Blizzard92 Posted January 6, 2012 Share Posted January 6, 2012 CTP... THE NAO TELECONNECTION IS FCST TO STAY NEUTRAL/FLAT WHICH SUGGESTS THE COLD SPELL MAY BE SHORT-LIVED AS WE RETURN TO MILD LA NINA WINTER BY THE WEEK OF THE 16TH. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted January 6, 2012 Share Posted January 6, 2012 Cold then once again... :underthewx: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted January 6, 2012 Share Posted January 6, 2012 Folks get in your final day pick here we need to know soon. (PA get together) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted January 6, 2012 Share Posted January 6, 2012 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PennMan Posted January 7, 2012 Author Share Posted January 7, 2012 Some weird temperature differences this evening. Looks like all the stations in and around State College are around 48-52°, while it's currently 28.7° here NE of Lebanon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
2001kx Posted January 7, 2012 Share Posted January 7, 2012 Some weird temperature differences this evening. Looks like all the stations in and around State College are around 48-52°, while it's currently 28.7° here NE of Lebanon. 30 here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted January 7, 2012 Share Posted January 7, 2012 49 in Hazleton, 30.7 here in W-B. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Santa Clause Posted January 7, 2012 Share Posted January 7, 2012 I'm gettin drunk and crying about how bad Williamsport is for snow....and challenging anyone who says they have it worse to a fight hahahaha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted January 7, 2012 Share Posted January 7, 2012 I'm gettin drunk and crying about how bad Williamsport is for snow....and challenging anyone who says they have it worse to a fight hahahaha Hahah I like. Everyone put in your i'm coming tally over at the thread for the meeting so we all know who is coming. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JamieOber Posted January 7, 2012 Share Posted January 7, 2012 Some weird temperature differences this evening. Looks like all the stations in and around State College are around 48-52°, while it's currently 28.7° here NE of Lebanon. We got to 29 then suddenly rose to 38 in like an hour from about 10:30-11:30 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JamieOber Posted January 7, 2012 Share Posted January 7, 2012 Bow to the mild - already higher than forecasted - 53 currently, forecast was 46. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted January 7, 2012 Share Posted January 7, 2012 My windows are open and I have a fan on. Ha! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted January 7, 2012 Share Posted January 7, 2012 A little hope. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted January 7, 2012 Share Posted January 7, 2012 A little hope. Haha if we did manage something from that weak front runner wave it'd be a sacrificial lamb to the big midweek storm. I die a little inside with every solution that puts a nice low on the coast with no cold air involved. 12z Euro places a 992mb right on the Jersey shore with real nice deform band thru central/eastern PA...of rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Storm Clouds Posted January 7, 2012 Share Posted January 7, 2012 The 18z GFS is close to something big next Saturday... Also, this is really far out...but it also has a nice snowstorm for eastern areas on the 18th. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted January 8, 2012 Share Posted January 8, 2012 True story: I have tulips growing and appear to have the beginnings of buds. Reminder: It's January 7. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hckyplayer8 Posted January 9, 2012 Share Posted January 9, 2012 Farm Show week. It MUST snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WmsptWx Posted January 9, 2012 Share Posted January 9, 2012 Not happening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted January 9, 2012 Share Posted January 9, 2012 Farm Show week. It MUST snow. No dice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JamieOber Posted January 9, 2012 Share Posted January 9, 2012 Farm Show week. It MUST snow. Not happening. No dice. Someone must have entered that factor into the 06 GFS since it has a post frontal wave and snow now. Only model that has anything like that so it's likely wrong. Plus, it appears our rain is colder on the Euro. It really is trolling us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JamieOber Posted January 9, 2012 Share Posted January 9, 2012 Run the Euro snow maps on WeatherUnderground, true central PA people, and witness a classic bit of Euro trolling (special thanks to hckeyplayer8 for pointing out the Euro troll tendencies). Gives us accumulating snow to rain for the midweek storm. Someone needs to ban that model. