Damage In Tolland Posted December 16, 2011 Share Posted December 16, 2011 Is this for Wed or end of week? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 16, 2011 Share Posted December 16, 2011 lots closer to snow, verbatim ORH is closest. Sneaky cold, not a bad run. It looks terrible. It might support an inch of snow if that. 850 0C line zooms past kevin already at hr 120. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 16, 2011 Share Posted December 16, 2011 Ginx model read phail? Sounds like ice Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 16, 2011 Share Posted December 16, 2011 Euro suppresses Christmas eve storm for now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattlacroix4 Posted December 16, 2011 Share Posted December 16, 2011 Is this for Wed or end of week? Wednesday, but hopefully we get two chances Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 16, 2011 Share Posted December 16, 2011 Euro suppresses Christmas eve storm for now. Not a bad sign IMHO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 16, 2011 Share Posted December 16, 2011 Ginx model read phail? Sounds like ice I said nice overrunning pattern at 96, which it is. That is not far from being something good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 16, 2011 Share Posted December 16, 2011 I said nice overrunning pattern at 96, which it is. That is not far from being something good. Yet Scooter says terrible and warm 850 with low level cold at surface at 120 hmmm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 16, 2011 Share Posted December 16, 2011 Not a bad sign IMHO. The GGEM has been really consistent with a coastal storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 16, 2011 Share Posted December 16, 2011 Yet Scooter says terrible and warm 850 with low level cold at surface at 120 hmmm Yea it went to crap at 106 but still a lot colder than yesterday, all relative anyways at 100 plus, see a little life anyways. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 16, 2011 Share Posted December 16, 2011 Not a bad sign IMHO. True dat... when was the last time something was supressed? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 16, 2011 Share Posted December 16, 2011 Yet Scooter says terrible and warm 850 with low level cold at surface at 120 hmmm No low level cold for now. Hopefully it gets suppressed, but tough to do in this pattern. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 16, 2011 Share Posted December 16, 2011 NNE special Yes, Weaker version at 12z then 0z but its still way out there but getting closer Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 16, 2011 Share Posted December 16, 2011 True dat... when was the last time something was supressed? No worrys, The trend has been NW this year, Bank on it.............. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 16, 2011 Share Posted December 16, 2011 No low level cold for now. Hopefully it gets suppressed, but tough to do in this pattern. at 96 this has potential to ride the thermal boundary, perhaps we get a break? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted December 16, 2011 Share Posted December 16, 2011 Geezus dude I believe he is saying it will be a gradient pattern and south of NYC will suck. OMG. It's unbearable.lol Whoa! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted December 16, 2011 Share Posted December 16, 2011 lots closer to snow, verbatim ORH is closest. Sneaky cold, not a bad run. trending colder? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 16, 2011 Share Posted December 16, 2011 Post christmas SWFE snow on the 26th for all in NE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 16, 2011 Share Posted December 16, 2011 trending colder? I thought so but looks like I am alone, sure it craps out after 100 but seems better IDK, grasping I guess. Brutal Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted December 16, 2011 Share Posted December 16, 2011 Yes, Weaker version at 12z then 0z but its still way out there but getting closer It is going to precipitate as it has been doing all fall. Good chance for snow up here I'd think, in late December. Hi pressure positioned right so that it trends colder? sneaky high? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted December 16, 2011 Share Posted December 16, 2011 Post christmas SWFE snow on the 26th for all in NE maybe our gradient is starting to set up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 16, 2011 Share Posted December 16, 2011 It is going to precipitate as it has been doing all fall. Good chance for snow up here I'd think, in late December. Hi pressure positioned right so that it trends colder? sneaky high? maybe our gradient is starting to set up. Yes, Euro looks like it still brings 2 chances up here next week with some timing differences... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 16, 2011 Share Posted December 16, 2011 I thought so but looks like I am alone, sure it craps out after 100 but seems better IDK, grasping I guess. Brutal You walking around with a back full of daggers? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 16, 2011 Share Posted December 16, 2011 at 96 this has potential to ride the thermal boundary, perhaps we get a break? It's def warmer than 00z. The airmass looked a little better on the 00z run and the low was also juicier with VVs and dynamic cooling before the strong WAA set in. This storm is defintelty warmer and drives the 850 0C line into ctrl NH and srn ME. Like I said yesterday, pick your poison. Do you want a stronger low? If so, you may risk having the solution become much warmer. A colder solution? Well if that is the case, than we'll need a suppressed piece of garbage to help reduce WAA over SNE. Hopefully the low will get more suppressed, but I'm not sure the pattern will support that thinking. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 16, 2011 Share Posted December 16, 2011 Overrunning rains. Congrats. LOL Not a bad sign IMHO. 100% agree It's def warmer than 00z. The airmass looked a little better on the 00z run and the low was also juicier with VVs and dynamic cooling before the strong WAA set in. This storm is defintelty warmer and drives the 850 0C line into ctrl NH and srn ME. Like I said yesterday, pick your poison. Do you want a stronger low? If so, you may risk having the solution become much warmer. A colder solution? Well if that is the case, than we'll need a suppressed piece of garbage to help reduce WAA over SNE. Hopefully the low will get more suppressed, but I'm not sure the pattern will support that thinking. My poison will be for a colder solution. A little bit of snow is always better than a big bit of rain. Or something like that. 38.9/29 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 16, 2011 Share Posted December 16, 2011 How much for the Cape tomorrow on the Euro? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Go Kart Mozart Posted December 16, 2011 Share Posted December 16, 2011 We need a sharp temperature gradient to get a decent swfe event. This is the crappiest gradient ever...0c over Asbury Park is OK, but you have to go to Quebec City to find -4c!: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted December 16, 2011 Share Posted December 16, 2011 gfs looks colder in the long range vs. yesterday. Not that it means much though. What did the gefs have for the day 5 and day 8 "threats"? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 16, 2011 Author Share Posted December 16, 2011 I thought so ... looking at the D8-10 mean, operational run appears to be a warm outlier, D8 and 9. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 16, 2011 Share Posted December 16, 2011 How much for the Cape tomorrow on the Euro? Well still a little uncertain with that, but maybe inch or two in spots. I suppose a weenie band could drop a narrow band of higher amounts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.