MJO812 Posted December 17, 2011 Share Posted December 17, 2011 12z Euro doesn't look bad at all until hour 240. I don't know why people are saying this run doesn't look good at all. Who cares about 240 hours out. It will most likely change the next run or even when the ensembles come out. It seems like all the models are agreeing on a cold Christmas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 17, 2011 Share Posted December 17, 2011 Where's the euro control run guy? This is what my friend just told me that the control run showed at 144 hours. It is also stormy in the long range. ECM control has a low off the SNJ coast by about 150 miles brings about .50 to NYC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tornadojay Posted December 18, 2011 Share Posted December 18, 2011 Its flurrying in tornadojays backyard right now. That's weird. I was out all day. How did I miss that.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted December 18, 2011 Share Posted December 18, 2011 That's weird. I was out all day. How did I miss that.. I was at nanuet hotel for lunch when it flurried for a few minutes...sky looked like a snow squall actually. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Pamela Posted December 18, 2011 Share Posted December 18, 2011 The only positive thing about living in an area where average annual snowfall is pretty mediocre is that sub-par totals (not to mention complete perspective on the season) can be rectified with a couple of halfway decent events... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted December 18, 2011 Share Posted December 18, 2011 down to 31º. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted December 18, 2011 Share Posted December 18, 2011 Down to 33.5 in Astoria. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 18, 2011 Share Posted December 18, 2011 That's weird. I was out all day. How did I miss that.. prob the same way you missed the boxing day superband. lol. 24F out right here with a nice crisp North wind. finally feels like winter....and tomorrows high should fall short of freezing, a first. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted December 18, 2011 Share Posted December 18, 2011 All official stations in the area are below freezing as of midnight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JBG Posted December 18, 2011 Share Posted December 18, 2011 At least we will be seeing some cool shots, that's better than 2001-2002 at least where literally no cold air even existed. We did have one in late January if I recall correctly. Sort of the flipside of a January thaw. Even had a slushy coating of snow. Enough to beat 1972-3. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hailstorm Posted December 18, 2011 Share Posted December 18, 2011 This image is one of the most grotesque and utterly horrid long-term forecasts that I have ever seen being spit out by the CFS, for snow enthusiasts that is: :axe: It so closely resembles the winter of 1997-1998; and summer may get off to an early start in spring. SnowGoose69, do you agree with this forecast? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Edge Weather Posted December 18, 2011 Share Posted December 18, 2011 The control run of the Euro that goes out to 360 hrs, has for three consecutive runs now (it runs every 12 hours like the operational run), shown the possibility of a coastal snowstorm for New York City and vicinity for New Year's Day, as it has a storm forming along the Georgia coast and moving up to near Cape Hatteras on New Years Eve or early on New Years Day, then up, about 150 miles off the coast of NJ, then to just southeast of the Benchmark, with 850's below freezing up here for the entire storm. I know, it is a long, long way out but it is interesting that it has shown a nearly identical situation the last 3 runs in a row and it is for New Year's Day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Edge Weather Posted December 18, 2011 Share Posted December 18, 2011 Oh yes, and it does not have the storm on the day after Christmas like the operational run, it instead has a weak system, bringing us a little snow on Christmas morning, then it has a little snow for us on the 29th, then a big one starts developing in the Gulf of Mexico on New Year's Eve, cutting across northern Florida and heading up the coast on New Year's Day, strengthening the whole way as I described above. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KEITH L.I Posted December 18, 2011 Share Posted December 18, 2011 This image is one of the most grotesque and utterly horrid long-term forecasts that I have ever seen being spit out by the CFS, for snow enthusiasts that is: :axe: It so closely resembles the winter of 1997-1998; and summer may get off to an early start in spring. SnowGoose69, do you agree with this forecast? looks good for June..lol..and if the winter is gonna blow,would be nice to have a nice spring..pitchers and catchers a month and a half away!