michsnowfreak Posted December 7, 2011 Share Posted December 7, 2011 The 18z NAM looks much better for DTW (0.11") but now the GFS still shows a trace (7 of the 11 ensembles still bring 0.1"+ to DTW though). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpartyOn Posted December 8, 2011 Share Posted December 8, 2011 The 18z NAM looks much better for DTW (0.11") but now the GFS still shows a trace (7 of the 11 ensembles still bring 0.1"+ to DTW though). If we can eek out a decent ratio we might have a nice light snowfall be just enough to royally screw the commute. One thing Ive learned...Its better to drive on SEMI roads after a monster storm than it is with a 2 incher...People take ruts more serious. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted December 8, 2011 Share Posted December 8, 2011 Via my friend who I gave the talk with who is a intern at WGN with Skilling.."RPM gives ORD 1.1". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted December 8, 2011 Share Posted December 8, 2011 The RUC/HRRR/SREF might be onto something being further north with the band tomorrow night. The new NAM took a step in that direction compared to the 18z run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted December 8, 2011 Share Posted December 8, 2011 The new NAM has given me the confidence to raise the low end of my call for LAF. I'm now liking 0.1-0.5". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted December 8, 2011 Share Posted December 8, 2011 WGN's RPM model had accumulating snow up to about Racine, WI. Not expecting it to reach much further north then the state line. 0Z GFS still south of I-80. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted December 8, 2011 Share Posted December 8, 2011 Regardless of what happens with this particular system (obviously Im rooting NAM), look how different the two models (NAM/GFS) are just 30 hours out. Just like the other day they didnt catch onto accumulating snow for SE MI until 6-12 hours out. Its going to be a LONG winter of busts both good and bad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted December 8, 2011 Share Posted December 8, 2011 The new NAM has given me the confidence to raise the low end of my call for LAF. I'm now liking 0.1-0.5". I'm liking the 0.5-1" range personally. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted December 8, 2011 Share Posted December 8, 2011 Looks like we'll escape without any accums here. Hopefully that phantom system late next week does something. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
prinsburg_wx Posted December 8, 2011 Share Posted December 8, 2011 Looks like we'll escape without any accums here. Hopefully that phantom system late next week does something. The GGEM went south on the 0z run for next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted December 8, 2011 Share Posted December 8, 2011 0z ECMWF: DVN: 0.01" PIA: 0.05" DEC: 0.01" MDW: 0.02" VPZ: 0.03" LAF: 0.02" OKK: 0.04" FWA: 0.04" BTL: 0.04" ADG: 0.05" DTW: 0.05" PTK: 0.03" PHN: 0.05" TDZ: 0.05" CMH: 0.01" CLE: 0.06" YFK: 0.07" YYZ: 0.06" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted December 8, 2011 Share Posted December 8, 2011 0z ECMWF: DVN: 0.01" PIA: 0.05" DEC: 0.01" MDW: 0.02" VPZ: 0.03" LAF: 0.02" OKK: 0.04" FWA: 0.04" BTL: 0.04" ADG: 0.05" DTW: 0.05" PTK: 0.03" PHN: 0.05" TDZ: 0.05" CMH: 0.01" CLE: 0.06" YFK: 0.07" YYZ: 0.06" Lol maybe we can eek out .5-.75" of snow -.- Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted December 8, 2011 Share Posted December 8, 2011 I'm liking the 0.5-1" range personally. Then we can compromise and call it a 0.5". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wishforsnow Posted December 8, 2011 Share Posted December 8, 2011 Looks like the dry air is going to win out. The NWS has already cut the snowfall accum. I don't know why they are keeping the Lake effect warning up? I can even tell by looking outside it is a flop. The clouds are all breaking up. Just not enough moisture upstream. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KokomoWX Posted December 8, 2011 Share Posted December 8, 2011 WTHR thinks 3 inches up this way... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted December 8, 2011 Share Posted December 8, 2011 12z NAM has essentially nothing here. Awesome. I'll stick with my 0.1-0.5". Final, final. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted December 8, 2011 Share Posted December 8, 2011 The NAM, like BowMe, hates the state of Illinois. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimChgo9 Posted December 8, 2011 Share Posted December 8, 2011 Coming late to the party. First snow event of the season. A tad late, but I'll take it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Central Illinois Posted December 8, 2011 Share Posted December 8, 2011 The NAM, like BowMe, hates the state of Illinois. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jhamps10 Posted December 8, 2011 Share Posted December 8, 2011 The NAM, like BowMe, hates the state of Illinois. gee what did we ever do to you NAM!!! off the Christmas list for good! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted December 8, 2011 Share Posted December 8, 2011 ...LIGHT SNOW ACCUMULATIONS POSSIBLE LATE TONIGHT AND FRIDAY MORNING... A BROAD UPPER LEVEL LOW WILL PASS ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES REGION TONIGHT AND LIGHT SNOW WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE NORTHERN PORTIONS OF CENTRAL INDIANA. THE BEST TIME FRAME FOR SNOWFALL WILL BE FROM FRIDAY 200 AM UNTIL 900 AM. ACCUMULATIONS WILL RANGE FROM A DUSTING ACROSS THE INDIANAPOLIS METRO TO LESS THAN 1 INCH TOWARD KOKOMO...LAFAYETTE AND MUNCIE. ISOLATED SNOWFALL AMOUNTS NEAR AN INCH WILL BE POSSIBLE....HOWEVER MOST AREAS WILL RECEIVE ONE HALF OF AN INCH OR LESS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bryan Wood Posted December 8, 2011 Share Posted December 8, 2011 KILN Discussion: A BAND OF SNOW SHOWERS IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP OUT AHEAD OF THIS AND STREAM ACROSS WEST CENTRAL OHIO LATE TONIGHT INTO EARLY TOMORROW MORNING. COULD SEE UP TO AN INCH OF ACCUMULATION FROM MERCER COUNTY INTO HARDIN COUNTY. TAIL END OF THE UPPER TROUGH WILL SWING INTO THE REGION ON FRIDAY. AS THIS HAPPENS A COLD FRONT WILL PUSH THROUGH THE AREA. SOME SNOW SHOWERS MAY ACCOMPANY THIS FEATURE ALTHOUGH IT SEEM MORE LIKELY TO BE A TRACE EVENT. SO HAVE PLAYED UP SNOW FLURRIES. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted December 8, 2011 Share Posted December 8, 2011 ...LIGHT SNOW ACCUMULATIONS POSSIBLE LATE TONIGHT AND FRIDAY MORNING... A BROAD UPPER LEVEL LOW WILL PASS ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES REGION TONIGHT AND LIGHT SNOW WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE NORTHERN PORTIONS OF CENTRAL INDIANA. THE BEST TIME FRAME FOR SNOWFALL WILL BE FROM FRIDAY 200 AM UNTIL 900 AM. ACCUMULATIONS WILL RANGE FROM A DUSTING ACROSS THE INDIANAPOLIS METRO TO LESS THAN 1 INCH TOWARD KOKOMO...LAFAYETTE AND MUNCIE. ISOLATED SNOWFALL AMOUNTS NEAR AN INCH WILL BE POSSIBLE....HOWEVER MOST AREAS WILL RECEIVE ONE HALF OF AN INCH OR LESS. Might be our biggest snowfall this December. Over-nighter? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted December 8, 2011 Share Posted December 8, 2011 Might be our biggest snowfall this December. Over-nighter? That would be bad. I'm holding out hope for something in time for Christmas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted December 8, 2011 Share Posted December 8, 2011 That would be bad. I'm holding out hope for something in time for Christmas. I've moved on to January. Hopefully this event/snow overachieves. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guru Of Reason Posted December 8, 2011 Share Posted December 8, 2011 0z ECMWF: DVN: 0.01" PIA: 0.05" DEC: 0.01" MDW: 0.02" VPZ: 0.03" LAF: 0.02" OKK: 0.04" FWA: 0.04" BTL: 0.04" ADG: 0.05" DTW: 0.05" PTK: 0.03" PHN: 0.05" TDZ: 0.05" CMH: 0.01" CLE: 0.06" YFK: 0.07" YYZ: 0.06" What about STL? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted December 8, 2011 Share Posted December 8, 2011 Yeesh, IND not exactly "bullish" for this "event". Tonight: A 30 percent chance of snow showers after 1am. Cloudy, with a low around 26. West wind between 5 and 7 mph. Friday: A 20 percent chance of snow showers before 1pm. Cloudy, then gradually becoming mostly sunny, with a high near 30. Northwest wind between 6 and 10 mph. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted December 9, 2011 Share Posted December 9, 2011 A little love from the 0z NAM for central and eastern IL. A skinny band of goodness for IN and OH...on up through southern ON. Oh boy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AppsRunner Posted December 9, 2011 Share Posted December 9, 2011 HRRR showing 1-2" here.. just hoping to squeak out an inch or so . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Central Illinois Posted December 9, 2011 Share Posted December 9, 2011 A little love from the 0z NAM for central and eastern IL. A skinny band of goodness for IN and OH...on up through southern ON. Oh boy. Get the snow shovels ready! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.