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Second Half of December Weather Banter and Obs


TheTrials

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Yes, I believe last year all 50 states had measurable snowfall.

I would figure snow falls in 48 of the 50 almost every year; Hawaii and Florida being the wildcards...the next 3 least likely would probably be Louisiana, Mississippi, and maybe Alabama...(there are some mountains in NE Georgia and NW S. Carolina that generally get dusted every year...or more). After that...hmmm...I'd likely go with Delaware....

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The past decade has put December ahead of March for most of us.

New Brunswick's averages are 4.8" for December and 4.2" for March. I'll definitely give you the first half of March though for snow potential.

Same is true @ OKX...December average all the way up to 7.1".....March average now @ 6.5"...throw out the first two days of March 2009 and we have had six lousy March's in succession...

http://www.bnl.gov/w...hlySnowfall.htm

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I don't remember getting any snow in February.

PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT

SPOTTER REPORTS

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY

517 PM EST MON FEB 21 2011

THE FOLLOWING ARE UNOFFICIAL OBSERVATIONS TAKEN DURING THE PAST 27 HOURS

FOR THE STORM THAT HAS BEEN AFFECTING OUR REGION. APPRECIATION IS EXTENDED

TO HIGHWAY DEPARTMENTS...COOPERATIVE OBSERVERS...SKYWARN SPOTTERS

AND MEDIA FOR THESE REPORTS. THIS SUMMARY IS ALSO AVAILABLE ON OUR

HOME PAGE AT WEATHER.GOV/NYC

********************STORM TOTAL SNOWFALL********************

LOCATION STORM TOTAL TIME/DATE COMMENTS

SNOWFALL OF

/INCHES/ MEASUREMENT

CONNECTICUT

...FAIRFIELD COUNTY...

GREENWICH 7.5 1045 AM 2/21 PUBLIC

DARIEN 5.0 1100 AM 2/21 CT DOT

NEW CANAAN 4.6 800 AM 2/21 SKYWARN SPOTTER

WEST NORWALK 4.5 830 AM 2/21 PUBLIC

NORWALK 4.0 825 AM 2/21 PUBLIC

STAMFORD 4.0 800 AM 2/21 SKYWARN SPOTTER

WESTON 4.0 900 AM 2/21 SKYWARN SPOTTER

WESTPORT 4.0 900 AM 2/21 SKYWARN SPOTTER

BRIDGEPORT AIRPORT 2.7 100 PM 2/21 COOP OBSERVER

SHELTON 2.6 810 AM 2/21 PUBLIC

DANBURY 2.0 930 AM 2/21 SKYWARN SPOTTER

...MIDDLESEX COUNTY...

HADDAM 1.5 1100 AM 2/21 CT DOT

1 S PORTLAND 1.5 800 AM 2/21 COCORAHS

...NEW HAVEN COUNTY...

3 ESE MILFORD 2.7 939 AM 2/21 COCORAHS

MILFORD 2.0 1100 AM 2/21 CT DOT

WATERBURY 2.0 1100 AM 2/21 CT DOT

NEW HAVEN 1.7 1000 AM 2/21 BROADCAST MEDIA

BEACON FALLS 1.5 1100 AM 2/21 CT DOT

SOUTHBURY 1.5 1100 AM 2/21 CT DOT

MERIDEN 1.0 1100 AM 2/21 CT DOT

...NEW LONDON COUNTY...

COLCHESTER 1.3 1100 AM 2/21 CT DOT

GROTON 1.3 1100 AM 2/21 CT DOT

NEW JERSEY

...BERGEN COUNTY...

