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December pattern change continued


Typhoon Tip

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It is going to precipitate as it has been doing all fall. Good chance for snow up here I'd think, in late December. Hi pressure positioned right so that it trends colder? sneaky high?

maybe our gradient is starting to set up.

Yes, Euro looks like it still brings 2 chances up here next week with some timing differences...

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at 96 this has potential to ride the thermal boundary, perhaps we get a break?

It's def warmer than 00z. The airmass looked a little better on the 00z run and the low was also juicier with VVs and dynamic cooling before the strong WAA set in. This storm is defintelty warmer and drives the 850 0C line into ctrl NH and srn ME.

Like I said yesterday, pick your poison. Do you want a stronger low? If so, you may risk having the solution become much warmer. A colder solution? Well if that is the case, than we'll need a suppressed piece of garbage to help reduce WAA over SNE.

Hopefully the low will get more suppressed, but I'm not sure the pattern will support that thinking.

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Overrunning rains. Congrats.

LOL

Not a bad sign IMHO.

100% agree

It's def warmer than 00z. The airmass looked a little better on the 00z run and the low was also juicier with VVs and dynamic cooling before the strong WAA set in. This storm is defintelty warmer and drives the 850 0C line into ctrl NH and srn ME.

Like I said yesterday, pick your poison. Do you want a stronger low? If so, you may risk having the solution become much warmer. A colder solution? Well if that is the case, than we'll need a suppressed piece of garbage to help reduce WAA over SNE.

Hopefully the low will get more suppressed, but I'm not sure the pattern will support that thinking.

My poison will be for a colder solution. A little bit of snow is always better than a big bit of rain. Or something like that.

38.9/29

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