling the southern stream well. However, I hope it means the euro may move se a bit...but I'm still pretty scared of a warmer solution right now...even with the 18z GFS and ensembles. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted December 21, 2011 Share Posted December 21, 2011 The GGEM has the storm....do the UKMET and JMA? Is the Nogaps within 250 miles of the coast? If the GFS is on an island then toss it and watch the storm suddenly appear tomorrow afternoon or evening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 21, 2011 Share Posted December 21, 2011 European all aboard with Christmas day storm up east coast. My map idea from yesterday on this still holds! pic.twitter.com/5dqUtF1C lol--what a joke he is. his #3 circle is absurd. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted December 21, 2011 Author Share Posted December 21, 2011 Typical for him to be too far southeast with snowfall and have to slowly shift it west/north some. It does kinda look like if you were playing the odds, the western burbs of DC and BWI may have as good a shot as lets say the western burbs of BOS, given the trajectory. Friday's modest event is more aligned WSW to ENE. lol--what a joke he is. his #3 circle is absurd. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 21, 2011 Share Posted December 21, 2011 Man. Not that I had a chance for snow out here anyway but, I'm glad I'm going to the tropics for the next 5 days while this pattern persists. BTW, anyone know who's driving this van? Bob is going to toss you a TO. I hope the GFS is right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted December 21, 2011 Share Posted December 21, 2011 I hope the GFS is right. As do I, a driving rainstorm just does not sound appealing on Christmas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 21, 2011 Share Posted December 21, 2011 As do I, a driving rainstorm just does not sound appealing on Christmas. If there is a significant event, it's just difficult for me to imagine it being a snow event for most of sne civilization given the pattern. Just give me a sloppy inch for xmas and I'd take it and run.....but I'd rather nothing than a big event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 21, 2011 Share Posted December 21, 2011 If there is a significant event, it's just difficult for me to imagine it being a snow event for most of sne civilization given the pattern. Just give me a sloppy inch for xmas and I'd take it and run.....but I'd rather nothing than a big event. Hey we agree! Haha you know the pattern is bad when a lot of us are just hoping for a whiff. Plus no one likes to see a large storm hit someone while leaving others out on Xmas... or worse, raining on Xmas. But 40/70 don't worry...it won't trend NW cause it's not on a day 5 prog. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 21, 2011 Share Posted December 21, 2011 Bob is going to toss you a TO. I hope the GFS is right. My back is safe for now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 21, 2011 Share Posted December 21, 2011 Hey we agree! Haha you know the pattern is bad when a lot of us are just hoping for a whiff. Plus no one likes to see a large storm hit someone while leaving others out on Xmas... or worse, raining on Xmas. But 40/70 don't worry...it won't trend NW cause it's not on a day 5 prog. If I were you, I'd hope for a big event....you can do fine in this pattern. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 21, 2011 Share Posted December 21, 2011 My back is safe for now It took me a moment to get that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 21, 2011 Share Posted December 21, 2011 Typical for him to be too far southeast with snowfall and have to slowly shift it west/north some. It does kinda look like if you were playing the odds, the western burbs of DC and BWI may have as good a shot as lets say the western burbs of BOS, given the trajectory. Friday's modest event is more aligned WSW to ENE. possibly tho there is almost no cold air. climo further north is considerably better in that scenario. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 21, 2011 Share Posted December 21, 2011 GFS still has no storm it seems. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 21, 2011 Share Posted December 21, 2011 GFS still has no storm it seems. Not shocking anyway. GFS has been on the no-storm bandwagon for many runs now. It will be interesting to see if it completely gets owned by the Euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 21, 2011 Share Posted December 21, 2011 Not shocking anyway. GFS has been on the no-storm bandwagon for many runs now. It will be interesting to see if it completely gets owned by the Euro. Yeah this will be a good battle. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted December 21, 2011 Share Posted December 21, 2011 If the euro loses the storm for Sunday and rains on us Friday...I don't want to know what it will be like in here when I log on at 8 tomorrow morning. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted December 21, 2011 Share Posted December 21, 2011 Bouchard has been as erratic as Kevin. Every 6 hours it's like an alien took over his body and a new forecasts results. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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