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Billabong Posted January 9, 2012 Share Posted January 9, 2012 Run the Euro snow maps on WeatherUnderground, true central PA people, and witness a classic bit of Euro trolling (special thanks to hckeyplayer8 for pointing out the Euro troll tendencies). Gives us accumulating snow to rain for the midweek storm. Someone needs to ban that model. Why so? A nasty mix of several precip types, or even accumulating snow isn't out of the question, especially with the recent trends. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JamieOber Posted January 9, 2012 Share Posted January 9, 2012 Why so? A nasty mix of several precip types, or even accumulating snow isn't out of the question, especially with the recent trends. Oh, okay, good to know. I am just sort of skeptical given seasonal trends but should remember every storm is different. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
north pgh Posted January 9, 2012 Share Posted January 9, 2012 Maybe it's time to move south to Midland, Texas??????? URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX 518 AM CST MON JAN 9 2012 ...HIGH IMPACT POSSIBLY RECORD SETTING SNOWS LIKELY THROUGH THIS EVENING... .A STRONG UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM IN NORTHERN MEXICO WILL MOVE INTO WEST TEXAS TODAY. THIS SYSTEM WILL BRING PERIODS OF HEAVY SNOW TO SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO AND PARTS OF WEST TEXAS. INITIAL RAINFALL WILL TRANSITION TO SNOW THIS MORNING AS COLDER AIR FILTERS INTO THE REGION. SNOW IS ALREADY OCCURRING IN THE GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS AS WELL AS PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO AND THE NORTHWESTERN PERMIAN BASIN. A RAIN AND SLEET MIXTURE WILL TRANSITION TO SNOW BY 8 AM CST ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE AREA. SNOWFALL RATES AROUND 2 INCHES AN HOUR WILL BE POSSIBLE IN SOME OF THE MORE INTENSE SNOWFALL BANDS. WIDESPREAD SNOW TOTALS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES WITH LOCAL HIGHER AMOUNTS OF 10 OR MORE INCHES EXPECTED ESPECIALLY ALONG AND NORTH OF THE INTERSTATE 20 CORRIDOR EAST OF PECOS. LOWER AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES ARE EXPECTED IN THE MARFA PLATEAU AND BIG BEND REGION ABOVE 5000 FT. SNOW WILL END THIS AFTERNOON WEST OF THE PECOS RIVER BUT WILL CONTINUE TO MIDNIGHT IN THE EASTERN PERMIAN BASIN AND WESTERN LOW ROLLING PLAINS. NMZ029-033-034-TXZ045>048-050>053-059>063-067>070-075-092130- /O.CON.KMAF.WS.W.0001.000000T0000Z-120110T0600Z/ NORTHERN LEA COUNTY-CENTRAL LEA COUNTY-SOUTHERN LEA COUNTY-GAINES- DAWSON-BORDEN-SCURRY-ANDREWS-MARTIN-HOWARD-MITCHELL-LOVING- WINKLER-ECTOR-MIDLAND-GLASSCOCK-WARD-CRANE-UPTON-REAGAN-PECOS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TATUM...HOBBS...LOVINGTON...EUNICE... JAL...SEMINOLE...LAMESA...GAIL...SNYDER...ANDREWS...STANTON... BIG SPRING...COLORADO CITY...MENTONE...RED BLUFF LAKE...KERMIT... ODESSA...MIDLAND...GARDEN CITY...MONAHANS...CRANE...MCCAMEY... RANKIN...BIG LAKE...FORT STOCKTON Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JamieOber Posted January 9, 2012 Share Posted January 9, 2012 Why so? A nasty mix of several precip types, or even accumulating snow isn't out of the question, especially with the recent trends. Trend is our friend? Much further east and much colder for the mid-week storm now on the GFS. Not as much precip but much of it is now frozen for UNV-IPT north. Anyone who might actually know what they are talking about (like you Billabong) care to chime in here? I really raised an eyebrow at that last run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jmister Posted January 9, 2012 Share Posted January 9, 2012 Looks like the models are making a few positive changes for this midweek storm. The well to our north in Canada is getting increasingly stronger and better positioned. While the primary GL low is modeled further west. This means we could be seeing more of the influence of the northerly flow from the high and less southerly flow from the primary low. Just my thoughts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted January 9, 2012 Share Posted January 9, 2012 My family in Texas have had two tornado warnings so far, beginning around 5 a.m. Midland is getting record-breaking snow. Uh, it's sunny and in 36 here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted January 9, 2012 Share Posted January 9, 2012 12Z GFS hmm. Midweek storm a little colder and then post frontal snow and also possible storm starting at 156. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted January 9, 2012 Share Posted January 9, 2012 Um.. yes please. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted January 9, 2012 Share Posted January 9, 2012 Excuse me? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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