ChrisM Posted December 6, 2011 Share Posted December 6, 2011 man this thread is going to be evidence of a lot of weenie suicides. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted December 6, 2011 Share Posted December 6, 2011 Looks like a nice thump of rain over the next 3 days, coolish this weekend, wow does it look incredible mid to late month. Today's rain appears to be a bust-radar really dried up overnight.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 6, 2011 Share Posted December 6, 2011 Tough to tell on the NCEP graphics, but SREFs look nw of 03z...not that it is unexpected since they were so far east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 6, 2011 Share Posted December 6, 2011 Big shift from your normal attitude. I still think you are in the game if the temps can cool quick enough. You have a legit chance of having the ground at least white. Even the EURO hits you with a few inches on the backside. It's over..who cares about a coating that will melt by noon. If I don't get at least 2-4 inches it's a failure. SREFS are NW..Euro will come NW again . You'll end up with a foot of snow. Congrats Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted December 6, 2011 Share Posted December 6, 2011 It's over..who cares about a coating that will melt by noon. If I don't get at least 2-4 inches it's a failure. SREFS are NW..Euro will come NW again . You'll end up with a foot of snow. Congrats be sure to tell your wife and kids you love them before you do anything drastic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 6, 2011 Share Posted December 6, 2011 lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 6, 2011 Share Posted December 6, 2011 be sure to tell your wife and kids you love them before you do anything drastic. I'm not suicidal, I'm just being realistic . Why would we expect anything to go our way??. This winter is going to go down as one of the top 5 worst. Now that I've admitted it, it's easier to be realistic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted December 6, 2011 Share Posted December 6, 2011 be sure to tell your wife and kids you love them before you do anything drastic. Death by toaster.lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted December 6, 2011 Share Posted December 6, 2011 I'm not suicidal, I'm just being realistic . Why would we expect anything to go our way??. This winter is going to go down as one of the top 5 worst. Now that I've admitted it, it's easier to be realistic. Ji? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted December 6, 2011 Share Posted December 6, 2011 I'm not suicidal, I'm just being realistic . Why would we expect anything to go our way??. This winter is going to go down as one of the top 5 worst. Now that I've admitted it, it's easier to be realistic. CT Doom Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted December 6, 2011 Share Posted December 6, 2011 Dude it's over. I am not going to see a flake of snow. This is wire to wire to rain 95% of SNE. The Euro isn't done coming NW yet. When I saw the GEFS have some amped solutions last nite I knew we were cooked. This is over. Totally agree. Cold miserable rain is coming in. except for those to our North and west with some latitude and elevation. Most of us might end as some crappy flakes but that is all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 6, 2011 Share Posted December 6, 2011 Well even a coating is better than nothing Kev. I still think you'll flip and see some accumulation. I don't think the NAM is coming further west, but it's a very early speculation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted December 6, 2011 Share Posted December 6, 2011 I'm not suicidal, I'm just being realistic . Why would we expect anything to go our way??. This winter is going to go down as one of the top 5 worst. Now that I've admitted it, it's easier to be realistic. stop. that's ridiculous. it could blow from start to finish or it could turn on a dime. enjoy the weather, it's the only weather ya got. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted December 6, 2011 Share Posted December 6, 2011 Southwest flow + no blocking equals NW trend. This could get a bit more amped up though too. Also I think people have been missing the significant banding possible to the NW of the storm. There will probably be a very narrow stripe of 5 up to 10" with little to nothing on either side Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
