ksstormhunter Posted December 8, 2011 Share Posted December 8, 2011 06Z SmartCast still showing Rutland and Montepelier, VT with the highest accumulation possibilities. Through 16Z looking at max of 7.3" of snow accumulations with the heaviest snow from now until 09Z, with rates of around 1.4" per hour. Other areas of interest are Worchester, Albany, and Caribou, with potential for around 5" of accumulating snows. Pushed out all the data for NY/VT cities http://smartwxmodel.net Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 8, 2011 Share Posted December 8, 2011 Yeah I think the guidance points to the area..esp out by you and Ray of getting into a period of strong lift..just a question of how long. It does look a little better on the models, so that's good I suppose, and better for this area too. If the meso models are right, it could be a 40-50 mile wide band of strong returns in a few hours, crossing the area. I'm gonna hit the hay and see what happens in a few hours. Probably NBD here, but maybe you guys will be having a little fun. I'd like to see the precip echoes in NJ light up more...but we probably need to wait for that vortmax to hit the bathwater S of LI to really get better reaction. If it plays out well...the echoes will be intensifying almost overhead around 2-4am. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted December 8, 2011 Share Posted December 8, 2011 gusting to 51 at jfk, not bad, howling winds here and the temp is doing a tom petty Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted December 8, 2011 Share Posted December 8, 2011 You idiots...I should ban all of you. fack i missed it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 8, 2011 Share Posted December 8, 2011 fack i missed it Banter thread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted December 8, 2011 Share Posted December 8, 2011 Cant take credit for it, it was an mrg classic earlier this evening.......I thought ginxy had seen the earlier exchange.... yeah i know, thats why it should be in a sig it was a classic blindside, never saw it coming LOL OT....yeah now back to the storm, weenie SN- continues here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 8, 2011 Share Posted December 8, 2011 Cant take credit for it, it was an mrg classic earlier this evening.......I thought ginxy had seen the earlier exchange.... I did idiot hence the LOL etc.OKX switched their radar mode screwed up for a while but now back. Nice gravity type waves on DIX velocity scans. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted December 8, 2011 Share Posted December 8, 2011 Just had a couple gusts that had to be 40-45 looking forward to 1am obs from around the metro and bdr Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 8, 2011 Share Posted December 8, 2011 Those winds at JFK might spell interesting times for the Cape in about 5 hours or so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted December 8, 2011 Share Posted December 8, 2011 Those winds at JFK might spell interesting times for the Cape in about 5 hours or so. Capehouse disasters oh noes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 8, 2011 Share Posted December 8, 2011 Those winds at JFK might spell interesting times for the Cape in about 5 hours or so. Check out the Dix velocity scans. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted December 8, 2011 Share Posted December 8, 2011 Those winds at JFK might spell interesting times for the Cape in about 5 hours or so. Very nice rise/fall couplet developing with this thing. Still looking like a good 3 or so hour window of possibly 50 kt gusts from 12-15z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 8, 2011 Share Posted December 8, 2011 Those winds at JFK might spell interesting times for the Cape in about 5 hours or so. I'm really interested to see how the radar responds in the next 2-3 hours. If guidance is right, it should really go nuts over interior SNE by about 2-3am...everything should look like its getting enhanced by ML fronto. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted December 8, 2011 Share Posted December 8, 2011 I'm really interested to see how the radar responds in the next 2-3 hours. If guidance is right, it should really go nuts over interior SNE by about 2-3am...everything should look like its getting enhanced by ML fronto. Is this a situation where it's too late for western areas and eastern/northern areas may actually jackpot? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 8, 2011 Share Posted December 8, 2011 Very nice rise/fall couplet developing with this thing. Still looking like a good 3 or so hour window of possibly 50 kt gusts from 12-15z. Gwave? Interesting TPHL scans Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted December 8, 2011 Share Posted December 8, 2011 Returns over NJ starting to consolidate, beautiful banding starting and curling just west of sandy hook and sw from there into the pine barrens Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted December 8, 2011 Share Posted December 8, 2011 I'm really interested to see how the radar responds in the next 2-3 hours. If guidance is right, it should really go nuts over interior SNE by about 2-3am...everything should look like its getting enhanced by ML fronto. I'm wondering if parts of north-central MA might have a shot at TSSN as the dryslot starts to work northward Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 8, 2011 Share Posted December 8, 2011 Returns over NJ starting to consolidate, beautiful banding starting and curling just west of sandy hook and sw from there into the pine barrens Nice inflow man freakin trop air. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 8, 2011 Share Posted December 8, 2011 Is this a situation where it's too late for western areas and eastern/northern areas may actually jackpot? No western areas should do fine...they flip first...but some of the guidance does show the most intense lift over eastern areas after the flip...as everything moves NE the lift intensifies....but I'm not sure that will actually play out. We'll just have to see. Its the way that someone like Ray could get 2.5" of snow while I get a similar amount despite longitude and elevation advantage....the lift goes apesh** over NE MA as the systems exits stage right....we just don't know if it will play out like that yet. The stuff over NJ is getting better looking E of PHL...that's going to be our show if we get one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 8, 2011 Share Posted December 8, 2011 I have to be up @ 8m...at the latest....dnt think it's worth it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 8, 2011 Share Posted December 8, 2011 I'm wondering if parts of north-central MA might have a shot at TSSN as the dryslot starts to work northward Def possible...the lift might be intense enough. I usually like to see a MAUL on the sounding, but it doesn't always have to be there. If you get 50 microbars per seconds, there's always a shot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted December 8, 2011 Share Posted December 8, 2011 well I finished my sedimentology paper so I think I'll go off to bed. good luck to all of you tonight...and ORH, Coastal and everyone else great analysis tonight as always! Good night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted December 8, 2011 Share Posted December 8, 2011 I have to be up @ 8m...at the latest....dnt think it's worth it It's already 1am you're going to be tired either way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 8, 2011 Share Posted December 8, 2011 Wind had turned due north here and gusting a bit for the first time in that direction....at 00z we were out of the ENE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted December 8, 2011 Share Posted December 8, 2011 bdr gusting to 40 now......winds continue to ramp up, impressive temp nosedive down to 38 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 8, 2011 Share Posted December 8, 2011 Moneypitmike's station is nose diving right now. Down to 37 from like 40 an hour ago. I actually was hoping to see it a little lower by now. The snow line needs to get over the Berkshires crest easily in the next hour or this won't be that good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted December 8, 2011 Share Posted December 8, 2011 36.5F in Plymouth, down 3 in the last two hours Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 8, 2011 Share Posted December 8, 2011 Though there are some temp nose dives in extreme NW ORH county too and SW NH....Royalston, MA down to 36 and so is Richmond, NH across the border. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 8, 2011 Share Posted December 8, 2011 I'm out....too big of a risk and too low a reward. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 8, 2011 Share Posted December 8, 2011 Wind had turned due north here and gusting a bit for the first time in that direction....at 00z we were out of the ENE. We were ripping pretty good went calm for about ten now ripping again, axis of LP must have just gone by BID. Good luck. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.