MAHWAH 7.6 900 AM 2/21 SKYWARN SPOTTER

RAMSEY 7.3 830 AM 2/21 SKYWARN SPOTTER

1 SSE OAKLAND 7.1 845 AM 2/21 COCORAHS

RIVERVALE 7.0 1100 AM 2/21 SKYWARN SPOTTER

ALLENDALE 7.0 1108 AM 2/21 PUBLIC

1 SSE GLEN ROCK 6.8 815 AM 2/21 COCORAHS

FAIR LAWN 5.9 1120 AM 2/21 SKYWARN SPOTTER

BERGENFIELD 5.7 900 AM 2/21 SKYWARN SPOTTER

1 NNW DEMAREST 5.7 830 AM 2/21 COCORAHS

ELMWOOD PARK 5.7 830 AM 2/21 SKYWARN SPOTTER

LODI 5.5 1029 AM 2/21 PUBLIC

ORADELL 5.4 900 AM 2/21 SKYWARN SPOTTER

EAST RUTHERFORD 5.0 1109 AM 2/21 SKYWARN SPOTTER

GARFIELD 4.2 800 AM 2/21 SKYWARN SPOTTER

1 E SADDLE BROOK TWP 4.0 830 AM 2/21 COCORAHS

...ESSEX COUNTY...

CEDAR GROVE 5.2 835 AM 2/21 PUBLIC

WEST ORANGE 4.3 900 AM 2/21 PUBLIC

MONTCLAIR 4.0 930 AM 2/21 PUBLIC

NEWARK AIRPORT 2.7 100 PM 2/21 FAA CONTRACT OBSERVER

...HUDSON COUNTY...

HARRISON 3.5 945 AM 2/21 SKYWARN SPOTTER

N HARRISON 3.0 800 AM 2/21 COCORAHS

HOBOKEN 2.8 930 AM 2/21 SKYWARN SPOTTER

...PASSAIC COUNTY...

RINGWOOD 8.0 930 AM 2/21 SKYWARN SPOTTER- 900 FT

WEST MILFORD 7.9 1030 AM 2/21 SKYWARN SPOTTER-1100 FT

1 S WANAQUE 7.5 800 AM 2/21 COCORAHS

WAYNE 7.0 858 AM 2/21 SKYWARN SPOTTER

HASKELL 6.5 1100 AM 2/21 SKYWARN SPOTTER

1 SSE HAWTHORNE 6.5 900 AM 2/21 COCORAHS

1 WNW LITTLE FALLS T 5.5 900 AM 2/21 COCORAHS

...UNION COUNTY...

ELIZABETH 2.9 900 AM 2/21 SKYWARN SPOTTER

NEW YORK

...BRONX COUNTY...

PELHAM PARKWAY HOUSE 4.7 857 AM 2/21 SKYWARN SPOTTER

PARKCHESTER 3.9 1110 AM 2/21 PUBLIC

BRONX 3.2 850 AM 2/21 BRONX ZOO

...NASSAU COUNTY...

LAUREL HOLLOW 4.5 1000 AM 2/21 PUBLIC

GARDEN CITY 3.2 1000 AM 2/21 PUBLIC

SYOSSET 3.2 1130 AM 2/21 NES EMPLOYEE

NEW HYDE PARK 3.0 1133 AM 2/21 SKYWARN SPOTTER

WANTAGH 3.0 100 PM 2/21 SKYWARN SPOTTER

BELLEROSE 3.0 900 AM 2/21 PUBLIC

LYNBROOK 3.0 1000 AM 2/21 SKYWARN SPOTTER

LEVITTOWN 3.0 900 AM 2/21 PUBLIC

PLAINVIEW 3.0 939 AM 2/21 SKYWARN SPOTTER

WOODMERE 3.0 1000 AM 2/21 PUBLIC

VALLEY STREAM 2.7 900 AM 2/21 SKYWARN SPOTTER

MERRICK 2.5 900 AM 2/21 PUBLIC

...NEW YORK COUNTY...

CENTRAL PARK 3.2 100 PM 2/21 CENTRAL PARK ZOO

...ORANGE COUNTY...

TUXEDO PARK 7.4 1221 PM 2/21 PUBLIC

WARWICK 6.7 930 AM 2/21 SKYWARN SPOTTER

MIDDLETOWN 6.0 1100 AM 2/21 PUBLIC

2 SE MONROE 5.7 800 AM 2/21 COCORAHS

FLORIDA 5.5 1130 AM 2/21 PUBLIC

MONROE 5.1 815 AM 2/21 PUBLIC

HIGHLAND MILLS 5.0 230 PM 2/21 PUBLIC

NEW WINDSOR 4.2 1030 AM 2/21 PUBLIC

GOSHEN 3.8 1100 AM 2/21 SKYWARN SPOTTER

...PUTNAM COUNTY...

