CoastalWx Posted December 7, 2011 Share Posted December 7, 2011 Moving too fast I think but we'll see what the 12z suite says. Not convinced the CCB isn't a shredded mess in later runs or further NW. Tentative first call Boston a trace, Worcester 1/2 to 1" Tolland Springs 1/2 to 1", Providence trace, me flurries, you flurries, MRG gets buried up to his chest, Sunday River 6-12" Well unless guidance crokes, I think it will have a good CCB, but the placement of it is the bigger question mark...at least imho. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 7, 2011 Share Posted December 7, 2011 I'll consider it a win if I can flash over to pancake aggregates at this point..lol. Has BOS recorded a trace? Have you at home? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 7, 2011 Share Posted December 7, 2011 I was thinking about that. Some of the snow algorithms have a weenie extension to the ENE into NE Mass. The NAM from 12z was showing that too. The 18z NAM went insane over E MA...it showed like 5-7" over all of BOS metro and through interior SE MA, lol. I think its overdone, but it does show the potential we are talking about for a wild 3 hours or so. Its always tough to get blasted by a CCB tail like that but if we are looking for the parameters in place, this system does have a lot of them...we just need the tracking vortmax to stay south. 12/9/05 is always the benchmark that probably won't be matched for a long time, but many areas had 10-12" of snow in 3 hours at the end over E MA. Even a third of that would be pretty high impact in that amount of time. Hopefully it keeps hammering that idea as we get closer. In a sense, those 3-4 hour +SN bombs can be more fun than a dragged out 8 hours of moderate snow that might give you more...but its not as exciting meteorologically. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 7, 2011 Share Posted December 7, 2011 Has BOS recorded a trace? Have you at home? Logan 1", and the same here. It might have been like 1.4" or so at home, but a lot of it melted when I got home after the October storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 7, 2011 Share Posted December 7, 2011 The 18z NAM went insane over E MA...it showed like 5-7" over all of BOS metro and through interior SE MA, lol. I think its overdone, but it does show the potential we are talking about for a wild 3 hours or so. Its always tough to get blasted by a CCB tail like that but if we are looking for the parameters in place, this system does have a lot of them...we just need the tracking vortmax to stay south. 12/9/05 is always the benchmark that probably won't be matched for a long time, but many areas had 10-12" of snow in 3 hours at the end over E MA. Even a third of that would be pretty high impact in that amount of time. Hopefully it keeps hammering that idea as we get closer. In a sense, those 3-4 hour +SN bombs can be more fun than a dragged out 8 hours of moderate snow that might give you more...but its not as exciting meteorologically. Tip? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Boston-winter08 Posted December 7, 2011 Share Posted December 7, 2011 The 18z NAM went insane over E MA...it showed like 5-7" over all of BOS metro and through interior SE MA, lol. I think its overdone, but it does show the potential we are talking about for a wild 3 hours or so. Its always tough to get blasted by a CCB tail like that but if we are looking for the parameters in place, this system does have a lot of them...we just need the tracking vortmax to stay south. 12/9/05 is always the benchmark that probably won't be matched for a long time, but many areas had 10-12" of snow in 3 hours at the end over E MA. Even a third of that would be pretty high impact in that amount of time. Hopefully it keeps hammering that idea as we get closer. In a sense, those 3-4 hour +SN bombs can be more fun than a dragged out 8 hours of moderate snow that might give you more...but its not as exciting meteorologically. Will i noticed it in the algorithm too but wasn't sure if it was a mistake lol... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 7, 2011 Share Posted December 7, 2011 We know...it won't be a big deal for us (meaning you or I), but we haven't had crap for so long. I'm not gonna see much at all, but this could have a few tricks for some. I know most people only care about their backyards, but I find these storms pretty cool from a met standpoint. Absolutely and yet another learning experience. Been a while since I have witnessed a 40 + degree airmass get wiped out in seconds. I am too far south for that this time but you guys in EMA might get it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 7, 2011 Share Posted December 7, 2011 If I get 4 inches or more. I will buy everyone that goes a beer on Saturday. Lock it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 7, 2011 Share Posted December 7, 2011 This is 12z NAM sim radar...by 15z is way long gone, so its really hauling...prob another hour or so in BOS based on this shot Yes, Some fun between 12-15z here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 7, 2011 Share Posted December 7, 2011 If I get 4 inches or more. I will buy everyone that goes a beer on Saturday. Lock it Stay thirsty 3 snowdays fot Tolland incoming Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 7, 2011 Share Posted December 7, 2011 You can certainly troll the Upstate thread if you want. Not that much happens over there. LOL It has awoken a bit today...as in maybe 2 posts per hour which beats 2 posts per day..... Someone just posted a cool RGEM snowfall map. Here it is.....not so cool if you're in SNE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 7, 2011 Share Posted December 7, 2011 Absolutely and yet another learning experience. Been a while since I have witnessed a 40 + degree airmass get wiped out in seconds. I am too far south for that this time but you guys in EMA might get it. If I can get some sort of a changeover, I think you can too, especially if it wraps up like shown. