HoarfrostHubb Posted December 8, 2011 Share Posted December 8, 2011 Even gets Ray around 4am. Congrats on 20k Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted December 8, 2011 Share Posted December 8, 2011 No. I've reached the same point with Messenger that ORH did last year. I forget what the dust up was about exactly but Will had an issue with him as well. Glad the HRRR is showing some love. I can't argue with you when everyone that's chimed in on skiing tonight tells you you're wrong and you still want to single me out. Not by actually talking about how the conditions can possibly be perceived as good today and how you were wrong back in November with the thought that it would be good skiing now, but by making things up and talking about me saying the season is over etc. All a bunch of crap and you know it. I think they'll be making a ton of snow in the next week and then will have to see if another torch comes or not before a more persistent pattern change occurs in January. None of that has changed in 3 weeks on my end, but you want to keep paraphrasing and distorting what's said. I get it, you've been skiing for 40 years and know every mountain and trail better than anyone here. I think this is why they invented the ignore button and we should leave it at that. Enjoy all the snow tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheCloser24 Posted December 8, 2011 Share Posted December 8, 2011 Lots of thunder and lightning here in Western CT!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted December 8, 2011 Share Posted December 8, 2011 Lots of bright banding. NAM seems to want to flip me over by midnight instead of around 1 AM. 37.8° +RA you seem like you are in a pretty darn good spot tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 8, 2011 Share Posted December 8, 2011 The new HRR rips us pretty good still between 3-5am. Its a little slower than the NAM. Should be interesting to track. The RUC has not been as bullish. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted December 8, 2011 Share Posted December 8, 2011 All nighter for me? I really want to be up to track this, but I need to get some sleep. hmm. Anyway, looking at the 00z nam, looks pretty decent for 2-3" here. 23z HRRR shows about 1" but has 3-4" not too far north of here. Here's the HRRR snow accum map just for lols. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 8, 2011 Share Posted December 8, 2011 I think what we may see is a semi dryslot move into the region..perhaps close to Kevin and Will in a few hours. But the leading edge of the heavy precip marking the good frontogenesis will move east slowly. You can see this happening here. It's possible it may not be a dryslot per se, but more low level lift and moderate precip from overrunning. Anyways as the low really develops near BID, we should see start seeing a little comma head or tail form near NJ and moving ne. This will be the feature that gets area later on, but western and nw areas will be in the better banding in frontogenesis for a longer period. That feature associated with the low will pivot into SNE, after 06z. I really think some will pull TSSN out of this, and maybe thunder near the Cape and se towards ACK. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 8, 2011 Share Posted December 8, 2011 Lots of thunder and lightning here in Western CT!!! Where is Wiz? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted December 8, 2011 Share Posted December 8, 2011 The models have been faster with both the movement of the low and changeover with every run it seems. You probably get a solid coating on this run when you account for the continued speed/changeover. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
#NoPoles Posted December 8, 2011 Share Posted December 8, 2011 since it's been tossed around already...did someone say 1am changeover for Wachusett Mtn, and surrounding elevated area? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 8, 2011 Share Posted December 8, 2011 honestly i wouldn't worry about your temp right now. this won't be a slow drop...this will be steady, steady, steady......plunge. Lots of bright banding. NAM seems to want to flip me over by midnight instead of around 1 AM. 37.8° +RA Thanks. Get the feeling very strongly that surprises are in order for you and others to your North. Impressive bombing and most impressive UVVs. IDK Will could be a 4-6 paste. I also think MM5 type track with some wraparound gets WCT WMASS . This is starting to become similar to the heavy rain to insta paste storms of old. You could get warned talking dirty like that, Steve. One thing that appears to have been modeled well is the heavy qpf. It's been teaming much of the evening with 1.22" so far--the vast majority that has come down since I got home at 3:30p.m. Meanwhile, lower 30's are suddenly appearing just east of the CD. It's a-coming, just a matter of when. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 8, 2011 Share Posted December 8, 2011 since it's been tossed around already...did someone say 1am changeover for Wachusett Mtn, and surrounding elevated area? I'd prob go closer to 2am for Wawa...but the snow line will be accelerating eastward after midnight so it could surprise a bit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted December 8, 2011 Share Posted December 8, 2011 The new HRR rips us pretty good still between 3-5am. Its a little slower than the NAM. Should be interesting to track. The RUC has not been as bullish. RUC has been too warm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted December 8, 2011 Share Posted December 8, 2011 Wet snow flakes already starting to mix in here. Temperature down to 37.4 on a wind switch from NE to NW gusting over 20 mph Tstorms all over nyc metro and this behind that line..............going to be a wild ride tonight for sure, little bit of everything just like the old days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