PUTNAM VALLEY 3.3 1116 AM 2/21 PUBLIC

BREWSTER 3.0 1239 PM 2/21 PUBLIC

MAHOPAC 3.0 1111 AM 2/21 SKYWARN SPOTTER

...QUEENS COUNTY...

WHITESTONE 3.9 845 AM 2/21 PUBLIC

ASTORIA 3.8 900 AM 2/21 PUBLIC

NYC/LA GUARDIA 3.5 100 PM 2/21 FAA CONTRACT OBSERVER

WOODSIDE 3.5 915 AM 2/21 SKYWARN SPOTTER

REGO PARK 2.4 900 AM 2/21 SKYWARN SPOTTER

NYC/JFK AIRPORT 2.3 100 PM 2/21 FAA CONTRACT OBSERVER

...ROCKLAND COUNTY...

NEW HEMPSTEAD 7.0 1010 AM 2/21 PUBLIC

ROCKLAND LAKE 7.0 900 AM 2/21 SKYWARN SPOTTER

NYACK 6.0 810 AM 2/21 PUBLIC

STONY POINT 5.5 830 AM 2/21 SKYWARN SPOTTER

...SUFFOLK COUNTY...

MOUNT SINAI 5.3 100 PM 2/21 NWS EMPLOYEE

SETAUKET 5.0 1100 AM 2/21 NWS EMPLOYEE

SOUND BEACH 4.8 1030 AM 2/21 NWS EMPLOYEE

CENTEREACH 4.8 930 AM 2/21 NWS EMPLOYEE

PORT JEFFERSON 4.6 1000 AM 2/21 PUBLIC

CENTERPORT 4.5 1030 AM 2/21 PUBLIC

CORAM 4.5 905 AM 2/21 PUBLIC

EAST NORTHPORT 4.5 945 AM 2/21 SKYWARN SPOTTER

STONY BROOK 4.5 840 AM 2/21 SKYWARN SPOTTER

SHOREHAM 4.3 1200 PM 2/21 SKYWARN SPOTTER

BAITING HOLLOW 4.2 1255 PM 2/21 PUBLIC

MEDFORD 4.2 1000 AM 2/21 SKYWARN SPOTTER

NORTHPORT 4.2 1030 AM 2/21 PUBLIC

UPTON 4.2 100 PM 2/21 NWS OFFICE

MANORVILLE 4.0 1050 AM 2/21 PINE HILLS GOLF CLUB

SELDEN 4.0 1135 AM 2/21 PUBLIC

NORTH BABYLON 3.8 1000 AM 2/21 PUBLIC

QUOGUE 3.8 1100 AM 2/21 PUBLIC

1 SSW JAMESPORT 3.7 900 AM 2/21 COCORAHS

SHIRLEY 3.6 1108 AM 2/21 SKYWARN SPOTTER

HAMPTON BAYS 3.5 1000 AM 2/21 PUBLIC

RONKONKOMA 3.4 956 AM 2/21 NWS EMPLOYEE

ISLIP AIRPORT 3.3 100 PM 2/21 FAA CONTRACT OBSERVER

1 WNW EAST MORICHES 3.1 900 AM 2/21 COCORAHS

MATTITUCK 3.1 1230 PM 2/21 COOP OBSERVER

CUTCHOGUE 3.0 1200 PM 2/21 PUBLIC

SAYVILLE 2.9 900 AM 2/21 NWS EMPLOYEE

PATCHOGUE 2.8 100 PM 2/21 NWS EMPLOYEE

LINDENHURST 2.6 100 PM 2/21 SKYWARN SPOTTER

ORIENT 2.3 930 AM 2/21 PUBLIC

...WESTCHESTER COUNTY...

