nycsnow Posted December 19, 2011 Share Posted December 19, 2011 GFS is a coastal hugger for Christmas Rain rain go away Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CooL Posted December 19, 2011 Share Posted December 19, 2011 GFS looks really good for the post xmas storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Feb Posted December 19, 2011 Share Posted December 19, 2011 GFS looks really good for the post xmas storm. It's trying it's best. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycsnow Posted December 19, 2011 Share Posted December 19, 2011 If this post Xmas storm is big screw boxing day blizzard part 2 I'm calling it the trials day storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CooL Posted December 19, 2011 Share Posted December 19, 2011 will scoot east a bit this run but the trough looks beautiful around the 26th. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snow_Miser Posted December 19, 2011 Share Posted December 19, 2011 This run could be close indeed for the post Christmas Storm... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 19, 2011 Share Posted December 19, 2011 Really close Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snow_Miser Posted December 19, 2011 Share Posted December 19, 2011 Really close It barely misses our area. This particular storm has excellent potential. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted December 19, 2011 Share Posted December 19, 2011 storm thread people Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
atownwxwatcher Posted December 19, 2011 Share Posted December 19, 2011 Do you guys ever look at ensemble means? 12 Z ensemble means for the ECM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycsnow Posted December 19, 2011 Share Posted December 19, 2011 Do you guys ever look at ensemble means? 12 Z ensemble means for the ECM They look decent Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted December 20, 2011 Share Posted December 20, 2011 Hey look, a positive sign of + anoms trying to work towards the Davis Straight Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 20, 2011 Share Posted December 20, 2011 JB just canceled January. He said it will be the warmest January since 2006 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Alpha5 Posted December 20, 2011 Share Posted December 20, 2011 Hey look, a positive sign of + anoms trying to work towards the Davis Straight Not ideal at all. Thats right where we want a 50/50, bump it up a bit in latitude and then were talking Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattinpa Posted December 20, 2011 Share Posted December 20, 2011 JB just canceled January. He said it will be the warmest January since 2006 That could be good news - lol. Though isn't he a better long term forecaster than short term? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 20, 2011 Share Posted December 20, 2011 That could be good news - lol. Though isn't he a better long term forecaster than short term? Him and Henry are saying a warm January. That equals to . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted December 20, 2011 Share Posted December 20, 2011 JB just canceled January. He said it will be the warmest January since 2006 How does he go from saying it will be 1985 to 2006 in one week? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted December 20, 2011 Author Share Posted December 20, 2011 How does he go from saying it will be 1985 to 2006 in one week? Who cares, he is irrelevant Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blizzardof09 Posted December 20, 2011 Share Posted December 20, 2011 That could be good news - lol. Though isn't he a better long term forecaster than short term? Better for jb is a general term lol. But i was under the assumption as well that he is a noticably better forecaster in the long range rather than medium/short range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycsnow Posted December 20, 2011 Share Posted December 20, 2011 How does he go from saying it will be 1985 to 2006 in one week? He needs more followers going after warm ones this week, he said last week all warm lovers get ready now did a complete flip Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 20, 2011 Share Posted December 20, 2011 How does he go from saying it will be 1985 to 2006 in one week? Him and Henry make a good tag team. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattinpa Posted December 20, 2011 Share Posted December 20, 2011 You know, Tom made a good point in the Philly forum. For that colder wave on the GFS, 2m temps are still a bit warm. Would that still be snow in the cities? GFS 2m temps that far out aren't too big a worry, I guess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted December 20, 2011 Author Share Posted December 20, 2011 You know, Tom made a good point in the Philly forum. For that colder wave on the GFS, 2m temps are still a bit warm. Would that still be snow in the cities? GFS 2m temps that far out aren't too big a worry, I guess. lol, really? that should be the least of anyones concerns this far out but it is snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CooL Posted December 20, 2011 Share Posted December 20, 2011 Not to mention IF, and thats a big if, the low takes a nice track, then dynamics would come into play. But temperature worries from 8-10 days out are lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 20, 2011 Share Posted December 20, 2011 JB predicts that the storm after Christmas will be a benchmark track. Storm cancel? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted December 20, 2011 Share Posted December 20, 2011 JB predicts that the storm after Christmas will be a benchmark track. Storm cancel? This event has near miss written all over it, this could be similar to the 12/26/04 storm, although the synoptic setup is quite a bit different than it was in that storm. We had a 1045mb high in Quebec, the problem was the ridge was much too far east across the Plains and the phase missed barely. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted December 20, 2011 Author Share Posted December 20, 2011 This event has near miss written all over it, this could be similar to the 12/26/04 storm, although the synoptic setup is quite a bit different than it was in that storm. We had a 1045mb high in Quebec, the problem was the ridge was much too far east across the Plains and the phase missed barely. you love the 12/26/04 analogue, you put it up all the time Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 20, 2011 Share Posted December 20, 2011 This event has near miss written all over it, this could be similar to the 12/26/04 storm, although the synoptic setup is quite a bit different than it was in that storm. We had a 1045mb high in Quebec, the problem was the ridge was much too far east across the Plains and the phase missed barely. It will all come down to the ridge position. I will gladly take a light snowfall in this horrible pattern. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted December 20, 2011 Share Posted December 20, 2011 you love the 12/26/04 analogue, you put it up all the time Its one of the best examples for a near miss...that and 2/18/04 I believe. I want to say both storms were triple phasers which annihilated Newfoundland and Nova Scotia but barely missed here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted December 20, 2011 Author Share Posted December 20, 2011 Its one of the best examples for a near miss...that and 2/18/04 I believe. I want to say both storms were triple phasers which annihilated Newfoundland and Nova Scotia but barely missed here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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