ORH_wxman Posted December 8, 2011 Share Posted December 8, 2011 HRRR is still a bit slower on timing than the NAM more like 3-4am here when it flips. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 8, 2011 Share Posted December 8, 2011 On 12/8/2011 at 2:45 AM, CoastalWx said: It will be interesting to see what happens. I could see something where Dave gets into a period of heavy snow and 20-30 miles to the se..it may be a little too removed from the good stuff until last minute. At least something like that...just giving a hypothetical situation. Still think it may be tough for you and esp Kevin, but who knows. Hopefully you squeeze an inch....or better. I'm on winter hill for this one. Need all the latitude and elevation I can get. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CapturedNature Posted December 8, 2011 Share Posted December 8, 2011 On 12/8/2011 at 2:50 AM, ORH_wxman said: HRRR is still a bit slower on timing than the NAM more like 3-4am here when it flips. I'll take that...even looks like a small sliver of 2-3" down to Kevin. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 8, 2011 Share Posted December 8, 2011 On 12/8/2011 at 2:51 AM, ORH_wxman said: I'm on winter hill for this one. Need all the latitude and elevation I can get. LOL, well good luck. I guess I'll be the cheerleader on the side for this one too. In all seriousness...hope it goes well for you and others. Just hoping to see some flakes here or even better...period of brief snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 8, 2011 Share Posted December 8, 2011 On 12/8/2011 at 2:53 AM, CoastalWx said: LOL, well good luck. I guess I'll be the cheerleader on the side for this one too. In all seriousness...hope it goes well for you and others. Just hoping to see some flakes here or even better...period of brief snow. Good luck on those flakes, Scott! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted December 8, 2011 Share Posted December 8, 2011 warren county nj ginxy absolutely pouring here now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 8, 2011 Share Posted December 8, 2011 On 12/8/2011 at 2:53 AM, CoastalWx said: LOL, well good luck. I guess I'll be the cheerleader on the side for this one too. In all seriousness...hope it goes well for you and others. Just hoping to see some flakes here or even better...period of brief snow. I'm expecting about an inch here...maybe a little more. I'll be happy if I crack 2". Hopefully there is a wild surprise between 2-5am. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 8, 2011 Share Posted December 8, 2011 On 12/8/2011 at 2:59 AM, litchfieldlibations said: warren county nj ginxy absolutely pouring here now ?? snowing in warren? That's not a suprise given their longitude, no? It appears that temps have just taken a notable step down between ALY and Mass and up to SW VT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted December 8, 2011 Share Posted December 8, 2011 Alarm set for 3am so I can see my one hour period of snow that doesn't accumulate. Then back to sleep. new HRRR is about the same...1-2" or so...2-3" NW of ORH. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted December 8, 2011 Share Posted December 8, 2011 http://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?rid=ENX&product=N0R&overlay=11101111&loop=yes Line is really ripping now, collapsing fast ESE. Change line should be over MRG's head no later than 11-12. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted December 8, 2011 Share Posted December 8, 2011 I can tell looking at radar trends that this is a bust out here. It's slipping more east of forecast and my earlier prediction of 'whats his name' getting the most was right after all. An inch here now in light to mod. snow and 32. On 12/8/2011 at 2:51 AM, ORH_wxman said: I'm on winter hill for this one. Need all the latitude and elevation I can get. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 8, 2011 Share Posted December 8, 2011 Lol...NAM clown map. 6" for Ray? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 8, 2011 Share Posted December 8, 2011 Hey, Ortiz will be back... 1.2" of rain so far Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 8, 2011 Share Posted December 8, 2011 On 12/8/2011 at 3:05 AM, Logan11 said: I can tell looking at radar trends that this is a bust out here. It's slipping more east of forecast and my earlier prediction of 'whats his name' getting the most was right after all. An inch here now in light to mod. snow and 32. He sits in his evil lair running the snow magnet... none for you, none for me, it's all his Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted December 8, 2011 Share Posted December 8, 2011 On 12/8/2011 at 3:05 AM, ORH_wxman said: Lol...NAM clown map. 6" for Ray? locked Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ice Warrior commander Posted December 8, 2011 Share Posted December 8, 2011 I'm scr(wed were I am.. Hopefully Dave and Will catch something at the end. I like watching this dynamical storm unfold anyway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 8, 2011 Share Posted December 8, 2011 On 12/8/2011 at 3:08 AM, Ice Warrior commander said: I'm scr(wed were I am.. Hopefully Dave