Baroclinic Zone Posted December 6, 2011 Share Posted December 6, 2011 Previous discussion http://www.americanw...-wintry-threat/ 00z runs are rolling out. SREFs slightly NW of 15z but not as much as I thought they would be...they brought the 0,25" qpf line to about ORH. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted December 6, 2011 Share Posted December 6, 2011 Naked goodness for some. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 6, 2011 Share Posted December 6, 2011 Early on it looks slightly west and warmer Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 6, 2011 Share Posted December 6, 2011 This run is going to be amped. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted December 6, 2011 Share Posted December 6, 2011 Naked goodness for some. so negative vorticity shows propensity for development into a storm right? So the more negative the vorticity the more likely a stronger solution will come to be? Sorry I'm asking weenie questions tonight, just feel like this is a good night to learn a few things. That's why I love this site ha. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ericnh Posted December 6, 2011 Share Posted December 6, 2011 Wow nam is processing so slow! have to be at work at 5am cmon man! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted December 6, 2011 Share Posted December 6, 2011 This run is going to be amped. Threading a needle though as it's also moving along faster than the 12z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 6, 2011 Share Posted December 6, 2011 Interesting in that the southern system NAM is spinning up drops thicknesses of 528 practically to the Gulf coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 6, 2011 Share Posted December 6, 2011 This run is going to be amped. yes, trough already going neutral Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted December 6, 2011 Share Posted December 6, 2011 Interesting in that the southern system NAM is spinning up drops thicknesses of 528 practically to the Gulf coast. Look at the vorticity, this thing is an absolute beast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 6, 2011 Share Posted December 6, 2011 I think the NAM might a huge torch this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 6, 2011 Share Posted December 6, 2011 C'mon juju Cutter still a possibility? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ericnh Posted December 6, 2011 Share Posted December 6, 2011 I think the NAM might a huge torch this run. yes looks to be warmer on this run! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 6, 2011 Share Posted December 6, 2011 I think the NAM might a huge torch this run. At 42h I don't even have the 850 0C south of me yet. It was down to you at that point on the 18z run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 6, 2011 Share Posted December 6, 2011 Heights are surely higher in the east than 18z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 6, 2011 Share Posted December 6, 2011 The 2 opposing forces...The pv coming down to fight it off. Where is the maginot line..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 6, 2011 Author Share Posted December 6, 2011 I think the NAM might a huge torch this run. If the SREF's are any indicator, I agree. Snow probs did not look to great on the 21z runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 6, 2011 Share Posted December 6, 2011 Trof starts opening up at 48 hours.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ericnh Posted December 6, 2011 Share Posted December 6, 2011 looks like it is starting as rain everywhere! not good! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Boston-winter08 Posted December 6, 2011 Share Posted December 6, 2011 seems bizarre how the s/w vorticity wanes all of a sudden at 48 hours Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted December 6, 2011 Share Posted December 6, 2011 Wow way faster...would be raining everywhere by this time Wednesday... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 6, 2011 Share Posted December 6, 2011 3Z Thursday....not a flake in NE per NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted December 6, 2011 Share Posted December 6, 2011 3Z Thursday....not a flake in NE per NAM. toss? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 6, 2011 Share Posted December 6, 2011 I think it still will be a hit for western areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted December 6, 2011 Share Posted December 6, 2011 3Z Thursday....not a flake in NE per NAM. S U S H I Lots of lift left to move through...at least at 51 where I am. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 6, 2011 Share Posted December 6, 2011 toss? I think not....at least not yet.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 6, 2011 Share Posted December 6, 2011 I think it still will be a hit for western areas. Should be good for areas further west here as well Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted December 6, 2011 Share Posted December 6, 2011 I think not....at least not yet.. If the goofball and the Euro latch onto it then maybe, but until those come out any bridge jumping should really be confined to the cape Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 6, 2011 Share Posted December 6, 2011 DC flips to snow and snows hard! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 6, 2011 Share Posted December 6, 2011 I think it still will be a hit for western areas. Probably another ho hum 10" for MRG. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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