MaineJayhawk Posted December 7, 2011 Share Posted December 7, 2011 Maybe an inch or two in my 'hood. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted December 7, 2011 Share Posted December 7, 2011 Maybe an inch or two in my 'hood. That looks a lot closer to the GYX print forecast than using their every-six-hr snow tool, which only has 1.5" for Rangeley and nothing for the foothills and south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted December 7, 2011 Share Posted December 7, 2011 That looks a lot closer to the GYX print forecast than using their every-six-hr snow tool, which only has 1.5" for Rangeley and nothing for the foothills and south. My point forecast was updated at noon. Earlier it was giving me the big squadoosh and now it says up to 2". So maybe the snow tool is being updated as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted December 7, 2011 Share Posted December 7, 2011 winter storm warning for the berks now URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY 1209 PM EST WED DEC 7 2011 MAZ001-025-NYZ058-063-VTZ013-014-080100- /O.UPG.KALY.WW.Y.0023.111207T2300Z-111208T1100Z/ /O.NEW.KALY.WS.W.0014.111207T2300Z-111208T1100Z/ NORTHERN BERKSHIRE-SOUTHERN BERKSHIRE-WESTERN GREENE- WESTERN ULSTER-BENNINGTON-WESTERN WINDHAM- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PITTSFIELD...NORTH ADAMS... GREAT BARRINGTON...LEE...LENOX...HOUSATONIC...HUNTER... TANNERSVILLE...WINDHAM...SUNDOWN...ELLENVILLE...WOODSTOCK... WEST HURLEY...KERHONKSON...NAPANOCH...PHOENICIA...BENNINGTON... JACKSONVILLE...NEWFANE 1209 PM EST WED DEC 7 2011 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 AM EST THURSDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ALBANY HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 AM EST THURSDAY. THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. * LOCATIONS...CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST CATSKILLS...BERKSHIRES AND SOUTHERN GREEN MOUNTAINS. * HAZARD TYPES...HEAVY SNOW. * ACCUMULATIONS...5 TO 10 INCHES OF SNOW ACROSS THE SOUTHERN BERKSHIRES AND BENNINGTON COUNTY...6 TO 12 INCHES OF SNOW ACROSS THE NORTHERN BERKSHIRES AND CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST CATSKILLS...AND 8 TO 16 INCHES OF SNOW ACROSS WESTERN WINDHAM COUNTY. * TIMING...RAIN CHANGING TO SNOW THIS EVENING AND CONTINUING THROUGH TONIGHT. * IMPACTS...SNOW COVERED ROADS. * WINDS...BECOMING NORTHWEST THIS EVENING AT 5 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH OVERNIGHT. * TEMPERATURES...IN THE MID TO UPPER 30S THIS EVENING...DROPPING INTO THE UPPER 20S BY THURSDAY MORNING. * VISIBILITIES...GENERALLY ONE QUARTER TO ONE MILE. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW... SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted December 7, 2011 Share Posted December 7, 2011 RUC now starting to give interior mass se nh and maine some decent snows later tonight, signs of it hitting the comma head potential up arond kgay and points northeast Good luck with that..... NAM at 12-1 looks pretty good. Had temps diving in Boston to around 45/46ish....was showing the nudge of cold air along the north shore. Maybe a smidge slow on the cold but it's tough to tell. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dabize Posted December 7, 2011 Share Posted December 7, 2011 winter storm warning for the berks now 8 TO 16 INCHES OF SNOW ACROSS WESTERN WINDHAM COUNTY. * TIMING...RAIN CHANGING TO SNOW THIS EVENING AND CONTINUING THROUGH TONIGHT. * IMPACTS...SNOW COVERED ROADS. * WINDS...BECOMING NORTHWEST THIS EVENING AT 5 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH OVERNIGHT. Mt Snow FTW...... But does this often happen under a NW wind?? Or are there upslope or other local issues in play here? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted December 7, 2011 Share Posted December 7, 2011 Fun day for our favorite contractor at 2k tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 7, 2011 Share Posted December 7, 2011 I'm with you...it would be nice to have something to aid in radiational cooling. I think it'll work out. BTW, has the cold front passed you yet? I think it finally hit my house in Stafford but doesn't have appeared to reach Union yet. When i left it was 52.3 around 10:00..so I'm sure it's down to near 50 now. I have a gut feeling it snows hard for 2-3 hrs overnight..1-2 is def possible..and if it breaks right 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted December 7, 2011 Share Posted December 7, 2011 so your not going to kill the christmas tree then? When i left it was 52.3 around 10:00..so I'm sure it's down to near 50 now. I have a gut feeling it snows hard for 2-3 hrs overnight..1-2 is def possible..and if it breaks right 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted December 7, 2011 Share Posted December 7, 2011 Euro rolling. Wind change through here, temp diving...down to 51.9. Can see the nice nose of the cold with a bend back up inland - still warm in NE CT. http://www.pdfamily.com/weather/mesomap.htm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 7, 2011 Share Posted December 7, 2011 so your not going to kill the christmas tree then? That was when I thought we weren't getting anything which I guess is still possible. I saw a Euro map that had 2-3 inches for NE CT..so we'll see. For now I'm thinking 1-2 and will be happy cuz it won't melt till next week Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted December 7, 2011 Share Posted December 7, 2011 Euro came in slight se of the gfs and nam...still basically the same as 0z, maybe 15miles SE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 7, 2011 Share Posted December 7, 2011 Euro came in slight se of the gfs and nam...still basically the same as 0z, maybe 15miles SE The profile looks cooler. Probably a good hit for Pete and MPM. I'll have to see what the weenie maps do in a bit. I think even Kevin and Will eek out a few inches maybe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted December 7, 2011 Share Posted December 7, 2011 qpf that falls as snow for NE...: btv- .4" killington to St. Johnsbury: .8"ish Southern greens: 1.25"ish Northern Berks: (almost 2" total) but .8" as snow Worcester hills: maybe .3"? