weatherMA Posted December 5, 2011 Share Posted December 5, 2011 Interesting that the talk in here is mostly rain vs. snow...watched a few local news segments and most of them had dry and 40 for Thursday with the mention of flurries if a storm gets close enough..It's always interesting the perception the public gets from the news. Until today one station had 50F for Saturday... abruptly changed to 35 today...lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted December 5, 2011 Share Posted December 5, 2011 Interesting that the talk in here is mostly rain vs. snow...watched a few local news segments and most of them had dry and 40 for Thursday with the mention of flurries if a storm gets close enough..It's always interesting the perception the public gets from the news. Until today one station had 50F for Saturday... abruptly changed to 35 today...lol. Weekend forecasters are generally the worst. Tim Kelly on NECN is good though. He mentioned the potential for rain and/or snow late week. Sometimes Burbank is on WBZ, but other times you're left with nobodies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted December 5, 2011 Share Posted December 5, 2011 I'm a little more worried about it being too robust and northwest (a la NAM) than I am of a OTS solution. I'm not sure why that ridge is just gonna get pushed aside so readily in the Tues/Wed period...to the point of getting the 0C 850 line into JI or DT country... My guess is the 0Z ECM goes well north, but we shall see. What they're saying is that it is usually consistently wrong. lol As for the NAM...it's in its 84hr lala range land so I personally wouldn't put much weight in it. Maybe it will score a coup though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted December 5, 2011 Share Posted December 5, 2011 No problems here. New skin is working out nicely and I like the new look too. Agreed. Mobile version is mighty fine also. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 5, 2011 Share Posted December 5, 2011 What they're saying is that it is usually consistently wrong. lol As for the NAM...it's in its 84hr lala range land so I personally wouldn't put much weight in it. Maybe it will score a coup though. The wishcasting on this "Threat" is pretty funny...from all parts of the board. Its an awful storm and it might produce, but there are a billion ways for it to not produce unlike a favorable pattern. I will admit there is a slight chance this produces...and I mean like >3"...not some 1" of slush garbage. People will love to bump threads over a half inch of junk to pretend that they were "Right" or the models were "right". I guess in this bad pattern an inch of slush is a win though, so I will grant that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 5, 2011 Author Share Posted December 5, 2011 Weekend forecasters are generally the worst. Tim Kelly on NECN is good though. He mentioned the potential for rain and/or snow late week. Sometimes Burbank is on WBZ, but other times you're left with nobodies. Agreed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 5, 2011 Author Share Posted December 5, 2011 The wishcasting on this "Threat" is pretty funny...from all parts of the board. Its an awful storm and it might produce, but there are a billion ways for it to not produce unlike a favorable pattern. I will admit there is a slight chance this produces...and I mean like >3"...not some 1" of slush garbage. People will love to bump threads over a half inch of junk to pretend that they were "Right" or the models were "right". I guess in this bad pattern an inch of slush is a win though, so I will grant that. This pattern has gotten to you too. You seem a little cranky about this threat Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted December 5, 2011 Share Posted December 5, 2011 Agreed Lol...isn't that your shift? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 5, 2011 Author Share Posted December 5, 2011 Lol...isn't that your shift? haha yes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted December 5, 2011 Share Posted December 5, 2011 haha yes Well....let's decide then...Do you have 40 and dry for Thursday or did you mention a chance of rain or snow? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 5, 2011 Share Posted December 5, 2011 Lol...isn't that your shift? Thankfully for us we have Ryan, brutal having to watch Cabeeasha Theyjustthrowmeouthere fumble through a word for word rip and read. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 5, 2011 Author Share Posted December 5, 2011 Well....let's decide then...Do you have 40 and dry for Thursday or did you mention a chance of rain or snow? My official forecast is: Rain possible. Mix with snow in hills? High 44 at BDL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 5, 2011 Author Share Posted December 5, 2011 I do have a high of 34 for Saturday! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted December 5, 2011 Share Posted December 5, 2011 Huh? How are posts getting dropped? Let him go. He's on a pessimistic roll. Everything sucks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted December 5, 2011 Share Posted December 5, 2011 My official forecast is: Rain possible. Mix with snow in hills? High 44 at BDL. I do have a high of 34 for Saturday! haha nice. I'd say that's perfect, keeps all options in play from dry weather to snow while swaying towards rain for the region. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 5, 2011 Share Posted December 5, 2011 This pattern has gotten to you too. You seem a little cranky about this threat Its not a good pattern...it could happen...we are in a "better" spot than most to get that narrow stripe of frozen, but its so ugly that I would bet against it. From someone who constantly chastises me for talking about interior ORH-nothward threats, this is ironic...since the interior easily has the best shot in this one, and I'm not very optimistic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 5, 2011 Author Share Posted December 5, 2011 Its not a good pattern...it could happen...we are in a "better" spot than most to get that narrow stripe of frozen, but its so ugly that I would bet against it. From someone who constantly chastises me for talking about interior ORH-nothward threats, this is ironic...since the interior easily has the best shot in this one, and I'm not very optimistic. I know... that's why I'm surprised you're not more gung ho. I don't expect anything here but I could see ORH squeezing out something. