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December pattern change continued


Typhoon Tip

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Euro op definitely an outlier on the D10 storm looking at the ensembles.

That said the ensembles do show some support for some on 12/24 (likely too weak/offshore for much) and also something 12/26.

To be honest I like 12/26 as a possible day of getting something even though nothing is far more likely.

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Euro Ens also quite flat with any +PNA ridging D11-15. Looks absolutely horrendous with +EPO from hell returning a strongly +AO/+NAO.

Hopefully winter 2012/2013 delivers.

Yeah, they're still horrible past d10. Hopefully we can cash in on one of those chances around Christmas.
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Yeah, they're still horrible past d10. Hopefully we can cash in on one of those chances around Christmas.

It seemed for a while we might shake the +EPO and just have to deal with anti-blocking. Turns out just the opposite. +EPO is raging back with vengeance for the New Year. Lovely.

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What a mess at 500 on the euro. Verbatim it keeps Messenger and Phil under hours of light snow or rain showers after brushing us with snow.

Correctly if I'm wrong by my interpretation of this run has a ice scenario, and one that would go across more than just one day. The polar boundary (mean) has been displaced S-E of the area with positively tilted trough and core westerlies NW of that axis. That should induced an overrunning pattern should that verify.

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