Chicago Storm Posted December 19, 2011 Share Posted December 19, 2011 12z looks pretty crappy through 120. Indeed. It's still showing a two weak wave scenario. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted December 19, 2011 Share Posted December 19, 2011 Actually, I can't find the exact post, but I think he made a prediction at one point early on that SEMI would see average or below average snowfall....something about La Nina being "too much to handle" It was in Mid November. LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hm8 Posted December 19, 2011 Share Posted December 19, 2011 It was in Mid November. LOL Here we go... DTW. 35.5 inches. Why? Because I think this La Nina will be too much to handle lawl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted December 19, 2011 Author Share Posted December 19, 2011 Merry Christmas! Too bad it's the DGEX http://www.meteo.psu.edu/~gadomski/DGEXEAST_18z/dgexloop.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
toronto blizzard Posted December 19, 2011 Share Posted December 19, 2011 Merry Christmas! Too bad it's the DGEX http://www.meteo.psu...z/dgexloop.html If we can get the two branches of the jet stream to phase on the 26th, then things may get interesting! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted December 19, 2011 Share Posted December 19, 2011 Merry Christmas! Too bad it's the DGEX http://www.meteo.psu...z/dgexloop.html Hour 114 is the LOLZ. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AppsRunner Posted December 19, 2011 Share Posted December 19, 2011 Hour 114 is the LOLZ. I've heard that the statistical probability that one of the 8 progged low positions will verify is far greater than placing 1 or two on the map. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted December 19, 2011 Share Posted December 19, 2011 GFS has been consistent for 4 runs now with Christmas Eve snow for IL/IN/OH/MI before whatever happens out east. Problem is, not much support (save for DGEX). So my guess...next up in the models saga, EURO and GFS will flip positions. Dr no will say yes, gfs will say no. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BeastFromTheEast Posted December 19, 2011 Share Posted December 19, 2011 GFS has been consistent for 4 runs now with Christmas Eve snow for IL/IN/OH/MI before whatever happens out east. Problem is, not much support (save for DGEX). So my guess...next up in the models saga, EURO and GFS will flip positions. Dr no will say yes, gfs will say no. Actually the Euro a couple days ago or even yesterday I think was showing the Snow as well before it weakened/ lost it... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted December 19, 2011 Author Share Posted December 19, 2011 Hour 114 is the LOLZ. Thought you'd like that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AppsRunner Posted December 19, 2011 Share Posted December 19, 2011 GEFS brings a decent snow to OH... although the NAM and others show no support. Unless there is some magic of Christmas left from last year... I doubt this turns into anything measurable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BeastFromTheEast Posted December 20, 2011 Share Posted December 20, 2011 GFS looking nice for a lot of us and especially The LAF Crew Christmas Eve Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ajdos Posted December 20, 2011 Share Posted December 20, 2011 GFS looking nice for a lot of us and especially The LAF Crew Christmas Eve Also for S/E Mi, looks great! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BeastFromTheEast Posted December 20, 2011 Share Posted December 20, 2011 Also for S/E Mi, looks great! Yep things kicks up a notch a frame later.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted December 20, 2011 Author Share Posted December 20, 2011 GGEM still won't have any of it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted December 20, 2011 Share Posted December 20, 2011 Also for S/E Mi, looks great! Dont like our chances as much as I did earlier. It seems to be trending ESE of us. GGEM still won't have any of it. I would pay attention from Cleveland to Toronto with this sucker Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted December 20, 2011 Share Posted December 20, 2011 I made this one earlier.. LOL :lol: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted December 20, 2011 Share Posted December 20, 2011 I like the 18z run better, haha! Still 120 hours yet to go. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlord81 Posted December 20, 2011 Share Posted December 20, 2011 If this ends up occuring you guys can thank me since I'll be heading out to DC on the 22nd But I'll enjoy the drive home with all the freshly fallen snow! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted December 20, 2011 Share Posted December 20, 2011 Euro says no dice for Christmas Eve. It does give some love to Ohio on Christmas Day though. And some flurry action to IA, IL, IN late on the 25th/early 26th. Blah. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted December 20, 2011 Author Share Posted December 20, 2011 6z GFS capitulates. What a surprise! There shant be any xmas miracle. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
toronto blizzard Posted December 20, 2011 Share Posted December 20, 2011 I'm afraid you are right . This is turning out to be a bad day since the jays lost on Darvish Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted December 20, 2011 Author Share Posted December 20, 2011 I'm afraid you are right . This is turning out to be a bad day since the jays lost on Darvish Beh, ever heard of Diasuke Matsuzaka? Frankly, aside from Hideo Nomo (arguable still), none of these Japanese players as ever lived up to the hype. And for that kind of money, we're better off. A few more model runs to make sure this storm is really dead and then I think it's time for a break from the board. Hopefully our pattern change will be within eyesight as we get towards NYE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted December 20, 2011 Share Posted December 20, 2011 Storm completely disappeared WOW! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpsycho Posted December 20, 2011 Share Posted December 20, 2011 Storm completely disappeared WOW! The way the models have been with this pattern put magicians to shame. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted December 20, 2011 Share Posted December 20, 2011 Storm completely disappeared WOW! Hopefully its the obligatory storm disappearing 5 days out on the GFS. Either way, models have been horrendous lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted December 20, 2011 Share Posted December 20, 2011 Hopefully its the obligatory storm disappearing 5 days out on the GFS. Either way, models have been horrendous lol. the models outside the NAM have been fine, it was barely ever a "storm" and had been on life support since day 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted December 20, 2011 Share Posted December 20, 2011 the models outside the NAM have been fine, it was barely ever a "storm" and had been on life support since day 1 Im talking about the models in general, not just with this potential event. They have not been fine, they have been all over the place with everything, changing every run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted December 20, 2011 Share Posted December 20, 2011 Sort of related I guess, but for the old timers, what was the year that the models had a "legit threat" Christmas snowstorm that evaporated into thin air a couple of days before? I think that was in the EUSWX days. Maybe 2005? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted December 20, 2011 Author Share Posted December 20, 2011 Sort of related I guess, but for the old timers, what was the year that the models had a "legit threat" Christmas snowstorm that evaporated into thin air a couple of days before? I think that was in the EUSWX days. Maybe 2005? 2006. And I started the thread. FML. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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