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 7, 2011 Share Posted December 7, 2011 The profile looks cooler. Probably a good hit for Pete and MPM. I'll have to see what the weenie maps do in a bit. I think even Kevin and Will eek out a few inches maybe. Nude Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted December 7, 2011 Share Posted December 7, 2011 Euro came in slight se of the gfs and nam...still basically the same as 0z, maybe 15miles SE Even at init it's cooler, clearly at 2m vs the 0z especially out west. I'm kind of hoping it rains on MPM though....for the SE trend comments. Would like to see it adjust just far enough NW so he gets mangled flakes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 7, 2011 Share Posted December 7, 2011 Big difference up here with the 12z Euro from 0z, Low tracks thru western Nova Scotia instead of Easport Maine Track shifted about 50 miles which also shifts the 0c line SE by about the same amount and colder this run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted December 7, 2011 Share Posted December 7, 2011 Big difference up here with the 12z Euro from 0z, Low tracks thru western Nova Scotia instead of Easport Maine Track shifted about 50 miles which also shifts the 0c line SE by about the same amount.. May be the shift the resorts needed.....if it pans out will be lots of resort ops doing the happy dance in the morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted December 7, 2011 Share Posted December 7, 2011 Euro is close to giving Jerry the bet win.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 7, 2011 Share Posted December 7, 2011 The only thing I don't like about the euro is that it really dries us out quick after 09z, so that is a little disconcerting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 7, 2011 Share Posted December 7, 2011 Euro is close to giving Jerry the bet win.... Nah it's safe for now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted December 7, 2011 Share Posted December 7, 2011 Big difference up here with the 12z Euro from 0z, Low tracks thru western Nova Scotia instead of Easport Maine Track shifted about 50 miles which also shifts the 0c line SE by about the same amount and colder this run Ride the Euro like a wh0re on nickel night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 7, 2011 Share Posted December 7, 2011 We knew the inevitable last 12 hour east shift would happen. Hopefully that's enough to get snow even to the coast now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 7, 2011 Share Posted December 7, 2011 We knew the inevitable last 12 hour east shift would happen. Hopefully that's enough to get snow even to the coast now I don't know if it is a true shift, because I think it is a little faster too. Tough to figure out exactly. It may be a wee bit cooler, but at the same time, this thing is hauling. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmanmitch Posted December 7, 2011 Share Posted December 7, 2011 I guess NWS Albany decided to go with winter storm warnings for my area. P&C has me with 6-10". Not sure I get quite that much unless I can pull off a faster changeover. I wasn't quite expecting them to go to warnings this soon given their normally conservative nature. I'm still expecting the best fireworks just to my north along the west side of the southern and central Greens. Woodford, VT at 2.4K is going to jackpot with this one with a solid 12"+ type event I think. Cold air already banking up against the west slope some, which will lead to a quicker changeover. 41/39 RA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowNH Posted December 7, 2011 Share Posted December 7, 2011 I posted this earlier as an edit, but it may have gotten lost.. Have you guys checked out the 12z NMM and ARW hi Res models on NCEP? If not you should..They are pretty cold and they are usually good temperature and precip amount wise.. they have about 5-6 hours of snow especially farther north you go... pretty damn interesting Last post til 9:14 am tomorrow unless mod wants to take off 5/day for Observations like they usually do... If not.. happy tracking Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 7, 2011 Share Posted December 7, 2011 I don't know if it is a true shift, because I think it is a little faster too. Tough to figure out exactly. It may be a wee bit cooler, but at the same time, this thing is hauling. Is .2 -.3 of qpf falling as snow? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 7, 2011 Share Posted December 7, 2011 I'm going with about 2" here...but I could easily be wrong. I was hoping for 3-4" before 00z last night....but that trend kind of killed that idea. The 12z trend was slightly better so that we can prob expect 1-2" in the interior...maybe 3" in the monadnocks and 3-5" out by MPM/Pete....close to a lot more though there...maybe Mitch in Lenox can get 6"+. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattb65 Posted December 7, 2011 Share Posted December 7, 2011 I guess NWS Albany decided to go with winter storm warnings for my area. P&C has me with 6-10". Not sure I get quite that much unless I can pull off a faster changeover. I wasn't quite expecting them to go to warnings this soon given their normally conservative nature. I'm still expecting the best fireworks just to my north along the west side of the southern and central Greens. Woodford, VT at 2.4K is going to jackpot with this one with a solid 12"+ type event I think. Cold air already banking up against the west slope some, which will lead to a quicker changeover. 41/39 RA Euro weenie maps absolutely blast your area after it changes with a 5"/3 hr period then a few more inches after that as it pulls away. If the euro is right, 6-10 looks like a good call, however who knows how reliable the euro weenie #s are. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 7, 2011 Share Posted December 7, 2011 I don't know if it is a true shift, because I think it is a little faster too. Tough to figure out exactly. It may be a wee bit cooler, but at the same time, this thing is hauling. It is faster, But if you pull up the Northeast region and follow the track and thicknesses from 00z thurs to 12z and match it up with same timefarme on the 0z and 12z you can see a difference in where the low tracks up here anyways once it gets to SE Mass, Looks to head NE rather then NNE.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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