moneypitmike Posted December 17, 2011 Share Posted December 17, 2011 Yeah it was nice to have some winter.... it looks like I should have enjoyed this as much as possible because judging by this thread winter won't be here all that much this season. Walking into the office this morning with moderate snowfall, strong winds, and cold temps it actually felt quite wintery out there. Now its down to 12F at the office with just over 2" of new snow. Congrats--and that's a great picture! 27.9/14 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nutmegfriar Posted December 17, 2011 Share Posted December 17, 2011 The Euro ensembles are just horrific. Absolutely horrific. 15 days of no storminess.... a mild pattern... with a torch signal beyond day 15. I can't even get over how bad they look. Not even sort of bad... terribly bad. Walk away for a while. Go back to Kevin's family. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 17, 2011 Share Posted December 17, 2011 The thing that gets me about the Euro and Euro ensembles is just how boring they are. Yeah we do get some bouts of normal (not a wall to wall torch) but there's just so little stormiess around it's ugly. Very discouraging to see the EPO troughiness return by D11-D15. Well I'm not sure how much storminess is going to show up on an ensemble mean past D10. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 17, 2011 Share Posted December 17, 2011 Well I'm not sure how much storminess is going to show up on an ensemble mean past D10. I was talking about the op Euro and the pattern itself on the ensemble. Just doesn't look particularly favorable for much. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted December 17, 2011 Share Posted December 17, 2011 Tough times for sure for most of us, but I still like the 24-27 time frame, I think its our best chance for a festivus miracle. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 17, 2011 Share Posted December 17, 2011 Tough times for sure for most of us, but I still like the 24-27 time frame, I think its our best chance for a festivus miracle. Festivus is the 23rd...it may have to be more of a Christmas miracle. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted December 17, 2011 Share Posted December 17, 2011 Where's Steinbeck when you need him. This about sums it up doesn't it? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 17, 2011 Share Posted December 17, 2011 I was talking about the op Euro and the pattern itself on the ensemble. Just doesn't look particularly favorable for much. Well the whole regime stinks for the most part...but I wouldn't be shocked at a couple threats in there. Hopefully we see a change in the EPO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 17, 2011 Share Posted December 17, 2011 Well the whole regime stinks for the most part...but I wouldn't be shocked at a couple threats in there. Hopefully we see a change in the EPO. Yeah at this point I'[m just worried about the +EPO returning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted December 17, 2011 Share Posted December 17, 2011 Well the whole regime stinks for the most part...but I wouldn't be shocked at a couple threats in there. Hopefully we see a change in the EPO. Heading up to Anchorage tomorrow. I'll see if I can negotiate a few weeks of negative EPO Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 17, 2011 Share Posted December 17, 2011 Heading up to Anchorage tomorrow. I'll see if I can negotiate a few weeks of negative EPO Take pics, my bro says he is buried and its expected to get brutal with winds and cold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted December 17, 2011 Share Posted December 17, 2011 Take pics, my bro says he is buried and its expected to get brutal with winds and cold. I'm hoping I don't have issues with the flight. It's scheduled to land in the afternoon, and it looks like they'll still be dealing with some intense winds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 17, 2011 Share Posted December 17, 2011 I'm hoping I don't have issues with the flight. It's scheduled to land in the afternoon, and it looks like they'll still be dealing with some intense winds. They were gusting to 81 when he got home the other day, of course he had to brag about it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 17, 2011 Share Posted December 17, 2011 Tough times for sure for most of us, but I still like the 24-27 time frame, I think its our best chance for a festivus miracle. We need less tough times and more trough times. Heading up to Anchorage tomorrow. I'll see if I can negotiate a few weeks of negative EPO Kevin can work your negotiations for you. Have a great trip. 27.3/14 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted December 17, 2011 Share Posted December 17, 2011 I'm hoping I don't have issues with the flight. It's scheduled to land in the afternoon, and it looks like they'll still be dealing with some intense winds. You're in for one bumpy ride Sam. The final descent into ANC can be a white knuckle affair. So happy for you !!! Have an awesome time, it's the most beautiful state in the union. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted December 17, 2011 Share Posted December 17, 2011 They were gusting to 81 when he got home the other day, of course he had to brag about it. The nerve. Will you seek treatment for the mental anguish? Things are looking bleak but that's when the tide always changes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 17, 2011 Share Posted December 17, 2011 18z GFS is close to tebowing 12/25-12/26 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 17, 2011 Share Posted December 17, 2011 Toss it says the Oracle from Tolland Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 17, 2011 Share Posted December 17, 2011 PANC has been one of the most difficult places to forecast for. They get these weird ageostrophic flows..... like 10kt nw winds and S+ while 2000ft up, the winds are se at 80kts. Once in a while those winds mix down and they go from S+ to RASN and a temp of 40F. 15 min later, they are light NW with snow again. That turnagain arm gets demolished. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 17, 2011 Share Posted December 17, 2011 18z GFS is close to tebowing 12/25-12/26 We'll have to hope that the +PNA can help out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 17, 2011 Share Posted December 17, 2011 We'll have to hope that the +PNA can help out. Weenies crossed A low probability event but there is some potential in that 12/24-12/26 time frame I think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 17, 2011 Share Posted December 17, 2011 Weenies crossed A low probability event but there is some potential in that 12/24-12/26 time frame I think. Yeah at this point, just hope to be surprised I guess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 17, 2011 Share Posted December 17, 2011 Yeah at this point, just hope to be surprised I guess. That would be hilarious if the one storm that delivered was on xmas lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 17, 2011 Share Posted December 17, 2011 That would be hilarious if the one storm that delivered was on xmas lol I am working that day, so we have that going for us....lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 17, 2011 Share Posted December 17, 2011 I am working that day, so we have that going for us....lol. I'm working 12/24 then off for the week. I'll be content with forecasting it and getting the hell out of dodge. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted December 17, 2011 Share Posted December 17, 2011 The bright side to this pattern is that with the well above average temps and a wood stove I've used under a 1/4 tank of oil since early October! Bizarre to have kale and collards still growing in our garden. Tough plants considering I've had temps in the low teens imby. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted December 17, 2011 Share Posted December 17, 2011 I'm working 12/24 then off for the week. I'll be content with forecasting it and getting the hell out of dodge. Ski trip cancel or are you waiting to see what happens? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 17, 2011 Share Posted December 17, 2011 Ski trip cancel or are you waiting to see what happens? Still planning on heading up there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted December 17, 2011 Share Posted December 17, 2011 Where's Steinbeck when you need him. This about sums it up doesn't it? Not gonna lie, I was expecting the exact opposite temp anomalies for that period back in the fall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 17, 2011 Share Posted December 17, 2011 18z GEFS show some potential 12/25-12/26. Something at least. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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