Mr Torchey Posted December 16, 2011 Share Posted December 16, 2011 Next week's system looks like crap to me...one of those brief snow/ice in the interior fairly quickly over to rain. If it can trend a little flatter then maybe we see an longer period of light snow and maybe ice. But I'm not really seeing a major reason for that unless we just happen to get lucky with the timing of the energy getting released from the SW. I like the 24-27 time frame for something Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ice Warrior commander Posted December 17, 2011 Share Posted December 17, 2011 18z GFS has a strong looking Norlun trough through CNE on X-mass eve, with cold QPF everywhere Lol, 18Z GFS at D8.. we are grasping here. Unless it was sarcasm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ottawa Blizzard Posted December 17, 2011 Share Posted December 17, 2011 JB's latest tweet. He's seeing a possible winter storm. https://mobile.twitter.com/BigJoeBastardi/status/147870117198430208 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted December 17, 2011 Share Posted December 17, 2011 Well, 2 rain events 12/21 and 12/24 on the 00z gfs. Congrats! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2Otown_WX Posted December 17, 2011 Share Posted December 17, 2011 Well, 2 rain events 12/21 and 12/24 on the 00z gfs. Congrats! While the 12/21 event is probably a loss, there's only one way to pull off the Xmas Miracle: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
QcSevereWx Posted December 17, 2011 Share Posted December 17, 2011 The PNA looks to be neutral or slightly negative next week, the AO-NAO mostly positive. Not good for snow lovers in the NE. The GEM 0z showing a Lake Cutter just before Christmas. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 17, 2011 Share Posted December 17, 2011 6z GFS = stick a fork in my eye. What a horribly, boring pattern. Normal to just above normal. No storminess. Total fail. Head toward a warmer looking CONUS by D11-15 on GEFS/Euro Ens but hopefully +PNA keeps things interesting here? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weathergun Posted December 17, 2011 Share Posted December 17, 2011 6z GFS = stick a fork in my eye. What a horribly, boring pattern. Normal to just above normal. No storminess. Total fail. Head toward a warmer looking CONUS by D11-15 on GEFS/Euro Ens but hopefully +PNA keeps things interesting here? The +PNA ridge looks good for something along the East coast around 12/25-26. Then the vortex that moves over Alaska, flattens it after that. That screams progression. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 17, 2011 Share Posted December 17, 2011 The +PNA ridge looks good for something along the East coast around 12/25-26. Then the vortex that moves over Alaska, flattens it after that. That screams progression. Unfortunately it looks like there's not a whole lot in the pipeline for us 12/25-26. We may sail through a semi-favorable (and I mean really "semi") with nothing too exciting. Agreed with the PNA ridge getting flattened later in the period. Just a horrid setup. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted December 17, 2011 Share Posted December 17, 2011 I'd be thrilled to get a couple inches followed by fzra one day.... Unfortunately it looks like there's not a whole lot in the pipeline for us 12/25-26. We may sail through a semi-favorable (and I mean really "semi") with nothing too exciting. Agreed with the PNA ridge getting flattened later in the period. Just a horrid setup. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 17, 2011 Share Posted December 17, 2011 6z GFS = stick a fork in my eye. What a horribly, boring pattern. Normal to just above normal. No storminess. Total fail. Head toward a warmer looking CONUS by D11-15 on GEFS/Euro Ens but hopefully +PNA keeps things interesting here? lol tell me about it... I'm counting on and looking forward to cold fronts or secondary frontal passages that might give us 1-3" of orographic fluff but that looks like the only snow we'll be getting anytime soon. No synoptic storms at all on the horizon... even next week looks like very meager QPF of mixed precipitation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 17, 2011 Share Posted December 17, 2011 6z GFS = stick a fork in my eye. What a horribly, boring pattern. Normal to just above normal. No storminess. Total fail. Head toward a warmer looking CONUS by D11-15 on GEFS/Euro Ens but hopefully +PNA keeps things interesting here? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 17, 2011 Share Posted December 17, 2011 Unfortunately it looks like there's not a whole lot in the pipeline for us 12/25-26. We may sail through a semi-favorable (and I mean really "semi") with nothing too exciting. Agreed with the PNA ridge getting flattened later in the period. Just a horrid setup. Yeah...the d11+ EC ens seem to be getting worse and worse every run. Sucks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 17, 2011 Share Posted December 17, 2011 Yeah...the d11+ EC ens seem to be getting worse and worse every run. Sucks. Yeah... what a disaster Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 17, 2011 Share Posted December 17, 2011 Weeklies ftw? I think by December end we'll have 25 days AOA normal. Go torch or go home. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 17, 2011 Share Posted December 17, 2011 Deflated Hoping that some small shifts pan out over the long term, but resigned to 1979 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 17, 2011 Share Posted December 17, 2011 Deflated Hoping that some small shifts pan out over the long term, but resigned to 1979 If the 79-80 style continues, you get huge props for sniffing it out months ago. Looks more like 99 to me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted December 17, 2011 Share Posted December 17, 2011 Yuck. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 17, 2011 Share Posted December 17, 2011 I've finally come to the realization that we've lost this winter. There's not going to be a good month or a good stretch. Deep down I've been thinking that since November when you all recall my worry posts and people talked me off the cliff..But it turns out my 1st instinct was right. This is going to go down as one of mildest and least snowy winters. Believe me when I say hown how hard that is for me to admit..but it is what it is. I've accepted it. I suggest we all spend more time with our families or doing things other than obsess about the wx. It's not healthy for anyone to get in here and just be surrounded by constant negativity..hoping something will change with Scooter's 200th post of each day. Our best hope is that we end up with 40-50 inches of snow..and even that may be a stretch. Anyway. enjoy the holiday season and step back from the wx Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 17, 2011 Share Posted December 17, 2011 I've finally come to the realization that we've lost this winter. There's not going to be a good month or a good stretch. Deep down I've been thinking that since November when you all recall my worry posts and people talked me off the cliff..But it turns out my 1st instinct was right. This is going to go down as one of mildest and least snowy winters. Believe me when I say hown how hard that is for me to admit..but it is what it is. I've accepted it. I suggest we all spend more time with our families or doing things other than obsess about the wx. It's not healthy for anyone to get in here and just be surrounded by constant negativity..hoping something will change with Scooter's 200th post of each day. Our best hope is that we end up with 40-50 inches of snow..and even that may be a stretch. Anyway. enjoy the holiday season and step back from the wx Come enjoy the OES event Phil and Messenger will be getting. These are the meso type events that I like. