Eskimo Joe Posted January 3, 2012 Share Posted January 3, 2012 My house is getting nailed. http://grc7.web2cam.com/?c=1 Indeed. Nice dendrites too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted January 3, 2012 Share Posted January 3, 2012 Wow it is smashing here. Almost a coating now in 10 mins. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted January 3, 2012 Share Posted January 3, 2012 Nice squall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JamieOber Posted January 3, 2012 Share Posted January 3, 2012 Port Matilda being rocked: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted January 3, 2012 Share Posted January 3, 2012 If that band works down here, i'll be sure to fall out of my chair. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted January 3, 2012 Share Posted January 3, 2012 Euro getting bigger for weekend storm. Mountains and NE smashed this run. Still a bit warm for the central/SE. But it is trending in the right direction with deepening the low quicker. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hckyplayer8 Posted January 3, 2012 Share Posted January 3, 2012 Euro trolling FTL. It doesn't matter who you are or where you live. The ECMWF will find you. It will troll you. It will break your heart. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted January 3, 2012 Share Posted January 3, 2012 Euro trolling FTL. It doesn't matter who you are or where you live. The ECMWF will find you. It will troll you. It will break your heart. Nah GFS/CMC etc all show some sort of storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hckyplayer8 Posted January 3, 2012 Share Posted January 3, 2012 Nah GFS/CMC etc all show some sort of storm. Not like that lol. Its a fookin bomb over the coastal plain and destroys New England. Can't see the mb reading but looks like 100x to 98x in 24 hrs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted January 3, 2012 Share Posted January 3, 2012 Not like that lol. Its a fookin bomb over the coastal plain and destroys New England. Can't see the mb reading but looks like 100x to 98x in 24 hrs. It could develop more south. Lets hope. Better than lasts night run for sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hckyplayer8 Posted January 3, 2012 Share Posted January 3, 2012 It could develop more south. Lets hope. Better than lasts night run for sure. No established West based block. Shame because that run is a monster. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Storm Clouds Posted January 3, 2012 Share Posted January 3, 2012 Are you guys talking about the storm on the 10th? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hckyplayer8 Posted January 3, 2012 Share Posted January 3, 2012 Are you guys talking about the storm on the 10th? Yeah. Look at the height increase as the thing digs and hooks lol.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Storm Clouds Posted January 3, 2012 Share Posted January 3, 2012 Yeah. Look at the height increase as the thing digs and hooks lol.... LOL yeah that's insane! That is a very close miss... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted January 3, 2012 Share Posted January 3, 2012 No established West based block. Shame because that run is a monster. Does not mean it can't dig a bit further. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted January 3, 2012 Share Posted January 3, 2012 Euro getting bigger for weekend storm. Mountains and NE smashed this run. Still a bit warm for the central/SE. But it is trending in the right direction with deepening the low quicker. when we re-picked dates for the 1st snow, i think i picked January 7th (my B-Day) lock it now! Its a little chilly to be outside working with Steel. 27 and with the winds gusts going right through me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Storm Clouds Posted January 3, 2012 Share Posted January 3, 2012 Yeah. Look at the height increase as the thing digs and hooks lol.... LOL yeah that's insane! That is a very close miss (snow-wise)... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Storm Clouds Posted January 3, 2012 Share Posted January 3, 2012 We know what happened last time though and it is the same way now currently...Euro had a bomb and GFS was OTS. The GFS ended up winning. We'll see...at least its something to track. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted January 3, 2012 Share Posted January 3, 2012 i'm thinking this may be the coldest night i've had so far in 11-12. going down in the teens. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted January 3, 2012 Share Posted January 3, 2012 We know what happened last time though and it is the same way now currently...Euro had a bomb and GFS was OTS. The GFS ended up winning. We'll see...at least its something to track. GFS is not out to sea. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hckyplayer8 Posted January 3, 2012 Share Posted January 3, 2012 Does not mean it can't dig a bit further. Your weenier is showing. You know that's only possible with a greater amplified pattern and that's only possible with.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hckyplayer8 Posted January 3, 2012 Share Posted January 3, 2012 LOL yeah that's insane! That is a very close miss (snow-wise)... Verbatim, interior light snow/snow showers down the I81 corridor as the low starts to wind up.....eh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted January 3, 2012 Share Posted January 3, 2012 Your weenier is showing. You know that's only possible with a greater amplified pattern and that's only possible with.... Well it is more dug in then 0Z so all we need is a bit more. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Storm Clouds Posted January 3, 2012 Share Posted January 3, 2012 GFS is not out to sea. Oh yeah, sorry about that haha! I meant that it is OTS with the second storm...but I thought the second storm was on the 10th? I am so confused...aren't there threats for the 8th, 10th, and 12th? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
