dendrite Posted December 19, 2011 Share Posted December 19, 2011 Thanks Brian. No problem. Sorry for the initial confusion. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 19, 2011 Share Posted December 19, 2011 Hopefully the ensembles are right later in the 11-15 day. They try to build better ridging in the PAC, but we've seen this before. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted December 19, 2011 Share Posted December 19, 2011 That's a pretty good high for Friday and Saturday. While not modeled per se, would think there would be a little more widespread -SN than shown. Probably some sort of pseudo CF enhanced stuff too.. maybe even a little upslope for ORH hills...Berks etc. We'll have to see how it looks as we get closer. yeah agree. could kind of picture a situation like in the old days when they displayed clear air mode with the red/yellow/orange hues...if they flipped from precip mode to clear air we'd go from seeing very little on radar to one that's all lit up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 19, 2011 Share Posted December 19, 2011 I'd hit the 12z GFS... the past couple runs have a nice New England snowfall for those flocking to the mountains post-Xmas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 19, 2011 Share Posted December 19, 2011 Hopefully the ensembles are right later in the 11-15 day. They try to build better ridging in the PAC, but we've seen this before. I wonder if the weeklies will reel everyone back in for the long range only to spit them out Thursday... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 19, 2011 Share Posted December 19, 2011 yeah agree. could kind of picture a situation like in the old days when they displayed clear air mode with the red/yellow/orange hues...if they flipped from precip mode to clear air we'd go from seeing very little on radar to one that's all lit up. HAHA exactly. Friday would be a clear air mode day...lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 19, 2011 Share Posted December 19, 2011 Nice..that 's the 1-4 inch event we're talking about we're Fri Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 19, 2011 Share Posted December 19, 2011 There is a threat to track....a legitimate one. We know the pattern blows but we're in a llittle window where winter is happening. The cold overperformed for the first time in months yesterday it seems. most open bodies of water in and around Ayer up along Rt 2 were locked over by this morning. went from open large ponds/small lakes, to birds walking on ice in 12-18 hours. i was impressed by the speed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 19, 2011 Share Posted December 19, 2011 Nice..that 's the 0-4 inch event we're talking about we're Fri That covers things nicely. At Christmas, mood flakes mean a lot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted December 19, 2011 Share Posted December 19, 2011 18z nam is much faster and stronger with the 12/23 storm. Has precip in SW CT by 6z Friday....but its rain at least to start. Verbatim looks decent for sne to me...but I don't really know what I'm talking about. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 19, 2011 Share Posted December 19, 2011 18z nam is much faster and stronger with the 12/23 storm. Has precip in SW CT by 6z Friday....but its rain at least to start. And it could be rain at the start for many of us. The cold won't drain down right away. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted December 19, 2011 Share Posted December 19, 2011 And it could be rain at the start for many of us. The cold won't drain down right away. its wet, and stays wet for must of us according the the dgex Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 19, 2011 Share Posted December 19, 2011 its wet, and stays wet for must of us according the the dgex Well the DGEX does little to change my opinion. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted December 19, 2011 Share Posted December 19, 2011 Well the DGEX does little to change my opinion. im sure it does not, its a rain event on xmas too, snow up in the north kingdom though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KEITH L.I Posted December 19, 2011 Share Posted December 19, 2011 Well the DGEX does little to change my opinion. Why would that horrible model make anybody have an opinion about anything?.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted December 19, 2011 Author Share Posted December 19, 2011 Got a url for the DGEX? for laughs The Friday event may be starting to trend more interesting for here. im sure it does not, its a rain event on xmas too, snow up in the north kingdom though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 19, 2011 Share Posted December 19, 2011 Got a url for the DGEX? for laughs Here is 06z. 18z is not out. http://www.meteo.psu.edu/~gadomski/DGEXEAST_6z/dgexloop.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowstorms Posted December 19, 2011 Share Posted December 19, 2011 Hopefully this works out as I've only have a mere 2.5" in the season thus far compared to a normal of about 17-19", so I'm doing horrible. We havent even had a LES outbreak yet, been very sporadic, not normal. Ski resorts are weeks behind as a result, like f**k this is a crap shot season thus far. The 500mb maps suggest quite alot of vort energy West of Kentucky and a plume of mositure across the SE States. If those two can phase, even partially phase, a scenrio similar to the 0z GGEM is possible. Lets hope that weak PNA ridge can help out, to bring in some cold anomalies and allow a Weak trough to develop despite no blocking. The ECMWF barley has anything. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted December 19, 2011 Share Posted December 19, 2011 Here is 06z. 18z is not out. http://www.meteo.psu...z/dgexloop.html I'm liking my chances of picking up some accumulating snow over the next 5-7 days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 19, 2011 Share Posted December 19, 2011 Why would that horrible model make anybody have an opinion about anything?.. The DGEX is great. Letting the NAM run out to its weenie 84hr range and then letting the GFS have fun with it after that is pure genius imo. Hell, if it was up to me I'd throw some higher res MM5 on top of it after 180hr. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted December 19, 2011 Author Share Posted December 19, 2011 Ok Thanks ...will look at it for entertainment... Interesting we were at 35 from late morning on and then in the last 20 minutes it has spiked to 40. Here is 06z. 18z is not out. http://www.meteo.psu...z/dgexloop.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 19, 2011 Share Posted December 19, 2011 The DGEX is great. Letting the NAM run out to its weenie 84hr range and then letting the GFS have fun with it after that is pure genius imo. Hell, if it was up to me I'd throw some higher res MM5 on top of it after 180hr. With a side of the KMA and JMA to boot........ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 19, 2011 Share Posted December 19, 2011 Got a url for the DGEX? for laughs The Friday event may be starting to trend more interesting for here. I still find it unlikely that it will be making progress north, Rick. The high will keep it down south in CT. I think the CT folks will take the lighter qpf and snowier outcome than having us get the qpf. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted December 19, 2011 Share Posted December 19, 2011 The DGEX is great. Letting the NAM run out to its weenie 84hr range and then letting the GFS have fun with it after that is pure genius imo. Hell, if it was up to me I'd throw some higher res MM5 on top of it after 180hr. Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 19, 2011 Share Posted December 19, 2011 This run should be more amped up for Friday vs 12z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted December 19, 2011 Share Posted December 19, 2011 All I need to do is look at the locations of the members that have made posts in the last page to know that I am getting rain. 0" for the season here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 19, 2011 Share Posted December 19, 2011 This run should be more amped up for Friday vs 12z. Looks like a -RA to -SN scenario early Fri morning as the colder air works in. Probably favors the higher elevations north of the Pike? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 19, 2011 Share Posted December 19, 2011 The DGEX is great. Letting the NAM run out to its weenie 84hr range and then letting the GFS have fun with it after that is pure genius imo. Hell, if it was up to me I'd throw some higher res MM5 on top of it after 180hr. I like the DGEX snow maps They're lol-tastic Ski areas should post the DGEX on their homepages under some hyper "Be a Meteorologist!" heading Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 19, 2011 Share Posted December 19, 2011 Looks like a -RA to -SN scenario early Fri morning as the colder air works in. Probably favors the higher elevations north of the Pike? Yeah, I think it will be too warm for many on Friday at the start. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 19, 2011 Share Posted December 19, 2011 Yeah, I think it will be too warm for many on Friday at the start. For most of us Friday looks like rain. And to think I was all excited for 3 straight days of snow! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.