PORT CHESTER 7.5 1200 PM 2/21 PUBLIC

MAMARONECK 7.4 1000 AM 2/21 PUBLIC

CHAPPAQUA 7.0 1100 AM 2/21 PUBLIC

RYE BROOK 7.0 1120 AM 2/21 PUBLIC

THORNWOOD 7.0 900 AM 2/21 PUBLIC

SCARSDALE 6.2 1116 AM 2/21 SKYWARN SPOTTER

ARMONK 6.1 820 AM 2/21 PUBLIC

HARRISON 6.1 830 AM 2/21 PUBLIC

YONKERS 6.0 900 AM 2/21 SKYWARN SPOTTER

BRONXVILLE 5.5 1000 AM 2/21 PUBLIC

MOUNT VERNON 5.0 1030 AM 2/21 PUBLIC

MOUNT KISCO 4.5 755 AM 2/21 PUBLIC

YORKTOWN HEIGHTS 4.0 1109 AM 2/21 SKYWARN SPOTTER

2 NW SOUTH SALEM 2.9 800 AM 2/21 COCORAHS

$$

JP

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PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT

SPOTTER REPORTS

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY

517 PM EST MON FEB 21 2011

A very nice event for anyone north of Brooklyn.

I had around 4" on all surfaces, including streets.

I drove to southern Queens by JFK and there was a slushy coating to 1".

Southern Brooklyn had 1" on some surfaces. None on streets.

Very tight north to south gradient between almost nothing and 3"-6".

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Nam picking up on some snow showers this weekend.

The fact that it's the NAM at hour 84 makes it a bit less reliable, but the GFS and SREF have shown something like this as well. The Saturday wave shouldn't bring anything more than clouds, but Saturday night-Sunday could get interesting especially further inland.

Amazing how it's mid December and the potential for a few isolated flurries, which would normally be barely noticed, is getting attention...

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I would figure snow falls in 48 of the 50 almost every year; Hawaii and Florida being the wildcards...the next 3 least likely would probably be Louisiana, Mississippi, and maybe Alabama...(there are some mountains in NE Georgia and NW S. Carolina that generally get dusted every year...or more). After that...hmmm...I'd likely go with Delaware....

hawaii has a ski resort, they get snow every year

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hawaii has a ski resort, they get snow every year

With the altitude I figured that was a possibility...frankly I know very little about their climate beyond it being tropical and generally outside the general hurricane track....

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NYC has seen more snow than Syracuse. Syracuse has seen only 0.7 inches of snow.

Grand Rapids, Michigan is another excellent lake effect snow town that has seen just 1.7" of snow this year...compared to a normal year to date total of 16.0".

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Temps will be higher than progged today, already 49 in the park. I was noticing today there are STILL quite a few trees here around Midtown east with mostly green leaves (I mean a good number have become 70-80% leaf-less but there are a fair number that still think it's mid Oct or something). Rose plants along the east river still blooming. Sorry, this is bizarre. NYC is above 40N for crying out loud.

So is Spain, Portugal and Italy......wink.png

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Ugh, Don Sutherland just recently stated that he thinks we are in for a warm February due to the La Nina strengthening. axesmiley.png

I think Feb will be much colder and snowier than this month, but that's not saying much. If the strat warming event begins showing its effects early/mid Jan, it's likely that we'd see a favorable pattern continue into at least early Feb.

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I think Feb will be much colder and snowier than this month, but that's not saying much. If the strat warming event begins showing its effects early/mid Jan, it's likely that we'd see a favorable pattern continue into at least early Feb.

I agree. It's just disheartening that a good chunk of the members in the NYC Metro forums canceled winter last week, and also claiming that we are going to have a clunker winter since we are "due for one after our past two blockbuster winters." That notion is equivalent to saying, "since the coin I flipped landed heads the last 4 times, it is 100% certain that it will land tails the next time." I noticed that almost no one responded to your "Mounting Evidence for Global Weather Change" thread in those forums. It's a shame that an ample amount of members in those forums use semantics rather than studying the synoptic patterns and teleconnections in order to forecast the long-range. Meanwhile, we have much better meteorologists and members, including yourself and Earthlight in AmericanWx who analyze the correct way.

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