WilkesboroDude Posted July 6, 2012 Share Posted July 6, 2012 http://iri.columbia.edu/climate/ENSO/currentinfo/figure1.html El Nino Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
triadwx Posted July 6, 2012 Share Posted July 6, 2012 I've been getting winter fever the last few days. So bad, I've been watching videos on youtube of storm coverage of "Snowmaggedon" from a news station in PA. I hope the weak-moderate Nino brings us good fortune this winter. The inch of snow we got in February isn't the two cold and snowy winter previous to this past winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shawn Posted July 6, 2012 Share Posted July 6, 2012 Info on El-Nino becomming more of a reality for this season updated on July 5th. Synopsis: Chances increase for El Niño beginning in July-September 2012. Full info: http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/analysis_monitoring/enso_advisory/ensodisc.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nrgjeff Posted July 6, 2012 Share Posted July 6, 2012 So far the El Nino appears to be setting up east-based, which is warmer for the Southeast than a cold west-based El Nino (two years ago). However a lot can change between now and December. Appears the very streaky AO/NAO is trending negative in summer after that very positive winter. If it holds negative for nine months that would be a cooler signal. If the AO/NAO goes back positive, and it stays an east-based El Nino, I'd go with near normal or even slightly above normal temps. Almost anything will be colder than last winter. I'm just not bulled up about another 2010 or 2011. I'm thinking above normal rainfall either way, but only average snow if east-based El Nino. Though average does not match up with 2010 or 2011, it would be a whole lot better than last winter. Cheers! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted July 7, 2012 Share Posted July 7, 2012 So far the El Nino appears to be setting up east-based, which is warmer for the Southeast than a cold west-based El Nino (two years ago). However a lot can change between now and December. Appears the very streaky AO/NAO is trending negative in summer after that very positive winter. If it holds negative for nine months that would be a cooler signal. If the AO/NAO goes back positive, and it stays an east-based El Nino, I'd go with near normal or even slightly above normal temps. Almost anything will be colder than last winter. I'm just not bulled up about another 2010 or 2011. I'm thinking above normal rainfall either way, but only average snow if east-based El Nino. Though average does not match up with 2010 or 2011, it would be a whole lot better than last winter. Cheers! There have been quite notable quite cold exceptions to the east vs. west guideline: 1976-7 and 1969-70. Also, 1965-6 was somewhat cold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WilkesboroDude Posted July 7, 2012 Share Posted July 7, 2012 Anything better than last winter will be a win. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted July 7, 2012 Share Posted July 7, 2012 Anything better than last winter will be a win. I second this. To be back to normal would be nice for this fall/winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ST21 Posted July 7, 2012 Share Posted July 7, 2012 I've been getting winter fever the last few days. So bad, I've been watching videos on youtube of storm coverage of "Snowmaggedon" from a news station in PA. I hope the weak-moderate Nino brings us good fortune this winter. The inch of snow we got in February isn't the two cold and snowy winter previous to this past winter. I have been too, been watching the coverage of 1993 blizzard by james spann! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burrel2 Posted July 7, 2012 Share Posted July 7, 2012 Anything better than last winter will be a win. Not sure I agree with this. I didn’t even see so much as a flurry last winter, so if all I get are a few flurries and/or a dusting this winter it will be another epic fail. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WilkesboroDude Posted July 7, 2012 Share Posted July 7, 2012 Two events from last winter I would like to see again. A late March event and a coastal surprise. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ST21 Posted July 7, 2012 Share Posted July 7, 2012 Two events from last winter I would like to see again. A late March event and a coastal surprise. I'd love to just get another storm like January 9-10,2011 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCSU2005 Posted July 8, 2012 Share Posted July 8, 2012 I'd really like to go back and watch some old storm coverages for various events...where are you finding them? thanks in advance for any guidance you can offer! I've been getting winter fever the last few days. So bad, I've been watching videos on youtube of storm coverage of "Snowmaggedon" from a news station in PA. I hope the weak-moderate Nino brings us good fortune this winter. The inch of snow we got in February isn't the two cold and snowy winter previous to this past winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowless in Carrollton Posted July 8, 2012 Share Posted July 8, 2012 Two events from last winter I would like to see again. A late March event and a coastal surprise. You say this is from last winter, but I believe this is from winter before last. