Chicago Storm Posted December 13, 2011 Share Posted December 13, 2011 go Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted December 13, 2011 Share Posted December 13, 2011 go Tsk, tsk, with the new posting format (more posts per page), a second obs thread isn't needed. Probably a good time to start a new thread, though considering maybe some snow prospects finally for someone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted December 13, 2011 Share Posted December 13, 2011 Joe's been bad luck, so I disapprove of this thread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Trent Posted December 13, 2011 Share Posted December 13, 2011 I think I read that the wunderground euro snow maps don't jive with the thermal profiles that accurately. Any credence to this? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted December 13, 2011 Share Posted December 13, 2011 Well at least the 12z GEFS look somewhat decent in the day 12-15 range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted December 13, 2011 Share Posted December 13, 2011 I think I read that the wunderground euro snow maps don't jive with the thermal profiles that accurately. Any credence to this? Can't say definitively. But just from the few times I've used it, it seems to be a bit "aggressive" with both spatial coverage and amounts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted December 13, 2011 Share Posted December 13, 2011 Well at least the 12z GEFS look somewhat decent in the day 12-15 range. I'm gonna regret saying this, but I think we might be seeing the light at the end of the tunnel. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted December 13, 2011 Share Posted December 13, 2011 I think I read that the wunderground euro snow maps don't jive with the thermal profiles that accurately. Any credence to this? Good question. Granted it's a very small sample size, but I thought they weren't too bad for the late November storm...but overzealous for the early December "system". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted December 13, 2011 Share Posted December 13, 2011 I'm gonna regret saying this, but I think we might be seeing the light at the end of the tunnel. Well it can't get worse, can it? But yeah I agree with this sentiment. Still a relatively long period of suck to go through unfortunately. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted December 13, 2011 Share Posted December 13, 2011 you know things are bad when 12-15 ensembles are the light at the end of the tunnel. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted December 13, 2011 Share Posted December 13, 2011 you know things are bad when 12-15 ensembles are the light at the end of the tunnel. 2 to 1 odds I reply to my post in 2 weeks with "lol". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpartyOn Posted December 13, 2011 Share Posted December 13, 2011 I'm gonna regret saying this, but I think we might be seeing the light at the end of the tunnel. nice...Jynx Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonger Posted December 13, 2011 Share Posted December 13, 2011 Well it can't get worse, can it? But yeah I agree with this sentiment. Still a relatively long period of suck to go through unfortunately. Just think about this.... Everyday that goes by gets us 1 day closer to the start of next winter. Winter where I live starts around Nov 20th and ends around March 15th. So far thats 1/4th of winter gone... with one 6 inch storm that melted in a couple days. My major beef is northern Michigan. I ride my snowmobile up there in quick 3 hour trips planned weekly... Trips to northern Michigan this years (0). Gaylord is 25 inches below normal and hasnt had a single day with more then 2 inches on the ground. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted December 13, 2011 Share Posted December 13, 2011 you know things are bad when 12-15 ensembles are the light at the end of the tunnel. They're awful. Alas, one has to look far into the future for hope. I'm going with a change to better times by early to mid January...or bust. Feel free to bump this and mock if needed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted December 13, 2011 Author Share Posted December 13, 2011 Tsk, tsk, with the new posting format (more posts per page), a second obs thread isn't needed. 1k is 1k. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mnweather Posted December 13, 2011 Share Posted December 13, 2011 Just think about this.... Everyday that goes by gets us 1 day closer to the start of next winter. Winter where I live starts around Nov 20th and ends around March 15th. So far thats 1/4th of winter gone... with one 6 inch storm that melted in a couple days. My major beef is northern Michigan. I ride my snowmobile up there in quick 3 hour trips planned weekly... Trips to northern Michigan this years (0). Gaylord is 25 inches below normal and hasnt had a single day with more then 2 inches on the ground. Thats not that bad compared to a lot of others on here. Consider yourself lucky. Your probably still below average in snowfall though so I'd probably complain as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted December 13, 2011 Share Posted December 13, 2011 They'll be measuring this one in feet boys, not inches.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted December 13, 2011 Share Posted December 13, 2011 Thats not that bad compared to a lot of others on here. Consider yourself lucky. Your probably still below average in snowfall though so I'd probably complain as well. Yeah, I'd take one 6 inch storm by mid-December. I got a nice one in December 2006 the first day of the month, and was satisfied even though the rest of the month torched and featured no snow. I really lucked out that Dec and year. It was a mod Nino I believe, yet featured above normal snowfall. That's a nice bonus for any winter that is a mod or strong Nino. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KokomoWX Posted December 13, 2011 Share Posted December 13, 2011 Lock it in... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted December 13, 2011 Share Posted December 13, 2011 chuckles Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted December 13, 2011 Share Posted December 13, 2011 I can smell record snow amounts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
turtlehurricane Posted December 13, 2011 Share Posted December 13, 2011 Another day of glorious warmth, 43 °F. Could see 50s tomorrow in the warm sector of the storm. Looks like Wisconsin will be taking a direct hit from the surface low, could see some interesting wx around that with so much juice in the air. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted December 13, 2011 Share Posted December 13, 2011 This next system for the 19th and 20th of December depends strongly of time of day (or night). If the heart of the moisture comes through overnight, decent chance that it is cool enough for snow NW of wherever the low tracks. However, right now, I think it is indicating Tuesday morning and afternoon, so potentially during normal daylight hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted December 13, 2011 Share Posted December 13, 2011 Some decent mid-upper level jet coupling on the Euro. Should make for some nice UVV. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted December 13, 2011 Share Posted December 13, 2011 I guess time of day is a minor concern with snow events, but at this range, the whole idea is the lolz Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted December 13, 2011 Share Posted December 13, 2011 This next system for the 19th and 20th of December depends strongly of time of day (or night). If the heart of the moisture comes through overnight, decent chance that it is cool enough for snow NW of wherever the low tracks. However, right now, I think it is indicating Tuesday morning and afternoon, so potentially during normal daylight hours. I disagree that the time of day matters much when you're talking about something around December 20. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted December 13, 2011 Share Posted December 13, 2011 While we're talking about fantasy land, the 12z Euro has what would probably be a huge event just past day 10. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted December 13, 2011 Share Posted December 13, 2011 While we're talking about fantasy land, the 12z Euro has what would probably be a huge event just past day 10. Daddylonglegs is all over that one. Locked and loaded. They'll be measuring this one in feet boys, not inches.. I can smell record snow amounts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
turtlehurricane Posted December 13, 2011 Share Posted December 13, 2011 I disagree that the time of day matters much when you're talking about something around December 20. Yup, good luck getting significant solar warming under a thick cloud shield with a 25° sun angle. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted December 13, 2011 Share Posted December 13, 2011 Yup, good luck getting significant solar warming under a thick cloud shield with a 25° sun angle. Yeah don't have to worry about solar warming in December, in March more likely though. Very thick clouds today have kept temperatures near steady in the low 40s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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