and Will catch something at the end. I like watching this dynamical storm unfold anyway. I'm actually more interested in the wind tonight. Wind fetish... An inch or 2 is no big deal. I had 2 of those and much more before Halloween Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted December 8, 2011 Share Posted December 8, 2011 this is definitely one of the tightest races we've seen in a while. this image is valid 09z. note the 950 freezing line is into BOS area...but the good low and mid-level lift is already leaving ORH area. it's a short window of opportunity...but moving up that changeover by even an hour is going to make a big difference as there's some intense lift moving through those yellow arrows i added just to outline the omega values Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 8, 2011 Share Posted December 8, 2011 On 12/8/2011 at 3:05 AM, Logan11 said: I can tell looking at radar trends that this is a bust out here. It's slipping more east of forecast and my earlier prediction of 'whats his name' getting the most was right after all. An inch here now in light to mod. snow and 32. Are you serious, Rick??? I thought you were golden--my condolences. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 8, 2011 Share Posted December 8, 2011 On 12/8/2011 at 3:05 AM, ORH_wxman said: Lol...NAM clown map. 6" for Ray? Kevin would crap his pants if he woke up to that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 8, 2011 Share Posted December 8, 2011 On 12/8/2011 at 3:12 AM, CapeCodWeather.net said: this is definitely one of the tightest races we've seen in a while. this image is valid 09z. note the 950 freezing line is into BOS area...but the good low and mid-level lift is already leaving ORH area. it's a short window of opportunity...but moving up that changeover by even an hour is going to make a big difference as there's some intense lift moving through those yellow arrows i added just to outline the omega values That's going to be an intense period of rippage up there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted December 8, 2011 Share Posted December 8, 2011 That's the way it goes.... I think you and Pete will be in the best band at the right time after midnight. It can't ramp up in time for me this far west.... On 12/8/2011 at 3:12 AM, moneypitmike said: Are you serious, Rick??? I thought you were golden--my condolences. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 8, 2011 Share Posted December 8, 2011 On 12/8/2011 at 3:05 AM, ORH_wxman said: Lol...NAM clown map. 6" for Ray? If I got 8" after all this roller coaster, I don't think I'll ever have confidence in models again. Any of them. 39.7/39 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 8, 2011 Share Posted December 8, 2011 Can we build a giant 20 mile high wall over Scooters house to trap that qpf? Some blocking would have been nice...just a little, wafer thin block Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 8, 2011 Share Posted December 8, 2011 On 12/8/2011 at 3:16 AM, HubbDave said: Can we build a giant 20 mile high wall over Scooters house to trap that qpf? Some blocking would have been nice...just a little, wafer thin block Maybe I can head over there and start lamenting qpf--that'll draw it right in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted December 8, 2011 Share Posted December 8, 2011 It certainly looks like the NAM and EURO are about to bust on their placement of enhanced band... Maybe a 50 mile bust isn't a big deal, but it is when you are ALB and have a WSW for 6"-10" and 2" or 3" falls.... . On 12/8/2011 at 3:16 AM, moneypitmike said: If I got 8" after all this roller coaster, I don't think I'll ever have confidence in models again. Any of them. 39.7/39 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 8, 2011 Share Posted December 8, 2011 Off to get some shuteye...maybe I will get up around 3AM to take a peek Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted December 8, 2011 Share Posted December 8, 2011 On 12/8/2011 at 3:23 AM, Logan11 said: It certainly looks like the NAM and EURO are about to bust on their placement of enhanced band... Maybe a 50 mile bust isn't a big deal, but it is when you are ALB and have a WSW for 6"-10" and 2" or 3" falls.... . What do you mean? What's busting Rick? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 8, 2011 Share Posted December 8, 2011 On 12/8/2011 at 3:23 AM, HubbDave said: Off to get some shuteye...maybe I will get up around 3AM to take a peek Right behind ya--hopefully to be awakened by the plow. But, I don't think Mark (the town plow driver) does much outside of Shelburne Falls proper until the storm ends. 39.6/39 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted December 8, 2011 Share Posted December 8, 2011 Well from a forecast of 1" of qpf here from 0Z to 12Z ...probably won't be more than .3 or .4 in that time frame..... everything setting up a bit southeast of forecast..unless an enhanced band can set up real fast even as it is all shifting steadily southeast. It will happen, but too late for here I'd say. On 12/8/2011 at 3:25 AM, messenger said: What do you mean? What's busting Rick? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.