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted July 8, 2012 Share Posted July 8, 2012 Found this nugget of info from Will in the NE Forum: Some El Ninos that were 3.4 centered just crudely looking through the SST anomaly maps: 1991-1992 1986-1987 1987-1988 1977-1978 1957-1958 2009-2010 was close, but I'd call it Nino 4 centered. There's a couple of damn good winters for the western carolinas on that list. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted July 8, 2012 Share Posted July 8, 2012 Found this nugget of info from Will in the NE Forum: Some El Ninos that were 3.4 centered just crudely looking through the SST anomaly maps: 1991-1992 1986-1987 1987-1988 1977-1978 1957-1958 2009-2010 was close, but I'd call it Nino 4 centered. There's a couple of damn good winters for the western carolinas on that list. Yep very good for the mountains. Some great discussion up there in the NE forum with Will, Scott, and Larry and others up there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
triadwx Posted July 8, 2012 Share Posted July 8, 2012 I'd really like to go back and watch some old storm coverages for various events...where are you finding them? thanks in advance for any guidance you can offer! Just searching on youtube. There are quite a few for the big end of January 2010 snowstorm and mid Feburary snowstorm 2010 from WCNC and WSOC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
triadwx Posted July 8, 2012 Share Posted July 8, 2012 Enjoy: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCWX Posted July 8, 2012 Share Posted July 8, 2012 It's 88 outside and we are talking snow? LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mclean02 Posted July 8, 2012 Share Posted July 8, 2012 That was a great storm jan 2010 will be missed lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
toxictwister00 Posted July 8, 2012 Share Posted July 8, 2012 I really hope this winter is better than last winter. Getting any measurable snow this time around would make it miles better. I can't get over the bad taste left in my mouth and the wasted hours of sleep being a weenie thinking, "Oh it'll trend better for us, it did it the year before." from last winter." I'm glad I recorded and uploaded some news clips from the January 9-10, 2011 Snowstorm on Youtube. I could have done the same for the February 12, 2010 Snowstorm, I'm not sure why I didn't though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ST21 Posted July 8, 2012 Share Posted July 8, 2012 I'd really like to go back and watch some old storm coverages for various events...where are you finding them? thanks in advance for any guidance you can offer! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowless in Carrollton Posted July 8, 2012 Share Posted July 8, 2012 I really hope this winter is better than last winter. Getting any measurable snow this time around would make it miles better. I can't get over the bad taste left in my mouth and the wasted hours of sleep being a weenie thinking, "Oh it'll trend better for us, it did it the year before." from last winter." I'm glad I recorded and uploaded some news clips from the January 9-10, 2011 Snowstorm on Youtube. I could have done the same for the February 12, 2010 Snowstorm, I'm not sure why I didn't though. Is it even POSSIBLE for a winter to be worse than last winter ? I can't think of how it could be any worse... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POWERSTROKE Posted July 8, 2012 Share Posted July 8, 2012 already preparing for big winter. Looks to be a good one Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
triadwx Posted July 8, 2012 Share Posted July 8, 2012 Also, I like to go back and read the observations from the Christmas storm and January storm following it. Reliving all the snow is wonderful after such a terrible winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jburns Posted July 8, 2012 Share Posted July 8, 2012 Also, I like to go back and read the observations from the Christmas storm and January storm following it. Reliving all the snow is wonderful after such a terrible winter. Maybe, but I can spend all night remembering the best sex of my life and I would still end up going to bed horny. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WilkesboroDude Posted July 8, 2012 Share Posted July 8, 2012 This thread is... . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted July 8, 2012 Share Posted July 8, 2012 Maybe, but I can spend all night remembering the best sex of my life and I would still end up going to bed horny. Remember, if it lasts over 4 hours... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
valkhorn Posted July 8, 2012 Share Posted July 8, 2012 Maybe, but I can spend all night remembering the best sex of my life and I would still end up going to bed horny. I got a post deleted for saying something looked like 'cloud pee' - so we'll see how long this comment is visible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted July 9, 2012 Share Posted July 9, 2012 Maybe, but I can spend all night remembering the best sex of my life and I would still end up going to bed horny. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jburns Posted July 9, 2012 Share Posted July 9, 2012 I got a post deleted for saying something looked like 'cloud pee' - so we'll see how long this comment is visible. Mine was a comment on life. Yours was simply an inappropriate comment. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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