tmagan Posted December 14, 2011 Share Posted December 14, 2011 Lee Goldberg (by the way, did anyone see his four o'clock report?) just did the same thing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tmagan Posted December 14, 2011 Share Posted December 14, 2011 BLM's high was 46, not sure where he got his info. Either way, highs area wide were generally mid 40s, 10 degrees lower than that reported temperatures. Given the current synoptic set-up there's no way that number could be legitimate. Looked at the 00Z report, it was forty-six degrees Fahrenheit, could have been a typo from somewhere. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 14, 2011 Share Posted December 14, 2011 I'm shocked no one posted the 0z GFS. It shows a lot of potential in the mid to long range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CooL Posted December 14, 2011 Share Posted December 14, 2011 Im watching this storm. HM said something about a storm for the northeast around this timeframe i believe. and TBH, the pattern isnt half bad after this. No SE ridge Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 14, 2011 Share Posted December 14, 2011 ^^^ That storm has been showing up for a few runs. Tonight's run isn't that bad at all. Cold with a lot of storm chances. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CooL Posted December 14, 2011 Share Posted December 14, 2011 ^^^ That storm has been showing up for a few runs. Tonight's run isn't that bad at all. Cold with a lot of storm chances. yeah i mean, its a rainstorm this run. But whatever, its something to watch atleast IMO Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 14, 2011 Share Posted December 14, 2011 yeah i mean, its a rainstorm this run. But whatever, its something to watch atleast IMO The 0z GEFS has the low exiting the Del Marva. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CooL Posted December 14, 2011 Share Posted December 14, 2011 Euro and the Canadian both cut that storm right up the midwest, lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattinpa Posted December 14, 2011 Share Posted December 14, 2011 Euro and the Canadian both cut that storm right up the midwest, lol Canadian has what looks like a coastal Day 10 - looks colder than the last one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEaster27 Posted December 14, 2011 Share Posted December 14, 2011 overnight runs were a disaster. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted December 14, 2011 Share Posted December 14, 2011 overnight runs were a disaster. Yup. Terrible. The best thing on them is a chance of 10 flurries on Sunday afternoon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blizzardof09 Posted December 14, 2011 Share Posted December 14, 2011 perhaps we need to get Tim Tebow in here to do the Tebow bow.. that may bring us some snow.. anybody think he's gonna take down Brady this week? OT but that is gonna be the game of the week facing a real hall of fame quarterback. I dont think he'll take down brady if anything patriots by atleast 17 anything less ill be shocked. Lets face it tebow is coming through at the end and brady from start to finish puts on a clinic, a true "david & goliath" match this weekend for sure Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Alpha5 Posted December 14, 2011 Share Posted December 14, 2011 Yup. Terrible. The best thing on them is a chance of 10 flurries on Sunday afternoon. You're blind, the GFS had prolonged periods of cold and and a solid arctic outbreak in the long range Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 14, 2011 Share Posted December 14, 2011 Oz ggem ensembles have a swfe which goes inland and the euro ensembles agree with the op. The gfs ensembles are south of the op and has a wave exiting Hatteras. Still plenty of tine for this storm. It all depends on how fast the energy ejects from the west and how much cold air there is in our area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 14, 2011 Share Posted December 14, 2011 You're blind, the GFS had prolonged periods of cold and and a solid arctic outbreak in the long range Christmas looks really cold on the 6z GFS. It wasn't a disaster. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blizzardof09 Posted December 14, 2011 Share Posted December 14, 2011 overnight runs were a disaster. Understatement of the year..... This year is getting off to a slowwww start and its not gonna be getting a big snowstorm to get us into winter this year either lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Alpha5 Posted December 14, 2011 Share Posted December 14, 2011 To be completely honest, last winter went from about December 3rd-February 5th. Besides one fluke storm, feb/march were terrible. Maybe we flip it this year? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sundog Posted December 14, 2011 Share Posted December 14, 2011 To be completely honest, last winter went from about December 3rd-February 5th. Besides one fluke storm, feb/march were terrible. Maybe we flip it this year? February was fine. A little below average in the snow department. Just because it didn't snow twice a week doesn't mean it was terrible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sundog Posted December 14, 2011 Share Posted December 14, 2011 Got down to about freezing here while LGA only hit 39! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted December 14, 2011 Author Share Posted December 14, 2011 You're blind, the GFS had prolonged periods of cold and and a solid arctic outbreak in the long range And Santa clause has low cholesterol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 14, 2011 Share Posted December 14, 2011 February was fine. A little below average in the snow department. Just because it didn't snow twice a week doesn't mean it was terrible. Winter was basically from December 26-January 30. I don't remember getting any snow in February. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sundog Posted December 14, 2011 Share Posted December 14, 2011 Winter was basically from December 26-January 30. I don't remember getting any snow in February. Why are you using the first and last snow events as the edges of winter? And you're not even using the actual last event either. December was very cold almost from the get go, that's winter to me. We also had a coating in mid December. Then we had ice storms in early February. And then there was 3-5 inches of snow on February 21st. I saved a screenshot of my phone from that date that captured LGA reporting heavy snow and 28 degrees. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycsnow Posted December 14, 2011 Share Posted December 14, 2011 It didn't snow in feb but we still had cold, I also believe we hit 60+ a few times as well, earthlight hit 70 if I recall Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Edge Weather Posted December 14, 2011 Share Posted December 14, 2011 the GFS has fallen to 4th place on the 0z model run behind the Canadian model now for verification scores and to 4th place on the 12z model run behind the JMA. Our model seems to be losing ground. Comments? Thoughts? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted December 14, 2011 Share Posted December 14, 2011 The CMC 00z run picked up on the 12z EC coastal Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Edge Weather Posted December 14, 2011 Share Posted December 14, 2011 Yes, but the 0z Euro lost it and went inland, which is much more likely. The CMC 00z run picked up on the 12z EC coastal Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blizzardof09 Posted December 14, 2011 Share Posted December 14, 2011 Id believe a european run over a gfs run any day even if it showed rain, cant argue with its performance/verification unlike the gfs which is largely not as accurate as the euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted December 14, 2011 Share Posted December 14, 2011 It didn't snow in feb but we still had cold, I also believe we hit 60+ a few times as well, earthlight hit 70 if I recall It snowed in Northern Queens, NYC, SWCT. About 4.5" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted December 14, 2011 Share Posted December 14, 2011 I don't agree with that statement. I'm not going to get all excited over a few runs at 180hrs plus but its something to watch. If you take a look at the evolution of the CMC run, it't alot like some of our past big storms. Energy ejects out of the SW, then phases with northern stream energy over the MS Valley. Then bam. Temps would still be marginal in the city on this run, but its a step in the right direction. The NAO is forecasted to take a dip, and become either neutral or slightly negative for a short period of time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Edge Weather Posted December 14, 2011 Share Posted December 14, 2011 Ok, thanks for the input. We can only hope that something changes, but I am always very hesitant to go against the Euro. I don't agree with that statement. I'm not going to get all excited over a few runs at 180hrs plus but its something to watch. If you take a look at the evolution of the CMC run, it't alot like some of our past big storms. Energy ejects out of the SW, then phases with northern stream energy over the MS Valley. Then bam. Temps would still be marginal in the city on this run, but its a step in the right direction. The NAO is forecasted to take a dip, and become either neutral or slightly negative for a short period of time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.