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12/7-12/8 Potential Event Discussion Part II


earthlight

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The Euro snowfall from Wunderground was overdone for our immediate area back

in October so I an guessing it will probably be warmer here than it's showing now.

Definetely. I was using it more for the actual precip falling fromt he sky. Doesnt mean it will stick at all.

But its a decent tool to get an idea of potential switchover time.

At this point, I'd be shocked if NYC area received more then a trace.

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Definetely. I was using it more for the actual precip falling fromt he sky. Doesnt mean it will stick at all.

But its a decent tool to get an idea of potential switchover time.

At this point, I'd be shocked if NYC area received more then a trace.

I understand. Hopefully there is still some precip leftover when the temps dip into the upper 30's Thursday before sunrise.

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I understand. Hopefully there is still some precip leftover when the temps dip into the upper 30's Thursday before sunrise.

Sweet! I'll be sure to get out my night vision goggles and magnifying glass in search of wet snowflakes!

:lol:

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Although it was dissapointing seeing the models back away from the snowstorm in NE NJ, at this point I'll gladly take any back end light snow... who knows when it'll snow the next time.

Flooding appears to be a possible concern though especially for NYC and nearby places, models show nearly 2 inches of rain from tonight through Thursday morning. Mt. Holly already issued a flood watch, and I'd expect Upton to do so as well for the central and eastern parts of their area.

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Although it was dissapointing seeing the models back away from the snowstorm in NE NJ, at this point I'll gladly take any back end light snow... who knows when it'll snow the next time.

Flooding appears to be a possible concern though especially for NYC and nearby places, models show nearly 2 inches of rain from tonight through Thursday morning. Mt. Holly already issued a flood watch, and I'd expect Upton to do so as well for the central and eastern parts of their area.

Went from a possible advisory level snowfall to floodwatches this winter should be awesome lol, is there going to be any wind with this event?

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That's for sure.....I think december is pretty much lost this winter.........

The interesting thing is that two great Decembers in a row has been the max that we have been

able to achieve around here like we had in 09 and 10. By great I mean double digit snowfall for

the month. We lucked out getting this to happen so soon since 2002-2003. We had to go all the

way back to 1960 for the last occurrence.

http://www.erh.noaa....onsnowfall.html

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Sucks I'm not in the city, maybe I'll be seeing a good 3-5" up here in New Paltz. lol haha Sorry guys. I'm with you guys all the way. Remember we didn't see snow until late December last year, the pattern will shift in time, maybe not as aggressively.

there is zero evidence of a pattern shift at this time... :cry:

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Jeez the Nam looks awful. Get your boats ready.

did you need a model to tell you this? i guess so....

but learn your lesson for the next time we are in a hideous upper air pattern and the models spit out some snow.

and this isnt about being positive or negative for an upcoming event. its taking off the snow goggles and being objective at what it takes to get snow in nyc.

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did you need a model to tell you this? i guess so....

but learn your lesson for the next time we are in a hideous upper air pattern and the models spit out some snow.

and this isnt about being positive or negative for an upcoming event. its taking off the snow goggles and being objective at what it takes to get snow in nyc.

Give the guy a break, with Reyes gone, he knows the only thing that will be ice cold going into the Spring is the New York Mets.... :yikes:

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did you need a model to tell you this? i guess so....

but learn your lesson for the next time we are in a hideous upper air pattern and the models spit out some snow.

and this isnt about being positive or negative for an upcoming event. its taking off the snow goggles and being objective at what it takes to get snow in nyc.

:blahblah:

That's what you sound like.

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Actually the Nam is a lot colder than the previous run and has more wraparound precip in the cold air.

I'm with you bro don't listen to anybody else. I wish I knew why people are still posting if this is a "non event." Log off and take a break then.

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I'm with you bro don't listen to anybody else. I wish I knew why people are still posting if this is a "non event." Log off and take a break then.

Maybe I lack the enthusiasm of other members here but I won't be staying up until 2-4AM just to strain my eyes out the window to find non-sticking flakes under a street lamp. Meh.

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