OSUmetstud Posted January 13, 2012 Share Posted January 13, 2012 It did seem like things setup a little bit further east in the end when it rolled through. I was originally worried that central PA wouldn't see the brunt of the precip and instead roll up through eastern Ohio and western/northwestern PA. Noticed that 0z NAM had trended a bit east at the last second with heavy precip axis. You still look like your in pretty decent shape, especially if you can get some lake enhancement from those raging winds. Starting to see a pretty decent pivot in the precip shield in NW PA, but it does seem like the Rochester area and south of there might be where some good snows set up. Further south, couple nice sw-ne oriented bands on north and south sides of Pittsburgh. That should start showing up more in the Laurels and perhaps into the central counties later today. Gonna be some rough going in those bands with the high winds. Yeah I think it's pretty clear the 18z NAM and GFS from yesterday were too amped up. The cold front flying through like that means the primary wasn't transferring enough energy to the secondary to cause everything to slow down. Still, BUF verified a blizzard and we probably have about 4" or so with a few more inches to come. I think we were saved by the lake because the synoptic dynamics verified weaker and further east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted January 13, 2012 Share Posted January 13, 2012 BTW, OSUmetstud welcome to our lovely little forum! Please come back often, you'll find this is a great haven from the SNE/Mid-Atlantic nonsense. Hell we've had a sh1t winter and none of us (mostly) are really whining too much! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted January 13, 2012 Share Posted January 13, 2012 Had a trace here. It snowed for about 30 mins but nothing stuck. 27.5 deg now and winds gusting to 30-40. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted January 13, 2012 Share Posted January 13, 2012 Just after I post that winds are roaring!!! now. Gusting to 55mph. Sustained at 20+ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itunis Posted January 13, 2012 Share Posted January 13, 2012 Had a snow shower about 15 minutes ago. What's the outlook for the rest of today in terms of additional snowfall? Side note-the wind is ridiculous. There must be a gap in one of my dorm windows because I feel a draft when it gusts hard. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JamieOber Posted January 13, 2012 Share Posted January 13, 2012 BTW, OSUmetstud welcome to our lovely little forum! Please come back often, you'll find this is a great haven from the SNE/Mid-Atlantic nonsense. Hell we've had a sh1t winter and none of us (mostly) are really whining too much! All things considered, we are doing well, I think. And OSU is awesome, I agree. Had a snow shower about 15 minutes ago. What's the outlook for the rest of today in terms of additional snowfall? Side note-the wind is ridiculous. There must be a gap in one of my dorm windows because I feel a draft when it gusts hard. Looks like an area of light, steady snow is on the way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted January 13, 2012 Share Posted January 13, 2012 the wind is brutal. Its cutting right through my carharts today. I normally never get cold, but i shivered the last time i was out..Its gotta be 20 or lower with the wind chill. It was just blowing some flurries around too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted January 13, 2012 Share Posted January 13, 2012 Monday Night: A chance of rain. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 33. Chance of precipitation is 50%. Tuesday: A chance of showers. Cloudy, with a high near 49. Chance of precipitation is 40%. :axe: Worst winter EVER! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
whiteout Posted January 13, 2012 Share Posted January 13, 2012 Can anyone comment on if there are any threats coming down the pipe in the next week to 10 days? At work and cannot look at any models. Thanks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itunis Posted January 13, 2012 Share Posted January 13, 2012 All things considered, we are doing well, I think. And OSU is awesome, I agree. Looks like an area of light, steady snow is on the way. yep, very light but steady snow is here. Very tiny flakes. Wind chill of about 5...and with the snow blowing around out there it finally feels like a northern winter! I just realized, by this time last year MBY just north of Atlanta had received about 9" of snow...so far up here we've gotten about 6" counting today. We should be above 15", I'd imagine. Not whining, just observing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Santa Clause Posted January 13, 2012 Share Posted January 13, 2012 More rain mon and tuesday! Whose excited? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted January 13, 2012 Share Posted January 13, 2012 the wind is brutal. Its cutting right through my carharts today. I normally never get cold, but i shivered the last time i was out..Its gotta be 20 or lower with the wind chill. It was just blowing some flurries around too. Tonight is going to suck, I have to be outside about three hours straight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted January 13, 2012 Share Posted January 13, 2012 Can anyone comment on if there are any threats coming down the pipe in the next week to 10 days? At work and cannot look at any models. Thanks Rain, cold, rain, cold, torch. The end. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted January 13, 2012 Share Posted January 13, 2012 why did BUF not upgrade to a winter storm warning this morning...man...idk...wtf Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Santa Clause Posted January 13, 2012 Share Posted January 13, 2012 lol we can't seem to get the cold and precip linked up.....ever. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 13, 2012 Share Posted January 13, 2012 45+ mph winds, blizzard conditions, snowing at 1 inch+ per hour with over 8 inches so far and counting on the ground. I guess its a great thing to live so close to Lake Erie! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted January 13, 2012 Share Posted January 13, 2012 45+ mph winds, blizzard conditions, snowing at 1 inch+ per hour with over 8 inches so far and counting on the ground. I guess its a great thing to live so close to Lake Erie! Don't come in here with your teases.... Jerk... Just kidding. Congrats. Someone at least is getting it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted January 13, 2012 Share Posted January 13, 2012 Tonight is going to suck, I have to be outside about three hours straight. that sucks. drink some jack before you go Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
