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December pattern change continued


Typhoon Tip

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The Euro kicks out that sw closed low and bowles it east passing south of us now..... of course after two nice shots of cold air it evacuates just in time for us to have a 35 degree cold rain. But I still take it as a positive development on balance. :)

  On 12/15/2011 at 5:58 AM, messenger said:

The bumped thread on Ryan's snowfall statistics for BDL. Not one time has BDL gone the month with under an inch and ended up above normal. Aside of last year about 1/3 or 1/4 of the time they manage to pull out above normal with less than 6"

Interesting stuff.

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  On 12/15/2011 at 3:10 AM, CoastalWx said:

Well, 95% of the people hate it, but maybe some NORLUN or OES this weekend for some. If the NAM is right, maybe not just the coast either? Light stuff....but maybe some see some minor acc.

Yeah this has all the signs of a surprise 1-3 inch snowfall for a good many folks this weekend

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  On 12/15/2011 at 11:24 AM, weathafella said:

So you're thinking December comes in cold???

I was responding more to the larger picture of your original not very snowy forecast. I still think this will be a big winter. We are not the mid atlantic who I think have a crappy winter. Slightly delayed but not denied. Squirrels, rubberbands, etc.

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  On 12/15/2011 at 11:44 AM, CT Blizz said:

1st good 00z Euro run in awhile. Its only been the 12z runs...now 00z agrees. Progress. Glad we don';t live in the midatlantic. That we can all agree on

Euro shows 1-3 inches for Dec Christmas eve Christmas day.

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  On 12/15/2011 at 11:44 AM, CT Blizz said:

1st good 00z Euro run in awhile. Its only been the 12z runs...now 00z agrees. Progress. Glad we don';t live in the midatlantic. That we can all agree on

Having the euro op show a good run beyond day 7 should not give anyone reason to be excited just yet. 12z could tank.

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  On 12/15/2011 at 12:06 PM, wxwatcher91 said:

Lol epic fail. Horrendous runs last night. And we can't even pull off a light icing this morning

Try some Pepto for the runs ... usually works pretty well.

I didn't think the overnight models were too bad, but then I'm not a trained professional. I see chances in the offing, and that's all I can hope for at this point given the lead time.

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  On 12/15/2011 at 12:02 PM, toronto blizzard said:

Are they trying to bring a chance for accumulating snow in Toronto? Also how does the x-mas storm look on some of the euro ensembles? Thanks

Ensembles don't really show much for next week to be honest, and they have no sign of a Christmas storm. Just fropa.

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  On 12/15/2011 at 12:41 PM, CapeCodWeather.net said:

Nice oes look to sat night and much of Sunday...might have to start a messenger and CCW obs thread laugh.png

  On 12/15/2011 at 12:50 PM, CoastalWx said:

Actually, some mid to high clouds overhead might also help with he seeder-feeder mechanism.

yea looks nice, surface temps?

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