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sampson Posted December 18, 2011 Share Posted December 18, 2011 At least it feels like winter this fine morning ( 23F/-7.5 dp). This could be the lowest reading we see this entire month so enjoy it everybody. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted December 18, 2011 Share Posted December 18, 2011 Coldest readings this winter, at 23.8F, highs may very well stay around freezing today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 18, 2011 Share Posted December 18, 2011 24 right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 18, 2011 Share Posted December 18, 2011 GGEM and GFS ensemble mean has a weak low pressure off the coast on the 26th. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JCsnow17 Posted December 18, 2011 Share Posted December 18, 2011 Coldest air of the season. Sitting at 23 right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RowanBrandon Posted December 18, 2011 Share Posted December 18, 2011 Some good news in the morning. The Euro Control Run has a 995 low off the South Jersey coast at 354 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FPizz Posted December 18, 2011 Share Posted December 18, 2011 24 right now. 22.6 this morning. 3rd coldest of the season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 18, 2011 Share Posted December 18, 2011 Some good news in the morning. The Euro Control Run has a 995 low off the South Jersey coast at 354 hours. It also shows some snow for Christmas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Alpha5 Posted December 18, 2011 Share Posted December 18, 2011 19 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sundog Posted December 18, 2011 Share Posted December 18, 2011 Everyone is holding on to low 20s area wide as of 9AM. The cold NAM runs from yesterday look good right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted December 18, 2011 Share Posted December 18, 2011 Everyone is holding on to low 20s area wide as of 9AM. The cold NAM runs from yesterday look good right now. 12z nam is coldest yet. Doesn't bring any of us out of the 20's today for highs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted December 18, 2011 Share Posted December 18, 2011 I'm reading the Ok and TX panhandle AFD's...much more exciting than our weather...Blizzard watches out there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowshack Posted December 18, 2011 Share Posted December 18, 2011 12z nam is coldest yet. Doesn't bring any of us out of the 20's today for highs. Feels great outside...too bad the pattern doesnt support locking this cold air in. At least for today it actually feels like doorstep of winter.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowshack Posted December 18, 2011 Share Posted December 18, 2011 I'm reading the Ok and TX panhandle AFD's...much more exciting than our weather...Blizzard watches out there. Really cool the way they can start as rain and then transition to a significant snow event. Thats a rare beast for us here on the coast BLIZZARD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING... ...WINTER STORM WATCH IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN AMARILLO HAS ISSUED A BLIZZARD WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING. THE WINTER STORM WATCH HAS BEEN CANCELLED. * EVENT...HEAVY SNOW AND STRONG NORTH WINDS WILL IMPACT THE OKLAHOMA PANHANDLE...AND NORTHERN AND WESTERN TEXAS PANHANDLE...MONDAY INTO TUESDAY MORNING. STORM TOTAL SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO 15 INCHES ARE LIKELY. THE HIGHEST TOTALS...IN THE 12 TO 15 INCH RANGE...WILL BE FOUND ACROSS THE OKLAHOMA PANHANDLE AND NORTHWEST TEXAS PANHANDLE. NORTH WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH BEHIND THE COLD FRONT ON MONDAY...PRODUCING BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW AND PERIODS OF WHITEOUT CONDITIONS. * TIMING...RAIN WILL TRANSITION TO SNOW FROM NORTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST ON MONDAY...WITH ALL SNOW EXPECTED BY EARLY MONDAY EVENING. THE SNOW WILL CONTINUE MONDAY NIGHT...BEFORE ENDING FROM SOUTHWEST TO NORTHEAST TUESDAY MORNING. THE STRONG NORTH WINDS WILL DEVELOP MONDAY AND CONTINUE THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...BEFORE DIMINISHING TUESDAY MORNING. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weathergun Posted December 18, 2011 Share Posted December 18, 2011 12z nam is coldest yet. Doesn't bring any of us out of the 20's today for highs. 12z RUC shows the same thing. Although the maxes might be a little higher. Still we have a shot today of getting our first -10 to -15 departures for the highs, this month: http://www.meteo.psu.../rucloopne.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sundog Posted December 18, 2011 Share Posted December 18, 2011 LGA and KNYC at 24 degrees as of 10AM with full sunshine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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