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Central PA Thread - Met. Winter 11-12 Obs/Disco


PennMan

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Canadian was interesting tonight.

Yea it was, appears that it collapsed the column in the interior. I guess its not out of the realm of possibility that running such a robust low up the coast could do that enough to get the interior snowing...especially since we're getting to the coldest time of the year overall. I'm more concerned about the track, waiting to see the Euro. Text data looks lousy like it may have cut west. Heck the NOGAPS is up into the central Lakes, can't imagine that's a good sign given the typical progressiveness of that model.

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Yea it was, appears that it collapsed the column in the interior. I guess its not out of the realm of possibility that running such a robust low up the coast could do that enough to get the interior snowing...especially since we're getting to the coldest time of the year overall. I'm more concerned about the track, waiting to see the Euro. Text data looks lousy like it may have cut west. Heck the NOGAPS is up into the central Lakes, can't imagine that's a good sign given the typical progressiveness of that model.

Euro has that problem holding back these systems won't trust it for another day or two.

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Euro has that problem holding back these systems won't trust it for another day or two.

I stand corrected, Euros on Ewall now and its got a track pretty similar to other models along the coast. Cold air way displaced though, and it doesn't seem overly deep so dynamic cooling for snow def out of the question this run. A deep storm is prolly our only outside hope for snow and that would likely solely be for the interior central PA folks. Otherwise, if we were to phase this thing would be easily going to the lakes and in the unlikely event the northern branch system shoves the cold in ahead of the southern stream system, it gets squashed south.

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I stand corrected, Euros on Ewall now and its got a track pretty similar to other models along the coast. Cold air way displaced though, and it doesn't seem overly deep so dynamic cooling for snow def out of the question this run. A deep storm is prolly our only outside hope for snow and that would likely solely be for the interior central PA folks. Otherwise, if we were to phase this thing would be easily going to the lakes and in the unlikely event the northern branch system shoves the cold in ahead of the southern stream system, it gets squashed south.

Rather have nothing than rain if that the choices. lol

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I stand corrected, Euros on Ewall now and its got a track pretty similar to other models along the coast. Cold air way displaced though, and it doesn't seem overly deep so dynamic cooling for snow def out of the question this run. A deep storm is prolly our only outside hope for snow and that would likely solely be for the interior central PA folks. Otherwise, if we were to phase this thing would be easily going to the lakes and in the unlikely event the northern branch system shoves the cold in ahead of the southern stream system, it gets squashed south.

Now we suddenly have a small system for Monday, especially for turnpike south....there's a bit of talk about it on the Mid-Atlantic forum.

Also, the Thursday storm is wwaaayyyy south and I tell you, I am paying a bit more attention to it for us up here. Suddenly trending toward a mixed event on the GFS.

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I stand corrected, Euros on Ewall now and its got a track pretty similar to other models along the coast. Cold air way displaced though, and it doesn't seem overly deep so dynamic cooling for snow def out of the question this run. A deep storm is prolly our only outside hope for snow and that would likely solely be for the interior central PA folks. Otherwise, if we were to phase this thing would be easily going to the lakes and in the unlikely event the northern branch system shoves the cold in ahead of the southern stream system, it gets squashed south.

Based on talk I see on the other subforums/main forum, I am getting the feeling interior PA MAY make a major comeback second half of winter. What are your thoughts? Curious.

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Now we suddenly have a small system for Monday, especially for turnpike south....there's a bit of talk about it on the Mid-Atlantic forum.

Also, the Thursday storm is wwaaayyyy south and I tell you, I am paying a bit more attention to it for us up here. Suddenly trending toward a mixed event on the GFS.

No worries it is gone now on 12Z lol.

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The 12z Euro is like the perfect track for all of us to get a big snowstorm and we still get torched, so it rains! :lmao: Just incredible how badly this pattern we are in sucks! :cry:

On another note: It feels great outside, nearly 60 degrees here in January! It is making me want thunderstorms! B)

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