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 7, 2011 Share Posted December 7, 2011 If I can get some sort of a changeover, I think you can too, especially if it wraps up like shown. I'd def look out for a potential stinger on the CCB tail in E MA...it might fail like it did in the Oct storm...but it def could produce and bust some forecasts as well. Its an interesting part of this storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted December 7, 2011 Share Posted December 7, 2011 Greens are going to get destroyed, powderfreak included, ski season has started! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 7, 2011 Share Posted December 7, 2011 Greens are going to get destroyed, powderfreak included, ski season has started! Powderfreak is living on the edge this storm...he might get into the good stuff but might not...the non-RGEM guidance doesn't give much to N VT...but C VT might get crushed. Its a tough forecast there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 7, 2011 Share Posted December 7, 2011 Well it's a dynamic system. 20 miles SE and even BOS is in the game. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 7, 2011 Share Posted December 7, 2011 I'd def look out for a potential stinger on the CCB tail in E MA...it might fail like it did in the Oct storm...but it def could produce and bust some forecasts as well. Its an interesting part of this storm. If the guidance is anywhere close to being right, I think this has a better shot than that did. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 7, 2011 Share Posted December 7, 2011 If I get 4 inches or more. I will buy everyone that goes a beer on Saturday. Lock it Even though you never took the bet I owe you a black. If Will shows up I can collect on winning the snowfall contest last year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 7, 2011 Share Posted December 7, 2011 OT, but man it is/was foggy here earlier this evening. Had to drive at a snail's pace until I descended 200'. It was cleared out there, but man, as thick a fog as I've ever been in. My 6-year old said it looked like a dust-storm. And she would know how????? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted December 7, 2011 Share Posted December 7, 2011 Well it's a dynamic system. 20 miles SE and even BOS is in the game. areas to the exterior of 128 and the cp should cash in with that CCB.... I mean that thing looks sick Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 7, 2011 Share Posted December 7, 2011 Even though you never took the bet I owe you a black. If Will shows up I can collect on winning the snowfall contest last year. I think Jerry beat you by a bit...you came in 2nd...maybe I got that mixed up. I'll have to go back and add the errors. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 7, 2011 Share Posted December 7, 2011 Well it's a dynamic system. 20 miles SE and even BOS is in the game. If the guidance is anywhere close to being right, I think this has a better shot than that did. Ray will throw major darts at this train of thought, never happens, no emotional investment. I just want him to get 5.1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted December 7, 2011 Share Posted December 7, 2011 I wouldn't expect anything near the coast though... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted December 7, 2011 Share Posted December 7, 2011 Powderfreak is living on the edge this storm...he might get into the good stuff but might not...the non-RGEM guidance doesn't give much to N VT...but C VT might get crushed. Its a tough forecast there. I think in the end he gets 3-6 4-8 that was my call this morning. and for the rest of us.......... hpn 2" bdr 1.2" bdl 3.1" orh 4.4" bos 2.7" Pete 7.4" MPM 6.4" Mt Tolland 3.1" Taunton 1.8" Mooooosup 2.3" Hunchback Dave 5.0" kgay3.6" messycweat .8" Philthethrill .4" weenieologist 5.1" squirrels 2.9" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 7, 2011 Share Posted December 7, 2011 I think Jerry beat you by a bit...you came in 2nd...maybe I got that mixed up. I'll have to go back and add the errors. What the heck and you got me all excited. I am usually last. I did win one week in NE.weather contest that Don S dominated for years. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 7, 2011 Share Posted December 7, 2011 OT, but man it is/was foggy here earlier this evening. Had to drive at a snail's pace until I descended 200'. It was cleared out there, but man, as thick a fog as I've ever been in. My 6-year old said it looked like a dust-storm. And she would know how????? Raising a weenie the way it should be, they get that by Osmosis. My 10 year old grandson who lives with me said tonight, Poppa is it going to snow this week? it's been very warm for a long time it's time for the weather to change. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted December 7, 2011 Share Posted December 7, 2011 I think in the end he gets 3-6 4-8 that was my call this morning. and for the rest of us.......... Mooooosup 2.3" Wow. I wasn't expecting anything, so 2" would be a nice surprise (Steve is less than 10 miles from me as the crow flies towards the east so I take the Moosup call as being my area too) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 7, 2011 Share Posted December 7, 2011 Raising a weenie the way it should be, they get that by Osmosis. My 10 year old grandson who lives with me said tonight, Poppa is it going to snow this week? it's been very warm for a long time it's time for the weather to change. The kids at school are so depressed by this wx... I mentioned a chance today and they got wound up...lol the other teachers hate me (I told them only to expect an inch or 2) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted December 7, 2011 Share Posted December 7, 2011 fun times ahead tonight as everything ticks se and the potentcy of the sw stays intact as the tropical water near the benchmark works its magic on the baroclinic ribbon of love. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 7, 2011 Share Posted December 7, 2011 I think in the end he gets 3-6 4-8 that was my call this morning. and for the rest of us.......... hpn 2" bdr 1.2" bdl 3.1" orh 4.4" bos 2.7" Pete 7.4" MPM 6.4" Mt Tolland 3.1" Taunton 1.8" Mooooosup 2.3" Hunchback Dave 5.0" kgay3.6" messycweat .8" Philthethrill .4" weenieologist 5.1" squirrels 2.9" Damn very bullish for me. I figured weenie flakes as the best dynamics scream to my North. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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