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted December 17, 2011 Share Posted December 17, 2011 I've finally come to the realization that we've lost this winter. There's not going to be a good month or a good stretch. Deep down I've been thinking that since November when you all recall my worry posts and people talked me off the cliff..But it turns out my 1st instinct was right. This is going to go down as one of mildest and least snowy winters. Believe me when I say hown how hard that is for me to admit..but it is what it is. I've accepted it. I suggest we all spend more time with our families or doing things other than obsess about the wx. It's not healthy for anyone to get in here and just be surrounded by constant negativity..hoping something will change with Scooter's 200th post of each day. Our best hope is that we end up with 40-50 inches of snow..and even that may be a stretch. Anyway. enjoy the holiday season and step back from the wx Just about there now. Chin up Blizzy, it's always darkest before the dawn. Good things will happen, don't worry. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 17, 2011 Share Posted December 17, 2011 I've finally come to the realization that we've lost this winter. There's not going to be a good month or a good stretch. Deep down I've been thinking that since November when you all recall my worry posts and people talked me off the cliff..But it turns out my 1st instinct was right. This is going to go down as one of mildest and least snowy winters. Believe me when I say hown how hard that is for me to admit..but it is what it is. I've accepted it. I suggest we all spend more time with our families or doing things other than obsess about the wx. It's not healthy for anyone to get in here and just be surrounded by constant negativity..hoping something will change with Scooter's 200th post of each day. Our best hope is that we end up with 40-50 inches of snow..and even that may be a stretch. Anyway. enjoy the holiday season and step back from the wx First reasonable post since 10/30. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted December 17, 2011 Share Posted December 17, 2011 First reasonable post since 10/30. Nice job this morning, it must be getting tough to get excited about going into work lately, the pattern is beyond boring, no snowflake symbols for the next 7:( Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 17, 2011 Share Posted December 17, 2011 First reasonable post since 10/30. Why haven't you donated to the board? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 17, 2011 Share Posted December 17, 2011 Nice job this morning, it must be getting tough to get excited about going into work lately, the pattern is beyond boring, no snowflake symbols for the next 7:( Yeah pretty hideous pattern. Borrrrrrrrrrrrrring. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 17, 2011 Share Posted December 17, 2011 Why haven't you donated to the board? Yeah I will. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted December 17, 2011 Share Posted December 17, 2011 I've finally come to the realization that we've lost this winter. There's not going to be a good month or a good stretch. Deep down I've been thinking that since November when you all recall my worry posts and people talked me off the cliff..But it turns out my 1st instinct was right. This is going to go down as one of mildest and least snowy winters. Believe me when I say hown how hard that is for me to admit..but it is what it is. I've accepted it. I suggest we all spend more time with our families or doing things other than obsess about the wx. It's not healthy for anyone to get in here and just be surrounded by constant negativity..hoping something will change with Scooter's 200th post of each day. Our best hope is that we end up with 40-50 inches of snow..and even that may be a stretch. Anyway. enjoy the holiday season and step back from the wx FEB WILL ROCK Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Go Kart Mozart Posted December 17, 2011 Share Posted December 17, 2011 I've finally come to the realization that we've lost this winter. There's not going to be a good month or a good stretch. Deep down I've been thinking that since November when you all recall my worry posts and people talked me off the cliff..But it turns out my 1st instinct was right. This is going to go down as one of mildest and least snowy winters. Believe me when I say hown how hard that is for me to admit..but it is what it is. I've accepted it. I suggest we all spend more time with our families or doing things other than obsess about the wx. It's not healthy for anyone to get in here and just be surrounded by constant negativity..hoping something will change with Scooter's 200th post of each day. Our best hope is that we end up with 40-50 inches of snow..and even that may be a stretch. Anyway. enjoy the holiday season and step back from the wx There is a stock trader axiom that goes something like this: "When the recently bullish masses capitulate and sell, that is the time to buy in". Blizz is capitulating...I'm buying. The euro operational has been consistently showing a huge vortex exiting Asia zround day 10 and beginning a slow trundle accross the Pac. Combine this with solar activity falling off a cliff, and I think we have the makings for a radical change in pattern beyond day 15. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted December 17, 2011 Share Posted December 17, 2011 I think we are going to get winter and a good stretch this year. It is distressing though that it is taking so long...especially during the time I am off the road and home. I think this is a good year to live up here vs. down there because when it changes it is likely to be better up here sooner. I was feeling kinda depressed this morning walking the dog and and getting ready for our holiday open house and seeing just brown ground. It was like this last year though and then we had the stretch of all stretches. I want the permanent snow pack down by New Year's Eve of I might need to borrow the toaster.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 17, 2011 Share Posted December 17, 2011 It's sickening to see the EC ensembles. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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