skierinvermont Posted December 6, 2011 Share Posted December 6, 2011 Don't worry...according to skierinvermont, it's silly to fear the NW trend because no guidance showed a NNE hit 84 hours out. ummm what? where did this come from? do we have a problem? I never said anything like that. all I said was I haven't had time to check the models and didn't realize this was a legit threat until I looked more in depth. Yikes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 6, 2011 Share Posted December 6, 2011 Southwest flow + no blocking equals NW trend. This could get a bit more amped up though too. Also I think people have been missing the significant banding possible to the NW of the storm. There will probably be a very narrow stripe of 5 up to 10" with little to nothing on either side We talked about that all day yesterday...lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 6, 2011 Share Posted December 6, 2011 Man 9 out of 10 times this is an orgasmic looking H5 plot for most of New England. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted December 6, 2011 Share Posted December 6, 2011 Southwest flow + no blocking equals NW trend. This could get a bit more amped up though too. Also I think people have been missing the significant banding possible to the NW of the storm. There will probably be a very narrow stripe of 5 up to 10" with little to nothing on either side yeah scooter and i made some references to that yesterday. definitely some signals there. someone should get hit pretty good...probably powderfreak. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 6, 2011 Share Posted December 6, 2011 ummm what? where did this come from? do we have a problem? I never said anything like that. all I said was I haven't had time to check the models and didn't realize this was a legit threat until I looked more in depth. Yikes. It has become more legit, The foothills and mtns good do well... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 6, 2011 Share Posted December 6, 2011 EC ens are amped up like the op. I'm probably in a brief RA to +SN scenario as of now, but these 6-12hrly jumps NW are pretty large and there's no sign of stopping yet. Apologies to snownh for getting on him about trolling SNE with a NW trend days ago....although the trolling was wrong it ended up verifying that way. That was when the s/w was modeled by everything to be flat as a board when it reached our region though. Obviously that will not be the case. Yea, well.....modelology dictated that this would not tuck inland....meterology implied that it very well may. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 6, 2011 Share Posted December 6, 2011 ummm what? where did this come from? do we have a problem? I never said anything like that. all I said was I haven't had time to check the models and didn't realize this was a legit threat until I looked more in depth. Yikes. Maybe it was powderfreak....my apologies if so, but it was one of you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted December 6, 2011 Share Posted December 6, 2011 Lol! Well I was busy, and wasn't on the board at all. Anyway, yeah, more people probably wont get snow than get snow. But those who do get snow could have a decent storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
skierinvermont Posted December 6, 2011 Share Posted December 6, 2011 It has become more legit, The foothills and mtns good do well... I realized two days ago once I actually looked at the models this was a legitimate threat to track for NNE and said so publicly.Been glued to the models ever since. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 6, 2011 Share Posted December 6, 2011 I realized two days ago once I actually looked at the models this was a legitimate threat to track for NNE and said so publicly but apparently some people need a scapegoat. Needing a scapegoat would imply that I thought that the weather could be controled. I simply mixed you up with powderfreak. I wasn't really invested in this because I knew it would likely go to $hit....NBD. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 6, 2011 Share Posted December 6, 2011 ummm what? where did this come from? do we have a problem? I never said anything like that. all I said was I haven't had time to check the models and didn't realize this was a legit threat until I looked more in depth. Yikes. I'm pretty sure he had me confused with you... Its more a semantics issue too, because I was more implying that a NW trend far enough to really hit NNE (Central/Northern Greens, Whites, up towards Rangley) seemed very unlikely and still does. It has shifted NW though to western SNE and central New England's delight. Not enough for me, but just enough to botch it for the coastal plain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
skierinvermont Posted December 6, 2011 Share Posted December 6, 2011 Maybe it was powderfreak....my apologies if so, but it was one of you. alright np.. I was just reading through last night's posts and that seemed totally out of the blue (then Will and OSU jump on too lol).. I've hardly even been posting.. I get just enough wifi to check the models Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 6, 2011 Share Posted December 6, 2011 There could be like a 6-9hr window where rapid cyclogenesis takes place between the Delmarva and near ACK. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted December 6, 2011 Share Posted December 6, 2011 Boy the new NAM has us getting precip from initialization all the way through to the end of the event.....going to be a wet few days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted December 6, 2011 Share Posted December 6, 2011 man...congrats NW MA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 6, 2011 Share Posted December 6, 2011 man...congrats W MA I know. Even Kevin still flips to maybe brief S+. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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