#NoPoles Posted December 8, 2011 Share Posted December 8, 2011 I'd prob go closer to 2am for Wawa...but the snow line will be accelerating eastward after midnight so it could surprise a bit. thanks on a side note, i'm going to kill pickles...that's 4-5hrs from now...how long does he expect me to drive around? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 8, 2011 Share Posted December 8, 2011 The 00z NAM actually looks like it really smokes Ray for a time...it will be interesting to see if that shows up on the clown maps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 8, 2011 Share Posted December 8, 2011 Tstorms all over nyc metro and this behind that line..............going to be a wild ride tonight for sure, little bit of everything just like the old days. I know I was thinking just that, reminds of some old days intense pasters. Love the dynamics. Where was that post from? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
#NoPoles Posted December 8, 2011 Share Posted December 8, 2011 thanks on a side note, i'm going to kill pickles...that's 4-5hrs from now...how long does he expect me to drive around? anyone else want to drive around? i'm assuming-no, but i figured i'd ask Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 8, 2011 Share Posted December 8, 2011 The 00z NAM actually looks like it really smokes Ray for a time...it will be interesting to see if that shows up on the clown maps. He gets a stinger for an hour or two.,,,and not what he normally gets. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 8, 2011 Share Posted December 8, 2011 Unstable just to the west of the actual LI's below 0. Outlined in thin black. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattlacroix4 Posted December 8, 2011 Share Posted December 8, 2011 Here comes the snow collapsing south in the last frame! I think there will be many surprises in this. http://www.intellicast.com/National/Radar/Current.aspx?location=USNH0020&animate=true Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 8, 2011 Share Posted December 8, 2011 It's not like we are expecting heavy snow..but for about 2 hrs...it could be interesting for many. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmanmitch Posted December 8, 2011 Share Posted December 8, 2011 Reports of snow mixing in around ALB according to some obs in the other subforum. Seems to be a bit ahead of schedule. Could bode well for the Berks/Taconics if we can get this snow changeover to collapse a bit faster to the E. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted December 8, 2011 Share Posted December 8, 2011 very strong low and mid-level frontogenesis now and into the overnight...watching that as it shifts NNE...S/C VT could really get hammered for a time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 8, 2011 Share Posted December 8, 2011 Reports of snow mixing in around ALB according to some obs in the other subforum. Seems to be a bit ahead of schedule. Could bode well for the Berks/Taconics if we can get this snow changeover to collapse a bit faster to the E. If the vortmax tries to tear a hole in the atmosphere to the south of LI...it could tug the snow line SE while at the same time warm up the mid-levels ahead of it in SE MA...basically tightening the gradient. So I think that is our hope. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted December 8, 2011 Share Posted December 8, 2011 He gets a stinger for an hour or two.,,,and not what he normally gets. Here comes the snow collapsing south in the last frame! I think there will be many surprises in this. http://www.intellica...20&animate=true Can see the bright banding clear as day approaching Albany http://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?rid=ENX&product=N0R&overlay=11101111&loop=yes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted December 8, 2011 Share Posted December 8, 2011 Kind of an OB, but live weather camera in Albany. Still looks like rain there http://www.cbs6albany.com/sections/news/webcams/skycam/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 8, 2011 Share Posted December 8, 2011 If the vortmax tries to tear a hole in the atmosphere to the south of LI...it could tug the snow line SE while at the same time warm up the mid-levels ahead of it in SE MA...basically tightening the gradient. So I think that is our hope. It will be interesting to see what happens. I could see something where Dave gets into a period of heavy snow and 20-30 miles to the se..it may be a little too removed from the good stuff until last minute. At least something like that...just giving a hypothetical situation. Still think it may be tough for you and esp Kevin, but who knows. Hopefully you squeeze an inch....or better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted December 8, 2011 Share Posted December 8, 2011 What time might Torrington, CT see a changeover? My dad might be up til around 2, I'll have him call me when they switch. Hell, I'll probably still be up doing school work til then anyway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 8, 2011 Share Posted December 8, 2011 If the vortmax tries to tear a hole in the atmosphere to the south of LI...it could tug the snow line SE while at the same time warm up the mid-levels ahead of it in SE MA...basically tightening the gradient. So I think that is our hope. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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