djr5001 Posted January 13, 2012 Share Posted January 13, 2012 Can anyone comment on if there are any threats coming down the pipe in the next week to 10 days? At work and cannot look at any models. Thanks If this disturbance that the GFS has moving through the Great Lakes for next Thursday becomes anything of interest it could at least spawn some lake effect snow for those near the lakes to the north... other than that looks like a number of rain-to-snow-at-very-end-amounting-to-nearly-nothing type set up for the rest of January. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted January 13, 2012 Share Posted January 13, 2012 If this disturbance that the GFS has moving through the Great Lakes for next Thursday becomes anything of interest it could at least spawn some lake effect snow for those near the lakes to the north... other than that looks like a number of rain-to-snow-at-very-end-amounting-to-nearly-nothing type set up for the rest of January. It looks like this. Monday Night: A chance of rain after 10pm. Cloudy, with a low around 32. Chance of precipitation is 50%. Tuesday: Rain likely. Cloudy, with a high near 50. Chance of precipitation is 60%. Tuesday Night: Rain likely. Cloudy, with a low around 30. Chance of precipitation is 60%. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itunis Posted January 13, 2012 Share Posted January 13, 2012 OK so can someone explain this new P and C forecast from CTP? Not for Bradford, but for State College! Late Afternoon: A chance of snow showers. Cloudy, with a high near 22. Breezy, with a west wind around 23 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%. Total daytime snow accumulation of around an inch possible. Tonight: A chance of snow showers. Cloudy, with a low around 20. Breezy, with a west wind between 15 and 21 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%. New snow accumulation of around an inch possible. Saturday: A chance of snow showers before 4pm. Cloudy, with a high near 27. West wind between 13 and 16 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%. New snow accumulation of 1 to 2 inches possible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
djr5001 Posted January 13, 2012 Share Posted January 13, 2012 45+ mph winds, blizzard conditions, snowing at 1 inch+ per hour with over 8 inches so far and counting on the ground. I guess its a great thing to live so close to Lake Erie! With as warm as the lake surface temperatures have been I really am surprised it has taken this long for Buffalo to finally get some good snow! Hopefully you can squeeze out some more before surface temps get too close to freezing mark... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 13, 2012 Share Posted January 13, 2012 With as warm as the lake surface temperatures have been I really am surprised it has taken this long for Buffalo to finally get some good snow! Hopefully you can squeeze out some more before surface temps get too close to freezing mark... I know 11 inches on the year here in the southern suburbs of Buffalo. We average 110-130 inches per year here. Be lucky to hit 60 this year... At least the lake is 40 degrees, record high for the date and 6 degrees above normal for the year. Hopefully the storm track improves so we can all get some good synoptic systems! =) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted January 13, 2012 Share Posted January 13, 2012 That is it I have had enough. It is time to snow at my house. The snow machine is coming out tomorrow night. Here is pics from last year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
djr5001 Posted January 13, 2012 Share Posted January 13, 2012 METAR KMDT 131956Z 27020G29KT 10SM SCT046 OVC055 M02/M11 A2968 RMK AO2 PK WND 27037/1920 SLP052 VIRGA OHD-W-N T10171106 even when it does snow here it finds a way to not reach the ground... air is so dry it is evaporating before it even gets close Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 13, 2012 Share Posted January 13, 2012 Buffalo Airports Observations today, was a little worse just south of them nearly all day. Sustained Blizzard conditions for 6+ hours. http://weather.noaa....rrent/KBUF.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted January 13, 2012 Share Posted January 13, 2012 Winter Weather Advisory is in effect for a local backyard in Greencastle, PA for Saturday night 7 p.m - 10 p.m Accumulations: 2-4" Wind: 5-10 mph Temperatures: Lower 20's LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JamieOber Posted January 13, 2012 Share Posted January 13, 2012 OK so can someone explain this new P and C forecast from CTP? Not for Bradford, but for State College! Late Afternoon: A chance of snow showers. Cloudy, with a high near 22. Breezy, with a west wind around 23 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%. Total daytime snow accumulation of around an inch possible. Tonight: A chance of snow showers. Cloudy, with a low around 20. Breezy, with a west wind between 15 and 21 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%. New snow accumulation of around an inch possible. Saturday: A chance of snow showers before 4pm. Cloudy, with a high near 27. West wind between 13 and 16 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%. New snow accumulation of 1 to 2 inches possible. Sometimes I see weird blips like that where the forecast will be much different than what it was and then in 30 minutes, go back to what it was before. Anyone else ever notice that? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JamieOber Posted January 13, 2012 Share Posted January 13, 2012 OK so can someone explain this new P and C forecast from CTP? Not for Bradford, but for State College! Late Afternoon: A chance of snow showers. Cloudy, with a high near 22. Breezy, with a west wind around 23 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%. Total daytime snow accumulation of around an inch possible. Tonight: A chance of snow showers. Cloudy, with a low around 20. Breezy, with a west wind between 15 and 21 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%. New snow accumulation of around an inch possible. Saturday: A chance of snow showers before 4pm. Cloudy, with a high near 27. West wind between 13 and 16 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%. New snow accumulation of 1 to 2 inches possible. Okay, maybe not. There's this: A WINTER WX ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT UNTIL SATURDAY AFT. AS WINDS SHIFT MORE TO THE NW LATER TONIGHT...EXPECT SNOW SHOWERS TO CONTINUE...GIVEN WARMER THAN NORMAL LAKE TEMPS... AND UPSLOPE CONDITIONS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted January 13, 2012 Share Posted January 13, 2012 Brutality. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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