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Thursday Wintry Threat II


Baroclinic Zone

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LOL! You do know I was joking earlier, right?

Oh, how far we have yet to go for our snow.

42.2/42

Yeah I know, I was just twinging you back.

Does the owner of that site post here? What a great resouce. The cold just isn't pushing. Temps up in Burlington and Montpelier since 9am still haven't dropped in the last few hours with mostly saturated air.

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Yeah I know, I was just twinging you back.

Does the owner of that site post here? What a great resouce. The cold just isn't pushing. Temps up in Burlington and Montpelier since 9am still haven't dropped in the last few hours with mostly saturated air.

I don't know. But the temp march has been painful to say the least.

Here's the graphed temps from the Pit. Soooooo slow.

BOX's AFD talks about ALY launching a baloon--any word on when that's taking place?

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Elevation FTW. On the plus side, I'll probably be awake when the inch or two of snow is falling.

Absolutely. That map shows about 2" for MBY at just under 400', and 6-8 miles to my south is the red blotch of 8-10" on the Kennebec Highlands at 800-1,200'.

GYX has some odd splits between N&S for Oxford/Franklin/Somerset:

OX: South 4-8", North 6-10"

FR: South 3-5", North 6-10"

SO: South 1-3", North 8-12"

That last is the weird one. (And I'm supposed to be in N.Somerset Friday exploring young spruce-fir thickets along unplowed roads.)

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18Z NAM is actually an ALB special. They get smoked under hours of +SN per this run as the mid-levels cool off quicker out there, maximizing snow time. We'd still do okay, but a good chunk of QPF is wasted as RA as it takes 3 hours for 850 mb 0° C line to get from ALB to PSF. Probably a high end advisory, maybe low end warning verbatim for Berks. Definite warning for Poconos, Catskills, and ALB this run. The NW trend is no longer our friend...

I hate it when a met has the same thought as me and it's not one of optimism. For MBY, I suppose being further north might help me a smidge with the cold air given the orientation of the temp gradiant. But, nothing of any significance. We could really use a 30 mile shift to really lighten up the mood in GC.

Mitch--the temps here are similar to the orientation of the temp gradient that I mentioned in these posts. Don't know if this gradiant translates further up, but it seems a pretty solid SW-NE orientation.

42.1/42

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