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Boxing Day Miracle 2011 - Models Hinting at potential


Logan11

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I think with such little cold to work with on the backside of this storm we'll have to hedge warmer based on the track. The Ocean is still a toch and there's just a total lack of good cold west of this thing.

And a high well east of us and retreating.

Nice to look at but the Euro has had some issues at D5 with storms...we've had at least one major false positive at this range and a few others that were close.

More focused on storm one which should dump immeasurable snows on most of us.

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We're still 5+ days out...that's what sucks about model watching in a lousy pattern. When things are going well we have ongoing events and when they're done we have another one that pops up on the radar a few days out. When we're snow starved we start looking for chances a week out and weenies live and die every 6 hours with the shifts in the models.

How many days have we been tracking this potential now? 2 or 3? By Friday this storm will probably be giving rain to Vim Toot.

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Don't need a jackpot just want snow on the ground...

Taken literally, I think we'd both be near the maximum amounts from this system outside of the higher terrain. Too far out to worry about that though. At this point I'd take 1-2" of cement with rain ponding on top of it instead of seeing bare ground all of Christmas day.
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Taken literally, I think we'd both be near the maximum amounts from this system outside of the higher terrain. Too far out to worry about that though. At this point I'd take 1-2" of cement with rain ponding on top of it instead of seeing bare ground all of Christmas day.

Definitely to far out, Just a few inches in the end will do, We don't see many brown Christmas's and we don't need another one

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Euro not a bad run for interior SNE above I-84 corridor with regards to 12/25-26. Berks, Monads, and NNE would do well, especially in light of the lingering deformation, which could keep the snow going into Monday if this run were to verify verbatim. In addition, it looks like we get into a NW flow upslope regime on the backside with low level moisture and lake effect, which could give some bonus to the west facing areas that get robbed during the easterly flow portion of the event.

I also like a 1-3" or 2-4" deal for the Berks above 1K Friday morning. As such, I like the chances of a white Xmas in this neck of the woods.

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