bluewave Posted December 19, 2011 Share Posted December 19, 2011 You can see how the GFS has been underestimating the SE Ridge recently. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Edge Weather Posted December 19, 2011 Share Posted December 19, 2011 And that can easily change on the next run for better or worse, but like Tom said, at least the signal is still there. We are in this time frame now where I have seen the Euro often lose the storm for a couple of runs and then bring it back. I am not going to say what I am thinking next, but I can't wait to see the C...... run, lol. Its H5 was much cleaner last night, it is far more disorganized today which is why the system is weaker, it comes together much later since it comes together later, its in its formation at our latitude and thus we have immature h7 anf h85 lows and that's a problem with the marginal cold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tmagan Posted December 19, 2011 Share Posted December 19, 2011 Diurnal range at KFOK = 40oF. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Absolute Humidity Posted December 19, 2011 Share Posted December 19, 2011 If I remember correctly, doesn't the Euro handle the SE ridge better? if I remember correctly from 2009's almost nina and previous years. Didn't it get the name Dr. No from correctly calling SWFE as rain in NYC/Phil when the American models were calling for snow? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted December 19, 2011 Share Posted December 19, 2011 If I remember correctly, doesn't the Euro handle the SE ridge better? if I remember correctly from 2009's almost nina and previous years. Didn't it get the name Dr. No from correctly calling SWFE as rain in NYC/Phil when the American models were calling for snow? I haven't seen the Euro's stats, but back on the 8th it was too weak with the SE Ridge and the low tracked closer to us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted December 19, 2011 Author Share Posted December 19, 2011 thinking the dgex is gonna show some more nutty solutions at 18z just seeing where the 18z nam left off. Total garbage but I am metfan will hang his hat on it, lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted December 19, 2011 Share Posted December 19, 2011 JB says relax, we'll get snow from this before the big January blowtorch Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted December 19, 2011 Author Share Posted December 19, 2011 JB says relax, we'll get snow from this before the big January blowtorch did he use the word "relax"? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted December 19, 2011 Share Posted December 19, 2011 JB says relax, we'll get snow from this before the big January blowtorch I thought the pattern was going to improve in January? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted December 19, 2011 Author Share Posted December 19, 2011 so much for the dgex weenie solution ouch right here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted December 19, 2011 Share Posted December 19, 2011 Dgex for Friday is wet but has 40's for coastal areas. and it took away the big snowstorm 6z had for the Christmas event. Heavy rains for the coast. 850 line well north of all of us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted December 19, 2011 Author Share Posted December 19, 2011 Dgex for Friday is wet but has 40's for coastal areas. and it took away the big snowstorm 6z had for the Christmas event. Heavy rains for the coast. 850 line well north of all of us. congrats buffalo Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted December 19, 2011 Author Share Posted December 19, 2011 ski resorts get a big xmas wish, this is three feet easily for some of the highest peaks. Congrats to them, they deserve it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted December 19, 2011 Share Posted December 19, 2011 I thought the pattern was going to improve in January? nope-he says big SE ridge and arctic air into the west....says that the stratospheric warming needs to move over to Greenland before we see any cold....says Jan 1950 is the analog (Blowtorch city) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted December 19, 2011 Author Share Posted December 19, 2011 nope-he says big SE ridge and arctic air into the west....says that the stratospheric warming needs to move over to Greenland before we see any cold....says Jan 1950 is the analog (Blowtorch city) what happened to the vodka cold for this week he promised? how much extra did he charge for that forecast? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted December 19, 2011 Share Posted December 19, 2011 ski resorts get a big xmas wish, this is three feet easily for some of the highest peaks. Congrats to them, they deserve it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted December 19, 2011 Share Posted December 19, 2011 what happened to the vodka cold for this week he promised? how much extra did he charge for that forecast? everyone gets a 50 cent discount b/c he has sucked so bad this month Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted December 19, 2011 Author Share Posted December 19, 2011 guaranteed to verify per JB Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted December 19, 2011 Share Posted December 19, 2011 soon, I will start rooting for no snow-might as well see if we can go Dec, Jan, Feb and march snowless....we almost did it 97-98 and then got some late march slopstorm that ruined it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycsnow Posted December 19, 2011 Share Posted December 19, 2011 As much as some people dislike Steve d man if he's right sticking with a pattern change by jan he deserves credit IMO Jb Henry dt flip flop everyday. This winter I feel is gonna be miserable Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycsnow Posted December 19, 2011 Share Posted December 19, 2011 soon, I will start rooting for no snow-might as well see if we can go Dec, Jan, Feb and march snowless....we almost did it 97-98 and then got some late march slopstorm that ruined it. Yeah let's break some records Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted December 19, 2011 Author Share Posted December 19, 2011 soon, I will start rooting for no snow-might as well see if we can go Dec, Jan, Feb and march snowless....we almost did it 97-98 and then got some late march slopstorm that ruined it. i have a tee time on Thursday when it will be 55 under full sun. Will need sun block. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted December 19, 2011 Share Posted December 19, 2011 As much as some people dislike Steve d man if he's right sticking with a pattern change by jan he deserves credit IMO Jb Henry dt flip flop everyday. This winter I feel is gonna be miserable What's the change-go from Torch to Supertorch? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KEITH L.I Posted December 19, 2011 Share Posted December 19, 2011 Horrible model..horrible..has it ever been right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycsnow Posted December 19, 2011 Share Posted December 19, 2011 What's the change-go from Torch to Supertorch? He's still calling for a pattern change to more "wintry type" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted December 19, 2011 Author Share Posted December 19, 2011 Horrible model..horrible..has it ever been right? Ski resorts are praying hard for that solution, thats locally 3.5 feet in the favored places Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycsnow Posted December 19, 2011 Share Posted December 19, 2011 It's sad how snow showers will make us happy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted December 19, 2011 Author Share Posted December 19, 2011 I think I am going to change my screen name to Snow888. How annoying would that be? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dsnowx53 Posted December 19, 2011 Share Posted December 19, 2011 I think I am going to change my screen name to Snow888. How annoying would that be? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 19, 2011 Share Posted December 19, 2011 GFS is a coastal hugger for Christmas Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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