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted December 5, 2011 Share Posted December 5, 2011 Its not a good pattern...it could happen...we are in a "better" spot than most to get that narrow stripe of frozen, but its so ugly that I would bet against it. From someone who constantly chastises me for talking about interior ORH-nothward threats, this is ironic...since the interior easily has the best shot in this one, and I'm not very optimistic. What are your thoughts on the 12/9 analog? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 5, 2011 Share Posted December 5, 2011 What are your thoughts on the 12/9 analog? LOL, nice subtlety Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 5, 2011 Share Posted December 5, 2011 I know... that's why I'm surprised you're not more gung ho. I don't expect anything here but I could see ORH squeezing out something. I mostly see a rainer here or a scraper that give me and inch of slush or two...there's a narrow "medium" that give me warning criteria or advisory criteria, but I do not see that right now. I guess it could happen, but usually when I'm optimistic is when we are further into winter or when we have a pattern that is distinctly in favor of a system whether its over Phil/ACK or over Kevin with a bit of cold air in place. This is a "perfect" thread the needle type situation with a rapidly de-amplifying s/w...we have like a million things working against us. I guess if we get to 72-84h to go and its showing up pretty nice, then I will jump on board...to your discontent if its monads or ORH hills threat. But at least not yet, you don't have to hear that from me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted December 5, 2011 Share Posted December 5, 2011 LOL, nice subtlety Huh? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 5, 2011 Share Posted December 5, 2011 What are your thoughts on the 12/9 analog? This looks like 12/9 about as much as Jan 6, 2007 did. I guess I shouldn't say that so much, because the longwave pattern isn't THAT much different. But the local synoptics are very different. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted December 5, 2011 Share Posted December 5, 2011 I mostly see a rainer here or a scraper that give me and inch of slush or two...there's a narrow "medium" that give me warning criteria or advisory criteria, but I do not see that right now. I guess it could happen, but usually when I'm optimistic is when we are further into winter or when we have a pattern that is distinctly in favor of a system whether its over Phil/ACK or over Kevin with a bit of cold air in place. This is a "perfect" thread the needle type situation with a rapidly de-amplifying s/w...we have like a million things working against us. I guess if we get to 72-84h to go and its showing up pretty nice, then I will jump on board...to your discontent if its monads or ORH hills threat. But at least not yet, you don't have to hear that from me. That's like 6z tomorrow, so I doubt it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 5, 2011 Author Share Posted December 5, 2011 I mostly see a rainer here or a scraper that give me and inch of slush or two...there's a narrow "medium" that give me warning criteria or advisory criteria, but I do not see that right now. I guess it could happen, but usually when I'm optimistic is when we are further into winter or when we have a pattern that is distinctly in favor of a system whether its over Phil/ACK or over Kevin with a bit of cold air in place. This is a "perfect" thread the needle type situation with a rapidly de-amplifying s/w...we have like a million things working against us. I guess if we get to 72-84h to go and its showing up pretty nice, then I will jump on board...to your discontent if its monads or ORH hills threat. But at least not yet, you don't have to hear that from me. I mostly give you grief for the moisture starved clippers you get excited about when it's like 15 outside. Those I have no use for lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 5, 2011 Share Posted December 5, 2011 That's like 6z tomorrow, so I doubt it Its possible since many of the models are close...but I am banking on "no cigar" rather than the hit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 5, 2011 Share Posted December 5, 2011 Huh? Oh I thought there was a hint of sarcasm in your question. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted December 5, 2011 Share Posted December 5, 2011 This looks like 12/9 about as much as Jan 6, 2007 did. I guess I shouldn't say that so much, because the longwave pattern isn't THAT much different. But the local synoptics are very different. I would tend to agree. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 5, 2011 Share Posted December 5, 2011 I think someone mentioned that the Euro ensembles were NW of the op run as well Not saying much since the OP was through Bermuda. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted December 5, 2011 Share Posted December 5, 2011 Its not a good pattern...it could happen...we are in a "better" spot than most to get that narrow stripe of frozen, but its so ugly that I would bet against it. From someone who constantly chastises me for talking about interior ORH-nothward threats, this is ironic...since the interior easily has the best shot in this one, and I'm not very optimistic. I was offended by your nomination. It's not that I'm overly optimistic, it's just that it snows a lot here. Take this threat for example, who in Massachusetts is more likely to get accumulating snow than The Berks? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted December 5, 2011 Share Posted December 5, 2011 Every now and then you can get some decent snowstorms in an otherwise hideous pattern. Two months that come to mind are January 1990 and January 2006....for out here anyway. Wet snow deals in a sea of mildness. I mostly see a rainer here or a scraper that give me and inch of slush or two...there's a narrow "medium" that give me warning criteria or advisory criteria, but I do not see that right now. I guess it could happen, but usually when I'm optimistic is when we are further into winter or when we have a pattern that is distinctly in favor of a system whether its over Phil/ACK or over Kevin with a bit of cold air in place. This is a "perfect" thread the needle type situation with a rapidly de-amplifying s/w...we have like a million things working against us. I guess if we get to 72-84h to go and its showing up pretty nice, then I will jump on board...to your discontent if its monads or ORH hills threat. But at least not yet, you don't have to hear that from me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.