whiteout Posted January 3, 2012 Share Posted January 3, 2012 Getting rocked here in Carlisle at work!! Quick heavy coating on roads, nice strong cell moving through. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted January 3, 2012 Share Posted January 3, 2012 Wonder how low we go tonight. 23 here now and a 4 dew. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted January 3, 2012 Share Posted January 3, 2012 After last nights half hour assault and some more B.S snow showers throughout the day, have nearly 3 inches on the ground. Certainly an overachiever for LES standards down here off the Allegheny front. For pictorial evidence see page 20 posts 693 & 698. Nice crisp winter day, temps never out of the teens and not too bad of a breeze. Now thats a lil bit more like winter. This next storm threat (9th/10th) is intriguing, as it kinda came out of nowhere in the last 24 hours. I had been watching the Euro for a couple days with a cutoff looking southern wave taking it up the coast in the 200+ timeframe, so really was kinda writing it off as there was no other model support. More on that in a min. Do kinda like what i see at this point assuming the storm sticks, we have the GFS a bit supressed and the European would suggest that even our eastern folks in here could see snow. We'll have to keep an eye on this event..but it's going to have to earn being worth a discussion topic by actually delivering. With that said, before we douse this with too much hater-ade..we do have this: This could be the best NAO forecast i've seen all winter unbelievably, and the sharp drop occurs around when this potential event is progged. If the NAO was forecast to remain in its current state, I would be sounding the alarm for this to do what the last 2-3 events have done. However... if we indeed have it at neutral or a hair negative, that could put it right on the coast and thus the chance for finally a decent event. Back to the other event near the 12th, the GFS has it today in the fashion the euro had it with southern energy lurking and then making for another event.. but with somewhat displaced cold. Euros a bit colder. Once again the NAO is still forecast to be neutral/slightly negative, so we'll see. Like i said yesterday, things are looking better as we go forward. The PNA could be a potential key to cold and storminess, as it still is forecast to drop sort of negative, but not as negative as i saw yesterday save for a few members. A stronger -PNA could put us on the wrong side of thermal gradient lifted up by a southeast ridge, while a weaker/neutral one coupled with a more favorable NAO would at least keep things seasonably cold and offer a decent chance for snow events. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Storm Clouds Posted January 3, 2012 Share Posted January 3, 2012 Of course the 18z GFS is completely opposite of the Euro...OTS! Why can't these models ever get along with each other? 00z GFS and Euro will be interesting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JSTWX Posted January 3, 2012 Share Posted January 3, 2012 After last nights half hour assault and some more B.S snow showers throughout the day, have nearly 3 inches on the ground. Certainly an overachiever for LES standards down here off the Allegheny front. For pictorial evidence see page 20 posts 693 & 698. Nice crisp winter day, temps never out of the teens and not too bad of a breeze. Now thats a lil bit more like winter. This next storm threat (9th/10th) is intriguing, as it kinda came out of nowhere in the last 24 hours. I had been watching the Euro for a couple days with a cutoff looking southern wave taking it up the coast in the 200+ timeframe, so really was kinda writing it off as there was no other model support. More on that in a min. Do kinda like what i see at this point assuming the storm sticks, we have the GFS a bit supressed and the European would suggest that even our eastern folks in here could see snow. We'll have to keep an eye on this event..but it's going to have to earn being worth a discussion topic by actually delivering. With that said, before we douse this with too much hater-ade..we do have this: This could be the best NAO forecast i've seen all winter unbelievably, and the sharp drop occurs around when this potential event is progged. If the NAO was forecast to remain in its current state, I would be sounding the alarm for this to do what the last 2-3 events have done. However... if we indeed have it at neutral or a hair negative, that could put it right on the coast and thus the chance for finally a decent event. Back to the other event near the 12th, the GFS has it today in the fashion the euro had it with southern energy lurking and then making for another event.. but with somewhat displaced cold. Euros a bit colder. Once again the NAO is still forecast to be neutral/slightly negative, so we'll see. Like i said yesterday, things are looking better as we go forward. The PNA could be a potential key to cold and storminess, as it still is forecast to drop sort of negative, but not as negative as i saw yesterday save for a few members. A stronger -PNA could put us on the wrong side of thermal gradient lifted up by a southeast ridge, while a weaker/neutral one coupled with a more favorable NAO would at least keep things seasonably cold and offer a decent chance for snow events. I really like the way things are looking over the next several weeks. The other (and perhaps bigger) players are the EPO and MJO. I think those may be the ones to watch, perhaps "forcing" a -nao and a less negative pna. It's gotta be better than where we've been, right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted January 3, 2012 Share Posted January 3, 2012 I really like the way things are looking over the next several weeks. The other (and perhaps bigger) players are the EPO and MJO. I think those may be the ones to watch, perhaps "forcing" a -nao and a less negative pna. It's gotta be better than where we've been, right? Agreed, the mets over in the New England thread have had some good discussion about those two teleconnections. Hopefully it stays out of those terrible phases 4,5. And yea, it could only get better haha. How much snow did you end up with up there? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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