EasternUSWX Posted January 11, 2012 Share Posted January 11, 2012 A map would be a pain to make for this one so will just go with numbers. This is for all snow though Saturday including Lake effect. PIT: 4-8" JST: 6-10" AOO: 3-6" UNV: 2-4" IPT: 1-2" HGR: C-1" MDT: T-C Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JamieOber Posted January 11, 2012 Share Posted January 11, 2012 Here is my webcam if anyone is interested. It is live. http://grc7.web2cam.com/?c=1 Bookmarked and added to my web cam folder. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted January 11, 2012 Share Posted January 11, 2012 Bookmarked and added to my web cam folder. Have high quality cam on the way it will be really cool when I get it. Has night vision. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted January 11, 2012 Share Posted January 11, 2012 Have high quality cam on the way it will be really cool when I get it. Has night vision. and you won't be using that for weather right? must be a cute girl across the street from Zac Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted January 11, 2012 Share Posted January 11, 2012 and you won't be using that for weather right? Of course I will, what else would I use it for? Will be cool to watch when snowing at night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted January 11, 2012 Share Posted January 11, 2012 Of course I will, what else would I use it for? Will be cool to watch when snowing at night. a cute girl across the street? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard92 Posted January 11, 2012 Share Posted January 11, 2012 Thanks guys! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted January 11, 2012 Share Posted January 11, 2012 Green Man strikes again in the long term. The -PNA forecast to get down to as much as -2 is a killer, esp without an established -NAO. Likely why the GFS has been bringing the Bermuda high and occasionally Tropical Storm Alberto in it's post 300hr period. But thats something to worry about down the road, and hopefully the PNA doesn't go to those extremes..but with this winter, who knows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted January 11, 2012 Share Posted January 11, 2012 a cute girl across the street? Um no. lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted January 11, 2012 Share Posted January 11, 2012 Green Man strikes again in the long term. The -PNA forecast to get down to as much as -2 is a killer, esp without an established -NAO. Likely why the GFS has been bringing the Bermuda high and occasionally Tropical Storm Alberto in it's post 300hr period. But thats something to worry about down the road, and hopefully the PNA doesn't go to those extremes..but with this winter, who knows. :axe: :axe: :axe: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JamieOber Posted January 11, 2012 Share Posted January 11, 2012 Green Man strikes again in the long term. The -PNA forecast to get down to as much as -2 is a killer, esp without an established -NAO. Likely why the GFS has been bringing the Bermuda high and occasionally Tropical Storm Alberto in it's post 300hr period. But thats something to worry about down the road, and hopefully the PNA doesn't go to those extremes..but with this winter, who knows. I think someone put acid in our beer, because the pattern change was supposed to be Donovan McNabb but instead it was a chubby guy getting out of a Festiva to do a McDonald's pitch. (Always Sunny in Philadelphia reference) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hckyplayer8 Posted January 11, 2012 Share Posted January 11, 2012 Green Man strikes again in the long term. The -PNA forecast to get down to as much as -2 is a killer, esp without an established -NAO. Likely why the GFS has been bringing the Bermuda high and occasionally Tropical Storm Alberto in it's post 300hr period. But thats something to worry about down the road, and hopefully the PNA doesn't go to those extremes..but with this winter, who knows. lol at the near record heights through the Bering Strait. No lols at the dead NAO. If we don't soon see improvement in 8-10 day means, this winter could totally be facked. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard92 Posted January 11, 2012 Share Posted January 11, 2012 18z NAM showing cold air not being able to catch up to the precipitation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PottercountyWXobserver Posted January 11, 2012 Share Posted January 11, 2012 lol at the near record heights through the Bering Strait. No lols at the dead NAO. If we don't soon see improvement in 8-10 day means, this winter could totally be facked. Yep! I was hoping the MJO would go through 8,1,2 but lol it looks to skip and go straight to 3 . With no -NAO help, we are going to have to rely on the Pacific and that is totally being a pain, don't look..the EPO goes positive again . Our only hope right now is to get a -AO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted January 11, 2012 Share Posted January 11, 2012 Fog is really rolling in here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hckyplayer8 Posted January 11, 2012 Share Posted January 11, 2012 Yep! I was hoping the MJO would go through 8,1,2 but lol it looks to skip and go straight to 3 . With no -NAO help, we are going to have to rely on the Pacific and that is totally being a pain, don't look..the EPO goes positive again . Our only hope right now is to get a -AO. From what I've read, the AO and NAO usually go hand in hand. If for whatever reason we get a large negative AO, but the NAO stays neutral, I don't see how that helps us. The AO is simply the calculation of heights over the North Pole. Positive phase, the heights are lower and the PV is strong. Since the PV is strong, the winds winding around the vortex prevent cold air from surging South. Vice versa for the negative phase. By my understanding, that would simply dictate how much cold air is available for the mid latitudes. It would have very little to do with the jet stream configuration. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted January 11, 2012 Share Posted January 11, 2012 From what I've read, the AO and NAO usually go hand in hand. If for whatever reason we get a large negative AO, but the NAO stays neutral, I don't see how that helps us. The AO is simply the calculation of heights over the North Pole. Positive phase, the heights are lower and the PV is strong. Since the PV is strong, the winds winding around the vortex prevent cold air from surging South. Vice versa for the negative phase. By my understanding, that would simply dictate how much cold air is available for the mid latitudes. It would have very little to do with the jet stream configuration. And a really negative PNA would send that dumped arctic air courtesy of the -AO into the Pac NW with a lack of blocking via -NAO while cranking a southeast ridge. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JSTWX Posted January 11, 2012 Share Posted January 11, 2012 And a really negative PNA would send that dumped arctic air courtesy of the -AO into the Pac NW with a lack of blocking via -NAO while cranking a southeast ridge. From what I've heard from those who have access, the Euro weeklies are starting to show a blocking pattern setting up heading into Feb. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JSTWX Posted January 11, 2012 Share Posted January 11, 2012 I updated my blog along with snow maps for this event... http://www.wundergro...=215#commenttop. Rain has begun here in the Harrisbur area, but very light so far with 0.01in. Ground is not frozen and rainfall amounts at or below 1in should limit any flooding threat across central Pennsylvania. Looks like Dehart Dam will continue to be at over 100%. We need an extended dry period here after nearly 80in of rain, lol. Nice blog. Great work! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 41 deg. .33" so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hckyplayer8 Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 I would take that and run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 I would take that and run. Yup. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 Everything east of 81 and south of 80 = Lies... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 Everything east of 81 and south of 80 = Lies... Guess we will find out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JamieOber Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 37.0 and rain. Wow. Rain and under 40 degrees......haven't seen much of that this winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 37.0 and rain. Wow. Rain and under 40 degrees......haven't seen much of that this winter. Good thing I winterized my car the other day when it was warm out, got all the windows Rain-X ed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 Some seriously heavy rain forming just to my south. 40 deg and .35" Also pressure down to 1008mb dropping 2mb per hr rates. http://greencastlewx.sixserve.net/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JamieOber Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 Good thing I winterized my car the other day when it was warm out, got all the windows Rain-X ed. heh....I know. The thing that's going to suck Friday morning is trying to get the doors on our Mazda5 opened....they freeze shut quite easy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NeffsvilleWx Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 For the past few days, GFS precipitation graph for KMDT was showing a very small window of snow at the tail end of this event. No longer, GFS is forecasting under an inch of rain (down from almost 1.5 inches earlier today), with no snowfall. I'd agree that the recently posted map is going to be a failure. I really do not expect an inch of snow in Lancaster. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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